Oil Wavers as Trump's Colombia Sanctions Threat Rattles Markets

Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson
Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson
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Oil Wavers as Trump's Colombia Sanctions Threat Rattles Markets

Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson
Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson

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Oil market momentum was kept in check on Monday as prices fluctuated in and out of negative territory, with traders on edge despite the US pulling back from initial sanctions threats against Colombia, reducing immediate concern over oil supply disruptions.

Brent crude futures fell 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $78.14 a barrel by 1200 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $74.27, down 39 cents, or 0.5%.

Both benchmarks oscillated between moderate gains and losses in early trading.

The US swiftly reversed plans to impose sanctions and tariffs on Colombia after the South American nation agreed to accept deported migrants from the United States, the White House said late on Sunday, Reuters reported.

Colombia last year sent about 41% of its seaborne crude exports to the US, data from analytics firm Kpler shows.

"Even if the sanctions didn't take place, this still creates nervousness that Trump will bully whoever needs to be bullied to get his way," said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB.

"Fundamentally, the market is surprisingly tight," said Schieldrop, referring to time spreads showing that the price of crude oil for quicker delivery is rising.

Gains were limited by Trump's repeated call on Friday for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut oil prices to hurt oil-rich Russia's finances and help to end to the war in Ukraine.

"One way to stop it quickly is for OPEC to stop making so much money and drop the price of oil ... That war will stop right away," Trump said.

Trump has also threatened to hit Russia "and other participating countries" with taxes, tariffs and sanctions if a deal to end the war in Ukraine is not struck soon.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday that he and Trump should meet to talk about the Ukraine war and energy prices.

"They are positioning for negotiations," said John Driscoll at Singapore-based consultancy JTD Energy, adding that this creates volatility in oil markets.

He added that oil markets are probably skewed a little bit to the downside, with Trump looking to boost US output and try to secure overseas markets for US crude.

"He's going to want to muscle into some of the OPEC market share; so in that sense he's kind of a competitor," Driscoll said.

However, OPEC and its allies including Russia have yet to react to Trump's call, with OPEC+ delegates pointing to a plan already in place to start raising oil output from April.

Both oil benchmarks registered their first weekly decline in five weeks on easing concern last week over potential supply disruptions resulting from the latest sanctions on Russia.

Goldman Sachs analysts said they do not expect a big hit to Russian production because higher freight rates have encouraged non-sanctioned ships to move Russian oil while the deepening discount on the affected Russian ESPO grade attracts price-sensitive buyers.

Still, JP Morgan analysts said some risk premium is justified given that nearly 20% of the global Aframax fleet currently faces sanctions.

"The application of sanctions on the Russian energy sector as leverage in future negotiations could go either way, indicating that a zero risk premium is not appropriate," they added in a note.

Elsewhere, Chinese manufacturing data on Monday was weaker than expected, adding fresh concerns over energy demand.



Saudi Arabia to Bring Together 45 Ministers, 200 Speakers to Boost Global Jobs

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia to Bring Together 45 Ministers, 200 Speakers to Boost Global Jobs

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia will host 45 ministers and more than 200 local and international speakers to boost cooperation and create more suitable job opportunities for youth worldwide, according to Dr. Abdullah Abuthnain, Vice Minister of Human Resources and Social Development for Labor and Chairman of the Executive Committee.

The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development is holding the second edition of the Global Labor Market Conference (GLMC) in Riyadh on January 29-30.

The event aims to establish a key dialogue platform to discuss opportunities and challenges and provide solutions for the future of global labor markets.

Abuthnain told Asharq Al-Awsat that the ministerial roundtable will serve as an annual global platform bringing together policymakers, industry leaders, and decision-makers to discuss labor market challenges, solutions, and relevant developments worldwide.

Over 45 labor ministers from around the world will meet at the event to discuss innovative policies aimed at improving working conditions and youth employment, he added.

The conference will serve as a platform for sharing best practices and discussing challenges and successes in global labor markets, including Saudi Arabia, which is seeing major advancements in policy and a competitive work environment.

The ministerial meeting also aims to “strengthen international cooperation to create more job opportunities for youth worldwide,” Abuthnain added. The meeting is primarily a “platform for exchanging ideas and experiences.”

Building on discussions from the first meeting, the second session will continue to explore previous topics, incorporating new insights and developments over the past year, and looking ahead to future trends. This will give participating countries the chance to share their successes and challenges.

The ministerial meeting will encourage ongoing dialogue to strengthen collective efforts and make use of research and studies to support the future of global labor markets.

With around 200 local and international speakers, the conference will focus on six main themes: continuous learning, the impact of digital transformation on labor markets, wage growth, and the importance of skills-based employment.

Other topics will include productivity, the role of mobile workforces in economic growth, youth challenges, and the contribution of small and medium businesses to innovation and digital transformation.

The conference has strategic partnerships with over 45 countries, as well as organizations like the International Labour Organization, the World Bank, the UN Development Program, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and the Misk Foundation.

It will feature experts from think tanks like Combining Trust International, the Korea Labor Institute, and the Indian Labor Economics Association, who will contribute ideas and solutions to common labor market challenges.

Abuthnain believes the diverse group of leaders and experts from around the world will have a significant impact on improving youth employment opportunities.

“Our goal is to find solutions that benefit not only our region but also provide a model for global cooperation,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“We expect participating countries to learn from each other based on their unique needs. This conference is a global platform for sharing ideas and experiences, with a common goal of supporting today’s youth and future generations,” he added.

Saudi Arabia’s labor market is supported by Vision 2030, which has helped achieve historic successes, including reducing the unemployment rate to 3.7% and driving technological progress, Abuthnain said.