Egypt Raises Interest Rates by 600 Bps, Pound Tumbles 

Traditional "Fanous" lanterns are displayed in a market in Cairo, Egypt, 04 March 2024. (EPA)
Traditional "Fanous" lanterns are displayed in a market in Cairo, Egypt, 04 March 2024. (EPA)
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Egypt Raises Interest Rates by 600 Bps, Pound Tumbles 

Traditional "Fanous" lanterns are displayed in a market in Cairo, Egypt, 04 March 2024. (EPA)
Traditional "Fanous" lanterns are displayed in a market in Cairo, Egypt, 04 March 2024. (EPA)

Egypt's central bank said on Wednesday that it had hiked interest rates by 600 basis points at an unscheduled meeting and that it would allow the exchange rate to be set by market forces as it shifted to an inflation targeting regime.

Egypt's pound fell sharply against the dollar as the markets opened, tumbling past 40 pounds to the dollar from about 30.85 pounds previously.

The country's international bonds soared, with longer-dated bonds enjoyed the biggest gains, with the 2047 bond enjoying the biggest gains, up 2.6 cent at 82.3 cent, Tradeweb data showed.

The premium demanded by investors to hold Egypt's international bonds over safe-haven US Treasuries tightened to 534 basis points, its lowest level since June 2021, according to data from JPMorgan

The central bank announced that it had raised the overnight lending rate to 28.25% and its overnight deposit rate to 27.25%, as part of a decision to accelerate monetary tightening and ensure a decline in underlying inflation.

"To ensure a smooth transition, the CBE will continue to target inflation as its nominal anchor, allowing the exchange rate to be determined by market forces," the central bank said in a statement.

"The unification of the exchange rate is crucial, as it facilitates the elimination of foreign exchange backlogs," it said.

While the central bank has had an inflation target until now, it also sought to manage the pound, which has been fixed at 30.85 to the dollar over the past year as the central bank has sought to defend its value amid a chronic shortage of foreign currency.

In late February, the government signed a major investment deal with the United Arab Emirates that eased pressure on the Egyptian pound on the black market.



Dollar Drifts as World Braces for Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
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Dollar Drifts as World Braces for Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar wobbled on Tuesday after a bruising quarter as weary investors braced for reciprocal tariffs from US President Donald Trump this week, a move that is likely to exacerbate the global trade war that has evoked US recession worries.

Investors' focus has been firmly on the new round of reciprocal levies that the White House is due to announce on Wednesday, with details scarce. Trump said late on Sunday that essentially all countries will be slapped with duties this week.

That has left currency markets subdued as traders stayed on the sidelines awaiting clarity on Trump's trade policies. Trump has already imposed tariffs on aluminium, steel and autos, along with increased tariffs on all goods from China.

"The second quarter may bring with it as much uncertainty and volatility for investors as the first quarter of the year," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, Rueters reported.

"To date, there has been very little clarity on what and who these tariffs will target out of the gate. Market volatility could escalate depending on what and who is targeted."

The euro was 0.11% lower at $1.0805 after gaining 4.5% in the first quarter of the year, its strongest quarterly performance since October-December in 2022, thanks mainly to Germany's fiscal overhaul, although some investors are sceptical of the bull run lasting longer.

The Japanese yen was a shade stronger at 149.815 per dollar on Tuesday. The yen rose nearly 5% against the dollar in the January-March period on growing bets that the Bank of Japan would hike interest rates again.

Data on Tuesday showed business sentiment among big Japanese manufacturers worsened in the three months to March, a sign escalating trade tensions were already taking a toll on the export-reliant economy and complicating the BOJ's next move.

Beyond tariffs, a string of economic reports, including jobs and payrolls data, could shed much-needed light on how the US economy is holding up under a second Trump presidency.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank officials' speeches this week also could offer clues on the path for US interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday held interest rates steady at 4.1% and said it was still cautious about the outlook, though it dropped an explicit reference to being cautious about cutting rates again.

The Aussie was mostly steady, up 0.1% at $0.6256 in a muted response to the policy decision. The currency had touched a four-week low of $0.6219 on Monday, though it eked out a 1% gain in the first quarter.

"The RBA's statement suggests they're inching towards their next cut, but in no rush to signal one ahead of the election or the quarterly inflation figures," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. Australia will hold a general election on May 3.

The RBA delivered its first rate cut in over four years in February but has since adopted a cautious tone on further easing, with Governor Michele Bullock and other top policymakers downplaying the likelihood of multiple cuts.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six rivals, was flat at 104.23. Sterling last fetched $1.2916, while the New Zealand dollar was at $0.56755.