Saudi Budget: Non-Oil Revenues Highest Since End of 2020

A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)
A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)
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Saudi Budget: Non-Oil Revenues Highest Since End of 2020

A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)
A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)

Non-oil revenues in Saudi Arabia grew by 4 percent year-on-year during the second quarter of 2024, to reach SAR 140.6 billion ($73.3 billion), the highest level since the end of 2020.

Capital spending maintained its growth, as it rose by 49 percent year-on-year during the same period, reaching SAR 65 billion ($17.3 billion).

According to a statement by the Ministry of Finance on the budget performance for the second quarter of 2024, the total revenues increased by 12 percent, recording SAR 353 billion, while total expenditures amounted to SAR 369 billion and the value of the deficit SAR 15.3 billion.

The deficit for the first half of 2024 stands at 35% of the projected deficit for the year. The deficit amounted to SAR 15. 3 billion in the second quarter of 2024.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expected the Saudi budget to achieve a surplus in 2024, supported by the continued growth of the non-oil private sector. However, the Finance Ministry statement projected an annual deficit of 1.9 percent of GDP, and that the deficit to continue in the 2025 and 2026 budgets.

The volume of capital spending highlights the momentum gained by projects in the Kingdom, as part of Vision 2030, which contributed to shaping Saudi Arabia’s economic plans. Non-oil revenues reflect the government’s success in the process of diversifying the economy.

According to Ministry of Finance, total Saudi budget revenues increased by 12 percent in the second quarter of 2024, recording SAR 353 billion.

Non-oil revenues grew by 4 percent, reaching their highest levels since 2020, while oil revenues recorded a growth of 18 percent to SAR 213 billion ($56.8 billion) during the same period.

Total expenditures in Saudi Arabia during the second quarter of this year increased by 15 percent year-on-year to SAR 368.9 billion ($98.3 billion), compared to SAR 320 billion in the same period of 2023.

Expenditures grew by 12 percent year-on-year during the first half of 2024. The municipal services sector topped the volume of spending with 116 percent.

Spending on education during the first half of this year represented 52 percent of the total approved budget, amounting to SAR 101.8 billion, a decline of 1 percent compared to the same period of 2023.

For the seventh consecutive quarter, the general budget recorded a deficit of SAR 15.34 billion ($4 billion) during the second quarter of 2024. Public debt also increased at the end of the first quarter by 9 percent since the beginning of the year, reaching SAR 1.15 trillion. The Kingdom had borrowed SAR 104 billion from internal parties during the first half of 2024, and SAR 67.8 billion from external lenders.

The data also highlighted that the Kingdom’s GDP contracted by 0.4 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period last year, attributed to an 8.5 percent decline in oil activities.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, former member of the Shura Council, Dr. Fahd bin Jomaa said the government has put a plan within Vision 2030 to boost non-oil activities and reduce reliance on oil.

He noted that achieving a 4 percent growth in the non-oil sector was an indication that the country is moving in the right direction and building a real and diversified economy.



Euro Zone Inflation Edges up in 'Difficult Print' for ECB

A general view of a fruit and vegetable stand on a weekly market in Berlin, Germany, March 14, 2020. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
A general view of a fruit and vegetable stand on a weekly market in Berlin, Germany, March 14, 2020. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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Euro Zone Inflation Edges up in 'Difficult Print' for ECB

A general view of a fruit and vegetable stand on a weekly market in Berlin, Germany, March 14, 2020. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
A general view of a fruit and vegetable stand on a weekly market in Berlin, Germany, March 14, 2020. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

Euro zone inflation unexpectedly edged up in July, data showed on Wednesday, although a widely watched gauge of price growth in the services sector eased.

Wednesday's figures did not seem to derail market expectations for an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank in September, but they were likely to strengthen concerns about a difficult last mile in the ECB's efforts to bring down inflation.

According to Reuters, price growth in the 20 countries that share the euro accelerated to 2.6% in July from 2.5% in June according to Eurostat's flash estimate.

A key measure of underlying growth in prices -- which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco -- failed to show the expected decline and came in unchanged at 2.9%.

"It's a difficult print for the ECB," said Fabio Balboni, an economist at HSBC. "Disinflation on the goods side is coming to an end and services inflation remains high."

Still, Balboni stuck to his call for ECB cuts in September and December, as did investors in euro zone money markets, on expectations that inflation would eventually ease.

A general view of a fruit and vegetable stand on a weekly market in Berlin, Germany, March 14, 2020. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights.

"I still expect a second rate cut to come in September," said Kyle Chapman, a foreign exchange markets analyst at Ballinger Group. "I don’t think it matters too much if we get the odd data point that’s slightly stronger than expected."

Euro zone inflation has fallen a long way since briefly hitting double digits in late 2022, when it had been boosted in large part by a brisker-than-expected reopening of the economy after the COVID-19 pandemic and more expensive fuel in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

But that progress has stalled in recent months as prices in the services sector got a boost from higher salaries.

In a small, positive sign for the ECB, services' price growth eased to 4.0% from 4.1% in June as an expected boost from the Olympics in Paris failed to materialise, with some consumers balking at what they saw as price-gouging.

"This kind of pushback bodes well for the medium term inflation outlook," economists at ABN-Amro wrote in a note.

The ECB has made clear it would not be swayed by individual data points and will focus instead on the broader trend for inflation, which it expects to bounce around current levels this year before pulling back towards its 2% target in 2025.

The central bank started cutting rates last month, paused in July and is widely expected to slowly dial back over the next 1-1/2 years some of the steepest hikes it has made in its 25-year history.