Gold Rallies to Record High on US Rate Cut Optimism

FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo
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Gold Rallies to Record High on US Rate Cut Optimism

FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo

Gold prices soared to an all-time high on Friday as the dollar weakened amid prospects of super-sized reduction in US interest rates next week, while palladium has gained over 15% so far this week.
Spot gold was up hitting a record 0.3% at $2,567.23 per ounce by 0703 GMT, after high of $2,570.21 earlier in the session. Bullion has gained about 3% for the week so far, Reuters reported.
US gold futures rose 0.6% to $2,595.10.
The dollar fell to a one-week low on Friday, making greenback-priced gold less expensive for other currency holders, with investors on tenterhooks around uncertainty of a 25 or 50 basis point US rate cut next week.
"Regardless of the size of the initial Federal Reserve rate cut, we look to be on the verge of a potentially long and frequent easing cycle, which is a scenario that bodes well for assets such as gold, which are non-yielding," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
The International Monetary Fund said it was appropriate for the Fed to begin a long-awaited monetary easing cycle at its meeting next week as upside risks to inflation have subsided.
Traders see a 41% chance of a 50-bp reduction and 59% odds of a 25 bp cut.
Investors will scan the US consumer sentiment (preliminary) data, due later in the day, for further clues on rate outlook.
ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari said "we are seeing (gold) prices can go to $2,600 in the short term, given the price momentum is looking quite strong right now."
Spot silver rose 0.3% to $30.01 and platinum gained 0.7% to $983.95. Both metals are headed for weekly gains.
Palladium climbed 0.4% to $1,050.50 and was headed for its best week since December 2023, fueled by export curb concerns.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow should consider limiting exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against the West.



Gold Hits All-time High as Fed Rate-cut Hopes Bolster Appeal

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Hits All-time High as Fed Rate-cut Hopes Bolster Appeal

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices rose more than 1% to hit a record high on Thursday, helped by expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week after US data signaled a slowing of the economy.
Spot gold was up 1.6% at $2,552.63 per ounce, as of 11:40 a.m. ET (1540 GMT). US gold futures were up 1.5% at $2,581.40, Reuters reported.
The US Labor Department said initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 230,000.
US producer prices increased slightly more than expected in August amid higher costs for services, but the trend remained consistent with subsiding inflation.
"We are headed towards a lower interest rate environment so gold is becoming a lot more attractive... I think we could potentially have a lot more frequent cuts as opposed to a bigger magnitude," said Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold.
Markets are currently pricing in an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point US rate cut at the Fed's Sept. 17-18 meeting, and a 15% chance of a 50-bps cut, the CME FedWatch tool showed.
Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates.
"The labor market is continuing to falter and if the labor market deteriorates, the journey that they'll embark on in cutting rates is going to go for an extended period of time," said Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures.
Elsewhere, palladium gained 2.3% to $1,031.00 per ounce, hitting its highest in over two months.
Traders said the metal was benefiting from a short-covering rally after Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Moscow should consider limiting exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against the West.
"Putin did not mention palladium. But since the metal is a by-product of Russian nickel production, such export curbs could drive down production of both metals and deepen the current deficit in the palladium market," said WisdomTree commodity strategist Nitesh Shah.