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Gold Inches Higher on Softer Dollar as Attention Turns to Fed Meet

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
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Gold Inches Higher on Softer Dollar as Attention Turns to Fed Meet

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo

Gold prices gained on Monday on a softer dollar, while investor caution set in ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting where the central bank is expected to deliver a third rate cut this year and provide hints regarding its 2025 outlook.

Spot gold was up 0.6% at $2,663.23 per ounce as of 1222 GMT. US gold futures rose 0.3% to $2,682.50.

The dollar index fell 0.1%, retreating from more than a two-week high reached on Friday, making dollar-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.

"Market participants are awaiting the FOMC meeting and any guidance on future rate cuts," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. "We continue to expect a 25-bps cut this week and four more cuts next year."

The Fed is anticipated to lower interest rates by a quarter point at its two-day policy meeting, which starts on Tuesday. It will also offer updated projections on potential rate cuts for 2025 and possibly 2026.

"This (rate cuts) should support further investment demand and lift the gold price to $2,900/oz by mid next year," Staunovo said.

Non-yielding bullion tends to shine in a lower interest rate environment and during economic or geopolitical uncertainty.

Israel said on Sunday it plans to double its population on the occupied Golan Heights, citing Syrian threats despite the moderate tone of rebels who ousted Assad last week.

Gold and silver demand should remain strong until the US and global growth puts in a floor, with buying as a hedge against equity downside, that is until US interest rates get to neutral, Citi said in a note, adding that it sees "gold and silver peaking around 4Q'25/1Q'26."

Besides the FOMC interest rate decision, this week would also see key data releases including GDP figures, the PCE index report and the consumer sentiment (final) reading.

Spot silver rose 0.3% to $30.64 per ounce, platinum edged 0.2% lower at $922.84, while palladium was down 0.2% at $950.11.

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Honda, Nissan Move to Deepen Ties, Sources say, Including Possible Merger

FILE - Nissan Chief Executive Makoto Uchida, left, and Honda President Toshihiro Mibe attend a joint news conference in Tokyo, Friday, March 15, 2024. (Kyodo News via AP, File)
FILE - Nissan Chief Executive Makoto Uchida, left, and Honda President Toshihiro Mibe attend a joint news conference in Tokyo, Friday, March 15, 2024. (Kyodo News via AP, File)
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Honda, Nissan Move to Deepen Ties, Sources say, Including Possible Merger

FILE - Nissan Chief Executive Makoto Uchida, left, and Honda President Toshihiro Mibe attend a joint news conference in Tokyo, Friday, March 15, 2024. (Kyodo News via AP, File)
FILE - Nissan Chief Executive Makoto Uchida, left, and Honda President Toshihiro Mibe attend a joint news conference in Tokyo, Friday, March 15, 2024. (Kyodo News via AP, File)

Honda and Nissan are in talks to deepen ties, two people said on Wednesday, including a possible merger, the clearest sign yet of how Japan's once seemingly unbeatable auto industry is being reshaped by challenges from Tesla and Chinese rivals.
A combined Honda and Nissan would create a $54 billion company with annual output of 7.4 million vehicles, making it the world's third-largest auto group by vehicle sales after Toyota and Volkswagen, Reuters reported.
The two firms already forged a strategic partnership in March to cooperate in electric vehicle development, but Nissan's deepening financial and strategic trouble in recent months has added more urgency for closer cooperation with larger rival Honda.
Nissan announced a $2.6 billion cost savings plan last month that includes cutting 9,000 jobs and 20% of its global production capacity, as slumping sales in China and the United States led to an 85% plunge in second-quarter profit.
"This deal appears to be more about bailing out Nissan, but Honda itself is not resting on its laurels," said Sanshiro Fukao, executive fellow at Itochu Research Institute. "Honda's cash flow is set to deteriorate next year and its EVs haven't been going so well."
Shares of Nissan closed nearly 24% higher in Tokyo trade on Wednesday, while shares of Honda, whose market value of $43 billion is more than four times bigger than that of Nissan, declined 3%. Shares of Mitsubishi Motors, in which Nissan is the top shareholder with a 24% stake, gained nearly 20%.
The automakers have been grappling with challenges from EV makers, particularly in China, where BYD and others have surged ahead.
The talks between Honda and Nissan, first reported by the Nikkei newspaper, could allow the companies to cooperate more on technology and help them create a more formidable domestic rival to Toyota.
The discussions are focused on finding ways to bolster collaboration and include the possibility of setting up a holding company, said the people, who declined to be identified because the information has not been made public.
The companies are also discussing the possibility of a full merger, according to one of the people, as well as looking at ways to cooperate with Mitsubishi.
Honda, Nissan and Mitsubishi said no deal had been announced by any of the companies, though Nissan and Mitsubishi noted the three automakers had said previously they were considering opportunities for future collaboration.
French automaker Renault, a major Nissan shareholder, said it had no information and declined to comment.
Renault shares jumped 6.5%.
The three Japanese automakers are expected to hold a joint news conference in Tokyo on Monday, according to a source familiar with the matter.
Taiwan's Foxconn, which manufactures Apple's iPhones and has been seeking to expand its nascent EV contract manufacturing business, approached Nissan about a bid but it was rejected by the Japanese firm, two separate sources familiar with the matter said.
Bloomberg News reported earlier on Wednesday that Foxconn had approached Nissan to take a controlling stake.
Foxconn did not immediately respond to a request for comment, while a Nissan spokesperson declined to comment on Foxconn.
CHANGING LANDSCAPE
Over the past year, an EV price war launched by Tesla and BYD has intensified pressure on any automakers losing money on the next-generation vehicles. That has put pushed companies like Honda and Nissan to seek ways to cut costs and speed vehicle development, and mergers are a major step in that direction.
"In the mid- to long-term, this is good for the Japanese car industry as it creates a second axis against Toyota," said Seiji Sugiura, a senior analyst at Tokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory.
"Constructive rivalry with Toyota is a positive for the rather stagnating Japanese car industry when it must compete with Chinese automakers, Tesla and others."
Any merger would face significant US scrutiny and President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to take a hard line on imported vehicles, including threatening 25% tariffs on vehicles shipped from Canada and Mexico. He could seek concessions from Honda and Nissan to approve any deal, auto industry officials said.
Honda and Nissan both produce cars in Mexico for export to the US
Honda and Nissan would also have to work out how to integrate their different corporate cultures if they proceed with a merger, analysts said.
"Honda has a unique, technology-centric culture with strengths in powertrains, so there should be some internal resistance to the merger with Nissan, a competitor with a different culture that is now faltering," said Tang Jin, a senior researcher at Mizuho Bank.