Oil Falls as Demand Outlook Weakens, Iran Supply Disruption Concerns Ease

Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
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Oil Falls as Demand Outlook Weakens, Iran Supply Disruption Concerns Ease

Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko

Oil prices slid as much as $3 to a near two-week low during Asian trade on Tuesday on the back of a weaker demand outlook and after a media report said Israel is willing not to strike Iranian oil targets, which eased fears of a supply disruption.

Brent crude futures were down $2.81, or 3.6%, to $74.65 per barrel at 0640 GMT, having dropped earlier to $74.26, its lowest since Oct. 2, Reuters reported.

US West Texas Intermediate futures fell $2.72, or 3.7%, to $71.11 per barrel. The contract fell as low as $70.75, its weakest since Oct. 3.

Both benchmarks had settled about 2% lower on Monday. They are down almost $5 so far this week, nearly wiping out cumulative gains made in the seven sessions up to last Friday when investors were concerned about supply risks as Israel planned to retaliate against a missile attack from Iran.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the US that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets and not nuclear or oil ones, the Washington Post reported late on Monday.

"Weakening demand has led to traders withdrawing the 'war premium' from prices," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

"However, geopolitics still continues to support oil at this level. Without geopolitics in the equation, oil would have tumbled even more, maybe even below $70 per barrel mark amid the current weakening demand narrative."

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Monday cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024, with China accounting for the bulk of the downgrade. China's demand is now seen growing by 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year, down from 650,000 bpd.

OPEC also lowered its global oil demand growth projection for next year to 1.64 million bpd from 1.74 million bpd.

China's customs data showed that September oil imports fell from a year earlier, as plants curbed purchases because of weak domestic fuel demand and narrowing export margins.

Independent market analyst Tina Teng said that while the demand outlook remains weak due to record high US production and soft Chinese demand, "oil retreated from the Middle East-tension-led surge as the market reaction may have been overdone."



Kuwait’s Agility Begins Major Expansion at Logistics Complex in Riyadh

Agility signed a new MoU to explore and develop logistics zones connected to railway projects in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Agility signed a new MoU to explore and develop logistics zones connected to railway projects in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Kuwait’s Agility Begins Major Expansion at Logistics Complex in Riyadh

Agility signed a new MoU to explore and develop logistics zones connected to railway projects in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Agility signed a new MoU to explore and develop logistics zones connected to railway projects in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Kuwaiti company Agility has announced plans to expand its logistics complex in Riyadh by adding 100,000 square meters of modern warehouses, bringing the total storage space to approximately 551,000 square meters.

The project, valued at SAR 250 million (around $66.58 million), aims to create 300 new job opportunities for Saudi citizens, with the first phase of the expansion set to be operational by the end of the first quarter of 2025.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat during the Global Logistics Forum in Riyadh, Agility CEO Tarek Sultan noted that the company had signed a new memorandum of understanding to explore and develop logistics zones connected to railway projects in Saudi Arabia, aiming to strengthen the country’s logistical infrastructure.

Sultan emphasized Agility’s key role in improving services and linking railway networks to its foreign client base, which has shown growing interest in investing in the Kingdom. This comes as Saudi Arabia aims to become a global logistics hub by 2030.

Sultan also highlighted Agility’s commitment to developing the small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) sector in Saudi Arabia, stating that the company, which is listed on both the Kuwait Stock Exchange and Dubai Financial Market, is looking to maximize opportunities for these businesses through investments in storage and logistics services.

On Sunday, during the Global Logistics Forum, the company announced major expansion plans for its logistics complex in Riyadh, expected to be completed within a year and a half. Sultan noted that there are additional projects currently under study and planning.

The CEO noted that Agility’s investments in Saudi Arabia amount to several billion riyals and are steadily increasing. It is noteworthy that the company’s profits decreased by 16% in the first half of 2024, totaling 24.70 million Kuwaiti dinars, due to a 24% rise in general and administrative expenses.