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Saudi Private Sector Prepares for GCC-Türkiye Forum

Saudi-Turkish investment forum that was recently held in Jeddah (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi-Turkish investment forum that was recently held in Jeddah (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Private Sector Prepares for GCC-Türkiye Forum

Saudi-Turkish investment forum that was recently held in Jeddah (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi-Turkish investment forum that was recently held in Jeddah (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Saudi private sector is preparing to participate in the GCC-Türkiye Economic Forum held in Istanbul between November 11 and 13.

According to released information, the Federation of Saudi Chambers informed all commercial chambers about the Forum, which aims to strengthen economic cooperation between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and Türkiye, and increase trade value.

The Statistical Center for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC-Stat) indicated that trade between GCC countries and Türkiye reached $22 billion in 2021.

Trade between Saudi Arabia and Türkiye also increased to $6.5 billion in 2022, up from $3.7 billion in 2021.

The Turkish Minister of Trade, Omer Bolat, announced that trade between Saudi Arabia and Türkiye reached $3.4 billion during the first half of 2023.

The Gulf-Turkish economy highlights several areas: trade, investment, energy, infrastructure, industry, transport, logistics services, tourism, agriculture, and food.

- Businessmen

Many officials, Gulf businessmen, and their Turkish counterparts are expected to participate in the Forum.

GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi is scheduled to speak at the Forum.

The Turkish government has recently increased its efforts to strengthen economic relations with Gulf countries, especially Saudi Arabia.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited Saudi Arabia in July, describing the Kingdom as one of the region's most important countries, with a special place in trade, investments, and contracting services.

More than 200 businessmen and investors accompanied Erdogan's visit, highlighting the Saudi market's importance and economic relations between the two nations.

- Engaging the Private Sector

The Saudi-Turkish Business Council held a meeting in Jeddah on the sidelines of Erdogan's visit.

Speaking at the meeting's onset, Saudi Minister of Investment Khaled al-Falih emphasized Riyadh's keenness to engage the local and foreign private sectors, primarily Turkish entities.

Falih indicated that Vision 2030 established a new phase in all aspects of life in the Kingdom and fostered an excellent economic environment for promising investments.

"One of the most prominent features of the Vision is the keenness to involve the Saudi and foreign private sectors, including the Turkish private sector," he said, explaining that the National Investment Strategy was aimed at enabling diversified investments with a total estimated volume of $3.3 trillion by 2030.

The Turkish Trade Minister emphasized the necessity to enhance bilateral investment and trade, noting the strong bilateral ties.

He noted that the free trade agreement would serve the two sides' interests: "Türkiye and the Kingdom are two countries that have sufficient energy to strengthen relations and work to develop all cultural, commercial, and industrial sectors."

- Red Sea Project

Bolat revealed that Saudi Arabia's investments in his country exceeded $2 billion, which he said confirmed "the confidence of our Saudi brothers in Türkiye."

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar al-Khorayef visited Ankara last August and participated in a Turkish-Saudi roundtable where he expressed his country's confidence in Turkish investors.

Khorayef hoped Turkish investors would take advantage of the investment opportunities in Saudi Arabia.

Last March, Saudi Arabia agreed to deposit $5 billion into Türkiye's central bank through its Saudi Fund for Development.

The decision demonstrates the Kingdom's commitment to supporting Türkiye's efforts to strengthen its economy following the devastating earthquake that hit Türkiye and Syria last February.

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China State Media Warn Trump against Mutually Destructive Tariff War

A shopper walks with his purchases at Plaza Las Americas Mall near the US-Mexico border in San Ysidro, California, on November 26, 2024. (AFP)
A shopper walks with his purchases at Plaza Las Americas Mall near the US-Mexico border in San Ysidro, California, on November 26, 2024. (AFP)
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China State Media Warn Trump against Mutually Destructive Tariff War

A shopper walks with his purchases at Plaza Las Americas Mall near the US-Mexico border in San Ysidro, California, on November 26, 2024. (AFP)
A shopper walks with his purchases at Plaza Las Americas Mall near the US-Mexico border in San Ysidro, California, on November 26, 2024. (AFP)

China's state media warned US President-elect Donald Trump his pledge to slap additional tariffs on Chinese goods over fentanyl flows could drag the world's top two economies into a mutually destructive tariff war.

