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Gold Prices Drift Higher as Key US Inflation Data Looms

A salesman arranges gold bangles at a jewelry shop in Chennai, India, on May 10, 2024. (Photo by R. Satish BABU / AFP)
A salesman arranges gold bangles at a jewelry shop in Chennai, India, on May 10, 2024. (Photo by R. Satish BABU / AFP)
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Gold Prices Drift Higher as Key US Inflation Data Looms

A salesman arranges gold bangles at a jewelry shop in Chennai, India, on May 10, 2024. (Photo by R. Satish BABU / AFP)
A salesman arranges gold bangles at a jewelry shop in Chennai, India, on May 10, 2024. (Photo by R. Satish BABU / AFP)

Gold prices drifted up on Tuesday, with the spotlight shifting to key inflation reports due this week, which could offer more insights on the pace and scale of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts this year.
Spot gold was up 0.4% at $2,344.39 per ounce by 0557 GMT after falling 1% on Monday, Reuters reported.
US gold futures rose 0.3% to $2,350.00.
The US producer price index data is scheduled for release at 1230 GMT, followed by the consumer price index on Wednesday. The CPI data is expected to show core inflation rose 0.3% month-over-month in April, down from 0.4% the prior month, according to a Reuters poll, pulling the annual rate down to 3.6%.
"If gold manages to hold above $2,320- $2,330 range, that is a sign of positiveness. That means short-term momentum will be bullish and with that support after a weaker CPI data, potentially gold could test the all-time high level in the short-term," said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA.
However, currently "gold prices are supported by ongoing stagflationary risk scenario that is kind of ignoring the whole higher cost of holding gold."
Bullion is known as inflation hedge but elevated interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Last week's weak jobs report and a softer-than-expected US payrolls report for April have increased expectations for rate reductions this year. The Fed will cut its key interest rate twice this year, starting in September, according to a stronger majority of economists polled by Reuters.
Spot silver rose 0.8% to $28.41 per ounce and palladium gained 0.8% to $968.43.
Platinum was up 0.6% to $1,002.90, after hitting a near one-year peak on Monday.
BHP Group is likely to sweeten its $43 billion takeover offer for Anglo American for a second time and possibly add cash, investors in both companies said, after the London-headquartered target rejected a higher bid.

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BP Nears Deals for Oil Fields, Curbs on Gas Flaring in Iraq

British Prime Minster Keir Starmer (L) welcomes Prime Minister of Iraq Mohammed Shia al-Sudani to 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 January 2025. (EPA)
British Prime Minster Keir Starmer (L) welcomes Prime Minister of Iraq Mohammed Shia al-Sudani to 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 January 2025. (EPA)
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BP Nears Deals for Oil Fields, Curbs on Gas Flaring in Iraq

British Prime Minster Keir Starmer (L) welcomes Prime Minister of Iraq Mohammed Shia al-Sudani to 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 January 2025. (EPA)
British Prime Minster Keir Starmer (L) welcomes Prime Minister of Iraq Mohammed Shia al-Sudani to 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 January 2025. (EPA)

Iraq and British oil giant BP are set to finalize a deal by early February to develop four oil fields in Kirkuk and curb gas flaring, Iraqi authorities announced Wednesday.

The mega-project in northern Iraq will include plans to recover flared gas to boost the country's electricity production, they said.

Gas flaring refers to the polluting practice of burning off excess gas during oil drilling. It is cheaper than capturing the associated gas.

The Iraqi government and BP signed a new memorandum of understanding in London late Tuesday, as Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and other senior ministers visit Britain to seal various trade and investment deals.

"The objective is to enhance production and achieve optimal targeted rates of oil and gas output," Sudani's office said in a statement.

Iraq's Oil Minister Hayan Abdel Ghani told AFP after the new accord was signed that the project would increase the four oil fields' production to up to 500,000 barrels per day from about 350,000 bpd.

"The agreement commits both parties to sign a contract in the first week of February," he said.

Ghani noted the project will also target gas flaring.

Iraq has the third highest global rate of gas flaring, after Russia and Iran, having flared about 18 billion cubic meters of gas in 2023, according to the World Bank.

The Iraqi government has made eliminating the practice one of its priorities, with plans to curb 80 percent of flared gas by 2026 and to eliminate releases by 2028.

"It's not just a question of investing and increasing oil production... but also gas exploitation. We can no longer tolerate gas flaring, whatever the quantity," Ghani added.

"We need this gas, which Iraq currently imports from neighboring Iran. The government is making serious efforts to put an end to these imports."

Iraq is ultra-dependent on Iranian gas, which covers almost a third of Iraq's energy needs.

However, Teheran regularly cuts off its supply, exacerbating the power shortages that punctuate the daily lives of 45 million Iraqis.

BP is one of the biggest foreign players in Iraq's oil sector, with a history of producing oil in the country dating back to the 1920s when it was still under British mandate.

According to the World Bank, Iraq has 145 billion barrels of proven oil reserves -- among the largest in the world -- amounting to 96 years' worth of production at the current rate.