Federal Reserve Cuts Key Rate by Sizable Half-point

News screens display the Federal Reserve rate announcement on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
News screens display the Federal Reserve rate announcement on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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Federal Reserve Cuts Key Rate by Sizable Half-point

News screens display the Federal Reserve rate announcement on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
News screens display the Federal Reserve rate announcement on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut its benchmark interest rate by an unusually large half-point, a dramatic shift after more than two years of high rates helped tame inflation but that also made borrowing painfully expensive for American consumers.
The rate cut, the Fed’s first in more than four years, reflects its new focus on bolstering the job market, which has shown clear signs of slowing, The Associated Press reported. Coming just weeks before the presidential election, the Fed’s move also has the potential to scramble the economic landscape just as Americans prepare to vote.
The central bank’s action lowered its key rate to roughly 4.8%, down from a two-decade high of 5.3%, where it had stood for 14 months as it struggled to curb the worst inflation streak in four decades. Inflation has tumbled from a peak of 9.1% in mid-2022 to a three-year low of 2.5% in August, not far above the Fed’s 2% target.
The Fed’s policymakers also signaled that they expect to cut their key rate by an additional half-point in their final two meetings this year, in November and December. And they envision four more rate cuts in 2025 and two in 2026.
In a statement, the Fed came closer than it has before to declaring victory over inflation: It said it “has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%.”
Though the central bank now believes inflation is largely defeated, many Americans remain upset with still-high prices for groceries, gas, rent and other necessities. Former President Donald Trump blames the Biden-Harris administration for sparking an inflationary surge. Vice President Kamala Harris, in turn, has charged that Trump’s promise to slap tariffs on all imports would raise prices for consumers even further.
Rate cuts by the Fed should, over time, lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, boosting Americans’ finances and supporting more spending and growth. Homeowners will be able to refinance mortgages at lower rates, saving on monthly payments, and even shift credit card debt to lower-cost personal loans or home equity lines. Businesses may also borrow and invest more.
Average mortgage rates have already dropped to an 18-month low of 6.2%, according to Freddie Mac, spurring a jump in demand for refinancings.
The Fed’s next policy meeting is Nov. 6-7 — immediately after the presidential election.



Gold Extends Gains into New Year as Traders Brace for Trump Policies

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO
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Gold Extends Gains into New Year as Traders Brace for Trump Policies

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/FILE PHOTO

Gold prices rose on Thursday, keeping up the momentum from a positive end to record-breaking 2024, as traders braced for US President-elect Donald Trump's expected policy shifts that will shape the economic and interest rate outlook for the new year.
Bullion surged over 27% last year, its biggest annual gain since 2010, as the US Federal Reserve's substantial rate cuts, robust central bank purchases and escalating geopolitical tensions boosted it to multiple record highs last year.
On the first trading session of the year, spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,634.88 per ounce, as of 0553 GMT. US gold futures edged up 0.2% to $2,646.70, Reuters said.
"Gold seems to be consolidating in a tight range, which often signals a market that's poised for a breakout. I suspect that breakout will be to the upside," said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com.
Gold is likely to remain bullish in 2025, driven by geopolitical risks and expectations of rising government debt due to a deep fiscal deficit under Trump’s administration, despite potential challenges from slower Fed rate cuts and dollar strength, Rodda said.
The market will now take cues from a slew of US economic data due next week, which could influence the interest rate outlook for 2025, and Trump's tariff policies.
Donald Trump will be sworn in as president of the United States on Jan. 20.
Traders anticipate the Fed to adopt a slow and cautious approach to further rate cuts in 2025, as inflation continues to exceed its 2% target. According to the CME's FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in just 11.2% chance of a cut in January.
Gold, which is seen as a safe investment in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, tends to be negatively impacted by high interest rates.
Spot silver rose 1.6% to $29.34 per ounce, palladium added 1.1% to $913.47 and platinum gained 0.9% to $918.65.
Silver ended 2024 as its best year since 2020, while platinum and palladium declined.