Most Base Metals Fall as US Recession Jitters Dampen Sentiment

Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
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Most Base Metals Fall as US Recession Jitters Dampen Sentiment

Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Specialist Dilip Patel works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 5, 2024. Nearly everything on Wall Street is tumbling as fear about a slowing US economy worsens and sets off another sell-off for financial markets around the world.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Prices of most industrial metals dropped on Tuesday, weighed down by bleak demand outlook following US data that sparked fears of a possible recession in the world's biggest economy.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 0.3% at $8,858.50 per metric ton, as of 0303 GMT. The contract was hovering near a 4-1/2-month low of $8,714 hit in the previous session, Reuters said.
The most-traded September copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) declined 2.5% to 71,260 yuan ($9,964.90) a ton. The contract tumbled as much as 3.3% earlier in the session to 70,630 yuan, its lowest since March 13.
US data showed job growth fell short of expectations and the unemployment rate rose, pointing to possible weakness in the labor market and greater vulnerability to recession.
On the COMEX, fund managers dropped their bullish bets for copper, with net long positioning down to 9,449 contracts on July 30, an 87% drop from May 21, latest exchange data showed.
LME copper has shed 20% since its record high of $11,104.50 a ton hit on May 20.
Physical demand, however, improved as prices fell.
The premium to import copper into China rose to $48 a ton on Monday, the highest since March 18. Copper stocks in SHFE warehouses eased to 295,141 tons, the lowest since May 17, although inventories outside of China remained elevated.
LME aluminium eased 0.1% to $2,248.50 a ton, nickel edged down 0.4% at $16,205, zinc dipped 0.2% to $2,629, while tin advanced 0.3% to $29,570 and lead rebounded 0.7% to $1,944.50 after tumbling 4.6% in the previous session.
SHFE aluminium fell 0.7% to 18,855 yuan a ton, nickel dropped 1.1% to 128,910 yuan, zinc declined 1.4% to 22,225 yuan, lead shed 3% to 17,345 yuan and tin decreased 1.6% to 243,880 yuan.
SHFE lead hit its lowest since May 7 of 17,075 yuan, tracking losses in the previous session on the LME.



Safe-haven Gold Firms on US Recession Fears, Rate-cut Bets

Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Safe-haven Gold Firms on US Recession Fears, Rate-cut Bets

Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Gold prices drifted higher on Monday, aided by worries that the United States could be headed for a recession and rising bets that the Federal Reserve will likely need to start cutting interest rates aggressively.
Spot gold rose 0.14% to $2,446.83 per ounce, as of 0519 GMT, after falling 1% earlier in the session, Reuters said.
US gold futures rose 0.8% to $2,488.50.
"Gold is picking up safe-haven flows, with financial markets in a risk-averse mindset to start the week," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
"Markets are in a flux about the US economic outlook and whether rate cuts will arrive quickly enough from the Fed."
Share markets tumbled and bonds rallied in Asia as US recession fears sent investors rushing from risk assets.
Data on Friday showed that US job growth in July fell short of expectations, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, pointing to possible weakness in the labor market and greater vulnerability to recession.
Traders are pricing a more than 70% chance of the US central bank lowering rates by 50 basis points in September, compared with an 11.5% chance a week earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding bullion.
Meanwhile, on Friday, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin maintained a cautious outlook, stating he is not ready to adjust his monetary policy.
Investors will keep a tab on the final July S&P Global services and ISM on-manufacturing PMI due later in the day.
They also kept a close eye on the Middle East conflict, with the Pentagon announcing that the US military will deploy additional fighter jets and Navy warships to the Middle East to strengthen defense against threats from Iran and its allies, Hamas and Hezbollah.
Spot silver was down 0.4% at $28.43 per ounce, platinum fell 1.23% to $946.10 and palladium declined 0.9% to $882.09.