Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil Market is Currently Balanced

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil Market is Currently Balanced

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser stated that the oil market is currently balanced, even as global demand is influenced by rising interest rates and slower economic growth in China.

China, the world’s largest oil consumer, is experiencing challenges due to significant shifts in its real estate sector, a key factor in its economic growth.

Speaking during a panel titled “The Future of Energy: What Will Accelerate the Energy Transition?” at the Future Investment Initiative conference, Nasser mentioned that he anticipates global oil demand will reach approximately 106 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of this year, with an average of 104.5 million barrels for the year.

Earlier this month, OPEC adjusted its forecast for global oil demand growth to 1.93 million barrels per day, down from 2.03 million barrels, marking the third consecutive revision. China accounted for most of this adjustment in the 2024 outlook, with OPEC attributing the revision to actual data and slightly lower demand expectations in certain areas.

Nasser highlighted a positive perspective on the situation, stating: “When people talk about China, they often amplify the negatives while overlooking the positives.”

Discussing the shift to renewable energy, Nasser emphasized the importance of reducing carbon emissions from existing energy sources as a priority, adding that the energy transition must be “affordable, safe, and sustainable.”

He confirmed that Saudi Arabia is “continuing efforts to reduce carbon emissions across all our operations... All our equipment is managed using AI and advanced data analytics.”

Pointing to the Saudi Green Initiative, he underscored the Kingdom’s commitment to the energy transition, while also ensuring continued efforts to expand oil and petrochemical activities.

Nasser further discussed energy needs in the Global South, saying: “The energy transition depends on economic investment levels... We need to start exporting to industrialized nations and enable the Global South to achieve this transition.” He noted that the Global South currently uses just one-tenth of the energy consumed by the Global North.



Saudi Arabia’s Private Sector Ends 2024 with Strongest Sales Growth

 The Saudi capital, Riyadh (AFP)
 The Saudi capital, Riyadh (AFP)
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Saudi Arabia’s Private Sector Ends 2024 with Strongest Sales Growth

 The Saudi capital, Riyadh (AFP)
 The Saudi capital, Riyadh (AFP)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector concluded 2024 on a high note, with significant increases in sales and business activity fueled by robust domestic and international demand.
The Kingdom’s non-oil GDP is expected to grow by over 4% in both 2024 and 2025, supported by notable improvements in business conditions, according to Riyad Bank’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report.
Despite inflationary challenges, the Riyad Bank PMI recorded 58.4 points in December, reflecting strong and accelerated economic recovery, albeit slightly lower than November’s 59.0 points.
The solid performance highlights improvements across non-oil sectors, with new business activity in December growing at its fastest pace in 12 months. This growth reflects rising domestic and global demand. Renewed marketing efforts and strong customer demand encouraged companies to boost production and expand operations, particularly in wholesale and retail.
The PMI has remained above the neutral threshold of 50.0 points since September 2020, signaling continuous expansion in Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economic activity.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) previously projected sustained momentum in Saudi Arabia’s non-oil reforms, estimating non-oil GDP growth for 2024 at between 3.9% and 4.4%. The IMF noted that growth could reach 8% if reform strategies are fully implemented.
Expansion in International Markets
A surge in exports was among the key factors driving non-oil economic growth in Saudi Arabia. December saw the largest increase in export orders in 17 months, underscoring the success of Saudi policies in opening new markets and fostering strong international trade relationships, supported by ongoing product innovation.
Higher domestic and international demand boosted production levels in December. Companies also worked to enhance operational efficiency, leading to a notable increase in inventory. Purchasing activity accelerated to its highest level in nine months, reflecting the sector’s ability to effectively meet rising demand.
Cost Pressures on Production
Despite significant growth in production and sales, the sector continues to face challenges related to sharp inflation in input costs, driven by heightened demand for raw materials. These pressures have led to higher product prices, although some companies opted to reduce prices to remain competitive and address elevated inventory levels.
Meanwhile, wage cost increases were less pronounced, helping mitigate economic pressures related to salaries.
Future Outlook
Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, highlighted the positive end to 2024 for the Kingdom’s non-oil private sector, reflecting the progress achieved under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030. He noted that the PMI score of 58.4 points demonstrates the sector’s resilience and ongoing expansion.
Al-Ghaith expects non-oil GDP to grow by over 4% in 2024 and 2025, driven by improved business conditions and rising new orders, signaling increased market confidence and demand. Elevated domestic demand and export growth have pushed total sales to their highest level in a year. This, in turn, has led to strong increases in business activity and inventory levels, demonstrating the sector’s ability to meet and capitalize on excess demand, he underlined.