Gold Rallies to Record High on US Rate Cut Optimism

FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo
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Gold Rallies to Record High on US Rate Cut Optimism

FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A saleswoman displays a gold necklace inside a jewellery showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Kolkata, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/File Photo/File Photo

Gold prices soared to an all-time high on Friday as the dollar weakened amid prospects of super-sized reduction in US interest rates next week, while palladium has gained over 15% so far this week.
Spot gold was up hitting a record 0.3% at $2,567.23 per ounce by 0703 GMT, after high of $2,570.21 earlier in the session. Bullion has gained about 3% for the week so far, Reuters reported.
US gold futures rose 0.6% to $2,595.10.
The dollar fell to a one-week low on Friday, making greenback-priced gold less expensive for other currency holders, with investors on tenterhooks around uncertainty of a 25 or 50 basis point US rate cut next week.
"Regardless of the size of the initial Federal Reserve rate cut, we look to be on the verge of a potentially long and frequent easing cycle, which is a scenario that bodes well for assets such as gold, which are non-yielding," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
The International Monetary Fund said it was appropriate for the Fed to begin a long-awaited monetary easing cycle at its meeting next week as upside risks to inflation have subsided.
Traders see a 41% chance of a 50-bp reduction and 59% odds of a 25 bp cut.
Investors will scan the US consumer sentiment (preliminary) data, due later in the day, for further clues on rate outlook.
ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari said "we are seeing (gold) prices can go to $2,600 in the short term, given the price momentum is looking quite strong right now."
Spot silver rose 0.3% to $30.01 and platinum gained 0.7% to $983.95. Both metals are headed for weekly gains.
Palladium climbed 0.4% to $1,050.50 and was headed for its best week since December 2023, fueled by export curb concerns.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow should consider limiting exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against the West.



Oil Prices Up Over 1% on US Hurricane Impact Concerns

FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS
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Oil Prices Up Over 1% on US Hurricane Impact Concerns

FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS

Oil prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, spurred by concerns of Hurricane Francine impacting output in the US, the world's biggest crude producer, though worries of lower demand capped gains.
Brent crude futures for November were up $1, or 1.4% at $71.61 a barrel at 0632 GMT. US crude futures for October were up 92 cents, or 1.4%, at $68.23 a barrel, Reuters reported.
Both contracts rose by more than 2% in the previous session as offshore platforms in the US Gulf of Mexico were shut and refinery operations on the coast disrupted by Hurricane Francine's landfall in southern Louisiana on Wednesday.
"Both benchmarks, WTI and Brent, seem to have found some ground amid worries of disrupted US oil supplies," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Nova.
"The region accounts for about 15% of US oil production, with any disruptions in production likely to tighten supplies in the near term."
But with the storm set to eventually dissipate after making landfall, the oil market's attention again turned to lower demand.
US oil stockpiles rose across the board last week as crude imports grew and exports dipped, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.
The data also showed gasoline demand fell to its lowest since May at the same time distillate fuel demand dropped, with refinery runs also declining. The US is the world's biggest oil consumer.
Despite worries of Hurricane Francine impacting supply, the medium-term trend remains bearish for WTI crude, supported by weak demand from China and "growth scare concerns" in the US, said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA.
Earlier in the week, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and also trimmed its expectation for next year, its second consecutive downward revision.
"Oil traders are now looking ahead to International Energy Agency's monthly market report later this week for any signs of a weakening demand outlook," ANZ Research said in a note on Thursday.