Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday as the dollar eased, with traders' attention turning to key US inflation data that may influence the Federal Reserve's next policy decision.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,524.54 per ounce, as of 0842 GMT. US gold futures edged 0.4% higher to $2,553.80.

The dollar index slipped 0.2%, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive to buyers holding other currencies, Reuters reported.

The US inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is due at 1230 GMT. The headline CPI is expected to have risen 0.2% on a month-on-month basis in August, according to a Reuters poll, unchanged from the previous month.

The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll that found only nine of 101 expected a half-percentage-point cut next week.

Lower rates boost the appeal of holding non-yielding bullion.

A rate cut should suggest a weaker dollar and by extension gold would benefit but the market might have over-positioned ahead of the long awaited Fed pivot, so prices might go lower before marching much higher, said independent analyst Ross Norman.

"Gold maintains its range-trading, but with a positive bias. We may see fresh highs in gold in 2024 and I would not be surprised to see a test of $2,650," Norman added.

Other data points due this week include the US producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims.

Bullion has gained more than 22% so far this year and scaled successive record highs, fuelled by rate-cut optimism, geopolitical turmoil and robust central bank demand.

Among other metals, spot silver was up 1.3% at $28.76 per ounce, platinum inched 0.1% higher to $938.34 and palladium firmed 1.1% to $975.50.



IMF, Ukraine Reach Deal That Would Give It Access to Some $1.1 Bln 

People walk on a pedestrian bridge during the sunset in city center of Kyiv, Ukraine, September 9, 2024. (AP)
People walk on a pedestrian bridge during the sunset in city center of Kyiv, Ukraine, September 9, 2024. (AP)
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IMF, Ukraine Reach Deal That Would Give It Access to Some $1.1 Bln 

People walk on a pedestrian bridge during the sunset in city center of Kyiv, Ukraine, September 9, 2024. (AP)
People walk on a pedestrian bridge during the sunset in city center of Kyiv, Ukraine, September 9, 2024. (AP)

The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday it had reached a preliminary agreement with Ukraine that would give the war-torn country access to about $1.1 billion in financial assistance.

The agreement follows what Kyiv said on Tuesday were "difficult" talks and is subject to approval by the fund's executive board, which the IMF said in a statement is expected to happen in "coming weeks".

The IMF is a key international lender to Kyiv and its four-year $15.6 billion program is a crucial part of a bigger global economic support package to Ukraine as it gears up for a third winter trying to fend off Russia's full-scale invasion.

"Russia's war in Ukraine continues to have a devastating impact on the country and its people," Gavin Gray, who led the IMF's monitoring mission to Kyiv for the fifth review of the lending program, said in a statement.

"Skillful policymaking, the adaptability of households and firms, and robust external financing has helped support macroeconomic and financial stability."

The IMF, however, said that the risks to Ukraine "remain exceptionally high" with an economic slowdown expected due to the impact of the war on labor market and Russia's continued attacks on the energy infrastructure, among other factors.

Kyiv is spending about 60% of its total budget to fund its army and relies heavily on financial support from its Western partners to pay pensions and wages to public sector employees and finance social and humanitarian spending.

Ukraine has received about $98 billion in financial aid from its Western partners since the start of the war, finance ministry data showed.

The IMF urged the Kyiv government, which President Volodymyr Zelenskiy reshuffled last week, to "respect financing constraints and debt sustainability objectives" in the 2025 budget and look for ways to increase domestic revenues.

The government has said previously it plans to raise taxes and has already implemented other fiscal measures, including increasing import and excise duties.

Ukraine also won an agreement from bondholders to restructure and write down its debt.