Trump, who takes office on Jan. 20, said on Monday he would impose "an additional 10% tariff, above any additional tariffs" on imports from China until Beijing clamped down on trafficking of the chemical precursors used to make the deadly drug.

The two superpowers are setting out their positions ahead of the former president's return to the White House. Trump's first term resulted in a trade war that uprooted global supply chains and hurt every economy as inflation and borrowing costs shot up.

Editorials in Chinese communist party mouthpieces China Daily and the Global Times late on Tuesday warned the next occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue to not make China a "scapegoat" for the US' fentanyl crisis or "take China's goodwill for granted regarding anti-drug cooperation."

"The excuse the president-elect has given to justify his threat of additional tariffs on imports from China is farfetched," China Daily said.

"There are no winners in tariff wars. If the US continues to politicize economic and trade issues by weaponizing tariffs, it will leave no party unscathed."

Economists have begun downgrading their growth targets for China's $19 trillion economy for 2025 and 2026 in anticipation of further tariffs promised by Trump during the election campaign, and are warning Americans to brace for an increase in the cost of living.

"For now, the only thing we know for sure is that the risks in this area are high," said Louis Kuijs, chief Asia economist at S&P Global Ratings, which on Sunday lowered its China growth forecast for 2025 and 2026 to 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively.

"What we assumed in our baseline is an across-the-board (tariff) increase from around 14% now to 25%. Thus, what we assumed is a bit more than the 10% on all imports from China."

Trump is threatening Beijing with far higher tariffs than the 7.5%-25% levied on Chinese goods during his first term.

"China already has a template for dealing with the previous US tariff policy," the Global Times quoted Gao Lingyun, an analyst at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing, as saying.

"Using counternarcotics issues to increase tariffs on Chinese goods is untenable and unpersuasive," Gao added.

Chinese President Xi Jinping told former Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong that China's economy would continue to grow and develop in the long-term during a meeting in Beijing on Tuesday after Trump's comments, state news agency Xinhua said.

Lee reportedly told Xi "no one should underestimate the Chinese people's determination for their nation to succeed and stand tall in the world," a remark which a separate Global Times piece said was "also meant for some people in (the) international community."

Profits at Chinese firms fell 10% year-on-year in October, data showed on Wednesday, showing how companies are struggling to remain profitable in an economy that is far more vulnerable to trade shocks this time around.

Economists in a Reuters poll last week expected additional US tariffs ranging from 15% to 60%. Most said Beijing will need to inject more stimulus to boost economic growth and offset pressure on exports.

TRADE WAR TWO

Trump previously said he would introduce tariffs in excess of 60% on Chinese goods.

The threat is rattling China's industrial complex, which sells goods worth more than $400 billion annually to the US and hundreds of billions more in components for products Americans buy from elsewhere.

His pick of trade lawyer Jamieson Greer as new US trade representative elevates a key veteran of Trump's first term trade war against China and points to a bruising four years for trade negotiators the world over.

Greer served as chief of staff to Trump's former US Trade Robert Lighthizer, the architect of Trump's original tariffs on some $370 billion worth of Chinese imports and the renegotiation of the North American free trade deal with Canada and Mexico.

The president-elect looks set to tear up that agreement on his first day in office.

Trump on Monday also pledged 25% tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada, saying the US' neighbors were not doing enough to stop drugs and migrants crossing their borders.

But China can expect to bear the brunt of Trump's efforts to bring down the US' trade deficit and bring about the "manufacturing renaissance" he promised on the campaign trail.

"What the future will bring on this front is hard to say," S&P Global's Kuijs said. "There are many uncertainties. There is still a large increase to go to get to 60%."