Gold Scales Record Peak as Fed Signals Two Rate Cuts in 2025

Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo
Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo
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Gold Scales Record Peak as Fed Signals Two Rate Cuts in 2025

Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo
Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo

Gold touched an all-time high on Thursday as the US Federal Reserve signaled two possible interest rate cuts this year, adding to the bullion's appeal amid ongoing geopolitical and economic tensions.
Spot gold held steady at $3,047.1 an ounce as of 0700 GMT, after hitting a record high of $3,057.21 earlier in the session.
US gold futures gained 0.4% to $3,054.10, Reuters reported.
Gold is driven by "a lot of uncertain market situations, geopolitical tensions, weaker US dollar and expectations that interest rates will be cut later", said Dick Poon, general manager at Heraeus Metals Hong Kong Ltd.
On Wednesday, the Fed left its benchmark rate unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range, as was widely expected. Policymakers anticipate two quarter-percentage-point cuts by the end of 2025.
Non-yielding bullion thrives in a low interest rate environment.
US President Donald Trump's initial policies, including tariffs, appear to have tilted the US economy towards slower growth and higher inflation, at least temporarily, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said.
Trump's tariffs have flared trade tensions and are widely seen as inflationary and detrimental to economic growth.
The tariff uncertainty, rate cut possibilities and escalating tensions in the Middle East have contributed to gold's rally, prompting it to notch 16 record highs so far in 2025, with four being above the $3,000 milestone.
On Thursday, 37 Palestinians were killed in Israeli airstrikes across Gaza, after Israel resumed its bombing campaign.
"For now, gold's appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge has further strengthened in light of those geopolitical concerns and tariff uncertainty. We remain constructive on the outlook of gold," said OCBC forex strategist Christopher Wong.
Geopolitical and economic uncertainties underscore gold's role as a store of value.
"Given the very good performance in gold through Q1, I think a correction is not out of the question," said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.
"So far, corrections have been relatively short-lived and well bid... $3,090-$3,100 may see some resistance."
Spot silver was flat at $33.8 an ounce, platinum fell 0.3% to $989.85. Palladium slipped 1% to $949.50.



China Slams US Sanctions on Oil Refinery in Shandong

A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. Reuters
A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. Reuters
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China Slams US Sanctions on Oil Refinery in Shandong

A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. Reuters
A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. Reuters

Oil prices settled higher on Friday and recorded a second consecutive weekly gain as fresh US sanctions on Iran and the latest output plan from the OPEC+ producer group raised expectations of tighter supply.
Brent crude futures rose 16 cents, or 0.2%, to settle at $72.16 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $68.28.
On Thursday, the US Treasury announced new Iran-related sanctions, which for the first time targeted an independent Chinese refiner among other entities and vessels involved in supplying Iranian crude oil to China.
For its part, China on Friday slammed US sanctions on Chinese companies imposed over imports of Iranian oil.
Beijing has always opposed the use of “illegal unilateral sanctions” and “long-arm jurisdiction” and called on the US to “stop interfering with and undermining the normal trade and economic cooperation between China and Iran,” Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning told a news conference in Beijing.
“China will take all measures necessary to firmly safeguard the lawful rights and interests of our companies,” she added.
RBC Capital Markets LLC analysts including Brian Leisen said in a note on Friday, “We see this as a clear risk escalation for physical flows for the region, though today’s moves stopped short of a full physical impediment to the illicit Iranian oil trade into China.”
They added, “We think it reasonable that the risk premium here is taken more seriously.”
It was the fourth round of sanctions on Iran's oil sales since President Donald Trump's February call for “maximum pressure” on Tehran, including efforts to drive its crude exports to zero.
Analysts at ANZ Bank said they expect a 1 million barrels per day (bpd) reduction in Iranian crude oil exports because of tighter sanctions. Vessel tracking service Kpler estimated Iranian crude oil exports above 1.8 million bpd in February.
Oil prices were also supported by the new OPEC+ plan for seven members to cut output further to compensate for producing more than agreed levels. The plan would represent monthly cuts of between 189,000 bpd and 435,000 bpd until June 2026.
OPEC+ this month confirmed that eight of its members would proceed with a monthly increase of 138,000 bpd from April, reversing some of the 5.85 million bpd of output cuts agreed in a series of steps since 2022 to support the market.
“While the group shares a plan for compensation cuts, it certainly doesn’t mean members will follow it. A handful of members have consistently produced above their target production levels,” ING analysts said in a note on Friday.
Separately, a new explosion rocked an oil depot in Russia's southern Krasnodar region on Friday where firefighters had been trying to extinguish a blaze that had broken out on Tuesday after a Ukrainian drone attack hours after Putin spoke to Trump.
“During the extinguishing process, due to depressurisation of the burning tank, there was an explosion of oil products and release of burning oil,” Russian regional authorities said on the Telegram messaging app
The depot, near the village of Kavkazskaya, is a rail terminal for Russian oil supplies to a pipeline linking Kazakhstan to the Black Sea. Russia's foreign ministry said on Thursday that Ukraine had already violated a proposed ceasefire on energy sites by attacking the depot.