Gold Stalls as Buoyant US Dollar Keeps Gains in Check

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Stalls as Buoyant US Dollar Keeps Gains in Check

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the US dollar remained near two-month highs, with markets caught between profit-taking and prospects for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Spot gold was steady at $2,652.72 per ounce at 1108 GMT while US gold futures nudged up 0.1% to $2,669.20.

"We've got a US dollar near two-month highs, higher Treasury yields and also the overwhelming temptation of profit taking as we go towards November after gold's nearly 30% gain so far this year, so in short gold's got some pretty fierce headwinds at the moment," independent analyst Ross Norman said, according to Reuters.

Gold prices hit a record high of $2,685.42 last month, but shed some of those gains as the dollar hovered near a more than two-month peak reached in the previous session, making bullion more expensive for other currency holders.

"Further rate cuts I think will continue to support gold and we'll probably see a fresh all-time high this side of the year end," Norman said.

Currently traders see about an 87% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in November, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Non-yielding gold thrives in a lower interest rate environment.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller called for "more caution" on rate cuts ahead but Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said more rate reductions are likely as the Fed's 2% inflation target looms in sight.

Market participants are also watching out for US retail sales, industrial production data and weekly jobless claims this week.

Spot silver eased 0.1% to $31.14 per ounce. Platinum fell 1.2% to $980.78 and palladium was down 1.8% at $1,011.77.

"Scrap supply (for platinum) has disappointed in recent years, but we see room for a recovery next year. We still expect the platinum market to be under-supplied in 2025," UBS analysts said in an note.



Gold Slips More Than 1% as China Considers US Tariff Exemption

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo
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Gold Slips More Than 1% as China Considers US Tariff Exemption

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth//File Photo

Gold prices lost more than 1% on Friday and were heading for a weekly fall on signals of a potential de-escalation in the US-China trade war, including news that China was weighing tariff exemptions for some US goods.

Spot gold fell 1.5% to $3,299.69 an ounce as of 0830 GMT. US gold futures shed 1.1% to $3,310.20.

"Gold is facing challenges in sustaining upward momentum as optimism around a potential US-China trade agreement grows," said Zain Vawda, an analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA.

The dollar jumped reversing losses from the prior day while European shares rose after a media report that China was weighing tariff exemptions for some US goods, stoking hopes for a de-escalation in a spiraling trade war between the world's two largest economies.

A higher dollar makes the bullion more expensive for overseas buyers.

"A US-China trade agreement could push gold down toward $3,000/oz or lower, depending on other influencing factors," Vawda said.

US President Donald Trump asserted that trade talks with China are underway, pushing back against Chinese claims that no discussions have taken place to ease the ongoing trade war.

Gold, traditionally seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties has gained nearly 26% so far this year. It also touched a record high of $3,500.05 on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials indicated they saw no urgency in revising the monetary policy as they sought more information to determine how the Trump administration's tariffs were affecting the economy.

Non-yielding bullion tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.

"Now that the market's corrected it will be a good indicator if buying picks up in India," said Ross Norman, an independent analyst.

Spot silver fell 0.6% to $33.36 an ounce, platinum dropped 1.2% at $958.89 and palladium fell 1.6% to $938.78.

Silver was headed for a weekly gain while the other two metals were seen falling for the week.