Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in over four years at its meeting on Wednesday, a dramatic shift after more than two years of high rates helped tame inflation but that also made borrowing painfully expensive for consumers.
As the Fed and other central banks around the world lower rates, emerging markets could benefit from this shift in policy.
Historically, lower rates in advanced economies make emerging markets more attractive by encouraging capital inflows, boosting economic growth, and supporting investments in key sectors like infrastructure and technology.
Rate cuts usually reduce borrowing costs, which can help emerging market governments and companies by making it cheaper to access capital for expansion and easing debt repayment pressures.
Additionally, low rates in places like the US and EU often drive global investors to seek higher returns in faster-growing markets, increasing demand for emerging market assets.
Emerging economies can also benefit from greater currency stability as capital inflows strengthen their balance of payments, which helps stabilize inflation and make essential imports like food and energy more affordable.
Lower rates can also support domestic spending, boosting demand for local goods and services.
Saudi Arabia is emerging as one of the world’s most attractive markets as global interest rates decline. The kingdom’s dynamic economy and ongoing reforms position it well to take advantage of cheaper borrowing costs and support long-term sustainable growth.
According to Arun Leslie John, Chief Market Analyst at Century Financial, the outlook for Saudi Arabia is very positive compared to global trends, driven by strong growth in non-oil sectors and government efforts to attract foreign investment.
John told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries, whose currencies are tied to the US dollar, are expected to benefit from upcoming rate cuts, which will lower financing costs, boost liquidity, and encourage both spending and investment in the region.
These favorable conditions could speed up economic growth, boost stock prices, and make Saudi Arabia an even more attractive investment destination, he said.
Saudi Arabia aims to attract over $100 billion in annual Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by 2030, a goal that seems achievable with the current easing of monetary policy, John added.
John also expects Saudi banks to benefit from lower interest rates by the end of 2024, which will be crucial for supporting lending and the government’s diversification plans.



Egypt Approves $91 Billion Budget for 2025/26

 The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
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Egypt Approves $91 Billion Budget for 2025/26

 The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)

Egypt's cabinet approved a 4.6 trillion Egyptian pound ($91 billion) draft state budget for the financial year that will begin in July, a government statement said on Wednesday, as it continues to tighten its finances under an IMF program.

Expenditures will rise by 18% and revenue by 19% over the current 2024/25 budget. Revenue is expected to hit 3.1 trillion pounds, working out to a deficit of about 1.5 trillion pounds ($30 billion).

The increased expenditure partly reflects elevated headline inflation, which was running at an annual 12.8% in February.

Financial reforms under an $8 billion financial reform program signed in March 2024 with the International Monetary Fund have helped Egypt bring inflation down from a peak of 38% in September 2023.

The IMF this month approved the disbursement of $1.2 billion to Egypt after its fourth review of the program.

The new budget targets a primary surplus of 795 billion pounds, equal to 4% of GDP, up from the 3.5% primary surplus originally targeted in the 2024/25 budget.

The IMF granted the government a waiver in the fourth review after the surplus came in 0.5% of GDP lower than Egypt's earlier commitment.

In its third review in June, the IMF praised Egypt for its "strict control of spending".

The new budget also lowers public debt to 82.9% of GDP from an expected 92% in 2024/25, the cabinet statement said.

The cabinet said 732.6 billion pounds in spending in the new budget would be allocated for subsidies, grants and social benefits, an increase of 15.2%.

The budget increases commodities and bread subsidies by 20% to 160 billion pounds. It will also include 75 billion pounds to subsidize petroleum products, 75 billion pounds to subsidize electricity and 3.5 billion pounds to subsidize natural gas deliveries to households, the statement added.