Taiwan Defends Trade, Currency Record Ahead of Possible US Tariffs 

Shipping containers are stacked in the port city of Keelung, Taiwan, 20 March 2025. (EPA)
Shipping containers are stacked in the port city of Keelung, Taiwan, 20 March 2025. (EPA)
TT
20

Taiwan Defends Trade, Currency Record Ahead of Possible US Tariffs 

Shipping containers are stacked in the port city of Keelung, Taiwan, 20 March 2025. (EPA)
Shipping containers are stacked in the port city of Keelung, Taiwan, 20 March 2025. (EPA)

Taiwan's central bank on Wednesday defended the island's trade and currency record ahead of possible tariffs from US President Donald Trump, saying the high current account surplus was a structural problem and Washington understood that.

Trump officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have said that much of the reciprocal tariff focus, to be announced on April 2, will be on 15 countries that have the highest trade surpluses, which Bessent has referred to as the "Dirty 15."

They did not name these, but according to US Census Bureau data, Taiwan is one of those 15 with the largest trade surpluses with the United States, along with countries like China and South Korea plus the European Union.

In a report to lawmakers, Taiwan's central bank noted that the island's current account surplus last year was 14.3% of GDP.

"It reflects the structural problem of the sharp increase in US demand for Taiwan's technological products and the expansion of our trade surplus with the United States. The US side understands this point of view," the central bank said.

Taiwan runs a large trade surplus with the United States, which surged 83% last year, with the island's exports to the US hitting a record $111.4 billion, driven by demand for high-tech products such as semiconductors, a sector Taiwan dominates.

"As Taiwan's trade surplus with the United States is relatively large, the risk of bilateral trade disputes between Taiwan and the United States must be carefully managed," the central bank said.

Taiwan has previously been put on a foreign exchange "monitoring" list by the US Treasury Department given its trade surplus and outsized current account surplus.

The central bank said its exchange rate policy aims to maintain an "orderly" foreign exchange market and financial stability, and that it never intended to gain an unfair competitive advantage in trade.

It also expressed concern about Trump's frequent economic and trade policy flip-flops and lack of clarity about his plans on tariffs in particular.

"Especially, the impact of the tariff increase policy is the most significant, which is detrimental to the growth of the global economy and may push up inflation," the central bank said.



Dollar Drifts as World Braces for Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
TT
20

Dollar Drifts as World Braces for Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar wobbled on Tuesday after a bruising quarter as weary investors braced for reciprocal tariffs from US President Donald Trump this week, a move that is likely to exacerbate the global trade war that has evoked US recession worries.

Investors' focus has been firmly on the new round of reciprocal levies that the White House is due to announce on Wednesday, with details scarce. Trump said late on Sunday that essentially all countries will be slapped with duties this week.

That has left currency markets subdued as traders stayed on the sidelines awaiting clarity on Trump's trade policies. Trump has already imposed tariffs on aluminium, steel and autos, along with increased tariffs on all goods from China.

"The second quarter may bring with it as much uncertainty and volatility for investors as the first quarter of the year," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, Rueters reported.

"To date, there has been very little clarity on what and who these tariffs will target out of the gate. Market volatility could escalate depending on what and who is targeted."

The euro was 0.11% lower at $1.0805 after gaining 4.5% in the first quarter of the year, its strongest quarterly performance since October-December in 2022, thanks mainly to Germany's fiscal overhaul, although some investors are sceptical of the bull run lasting longer.

The Japanese yen was a shade stronger at 149.815 per dollar on Tuesday. The yen rose nearly 5% against the dollar in the January-March period on growing bets that the Bank of Japan would hike interest rates again.

Data on Tuesday showed business sentiment among big Japanese manufacturers worsened in the three months to March, a sign escalating trade tensions were already taking a toll on the export-reliant economy and complicating the BOJ's next move.

Beyond tariffs, a string of economic reports, including jobs and payrolls data, could shed much-needed light on how the US economy is holding up under a second Trump presidency.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank officials' speeches this week also could offer clues on the path for US interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday held interest rates steady at 4.1% and said it was still cautious about the outlook, though it dropped an explicit reference to being cautious about cutting rates again.

The Aussie was mostly steady, up 0.1% at $0.6256 in a muted response to the policy decision. The currency had touched a four-week low of $0.6219 on Monday, though it eked out a 1% gain in the first quarter.

"The RBA's statement suggests they're inching towards their next cut, but in no rush to signal one ahead of the election or the quarterly inflation figures," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. Australia will hold a general election on May 3.

The RBA delivered its first rate cut in over four years in February but has since adopted a cautious tone on further easing, with Governor Michele Bullock and other top policymakers downplaying the likelihood of multiple cuts.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six rivals, was flat at 104.23. Sterling last fetched $1.2916, while the New Zealand dollar was at $0.56755.