Gold Falls as Positive US-China Talks Hamper Safe-haven Appeal

Gold jewelry are displayed for sale at V&P Jewelry in the St. Vincent Jewelry Center in the Jewelry District of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, Wednesday, April 30, 2025. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
Gold jewelry are displayed for sale at V&P Jewelry in the St. Vincent Jewelry Center in the Jewelry District of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, Wednesday, April 30, 2025. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
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Gold Falls as Positive US-China Talks Hamper Safe-haven Appeal

Gold jewelry are displayed for sale at V&P Jewelry in the St. Vincent Jewelry Center in the Jewelry District of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, Wednesday, April 30, 2025. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
Gold jewelry are displayed for sale at V&P Jewelry in the St. Vincent Jewelry Center in the Jewelry District of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, Wednesday, April 30, 2025. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)

Gold slipped on Monday as positive US-China trade talks alleviated market fears, leading investors to shift from safe-haven assets towards riskier investments.

Spot gold fell 1.4% to $3,277.34 an ounce, as of 0432 GMT. US gold futures lost 1.9% to $3,281.70, Reuters reported.

"The dollar index has advanced as the Trump administration touted progress in trade negotiations, with China following negotiations over the weekend in Switzerland which weighed on gold prices," said Jigar Trivedi, senior commodity analyst at Reliance Securities.

The US and China ended high-stakes trade talks on a positive note on Sunday, with US officials touting a "deal" to reduce the US trade deficit, while Chinese officials said they had reached "important consensus".

Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng said a joint statement would be released in Geneva on Monday.

The US and China imposed tit-for-tat tariffs on each other last month, triggering a trade war that fueled fears of global recession.

The US will be left with higher tariffs once the dust settles from President Donald Trump's trade negotiations, a majority of the current and former Trump advisers Reuters spoke to said.

Gold, traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainties, thrives in a low-interest rate environment.

On Friday, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said the Fed needs more time to see how the economy responds to Trump's tariffs and other policies before figuring out the right response.

Traders are also eyeing release of US Consumer Price Index on Tuesday for fresh signals on the Fed's monetary policy trajectory.

"In the near term, gold possibly continue to decline as the dollar could appreciate and amid reducing geopolitical risk the haven demand too may drop hence, the yellow metal may decline to $3,200/oz in the near term," Trivedi added.

Spot silver gained 0.4% to $32.84 an ounce, platinum rose 0.7% to $1,001.90 and palladium firmed 0.6% to $981.20.



Oil Slips as Iran-Israel Conflict Enters Sixth Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Slips as Iran-Israel Conflict Enters Sixth Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices fell on Wednesday, after a gain of 4% in the previous session, as markets weighed up the chance of supply disruptions from the Iran-Israel conflict and as they ponder a direct US involvement.

Brent crude futures fell 93 cents, or 1.2%, to $75.52 a barrel by 0918 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 88 cents, also 1.2%, to $73.96 per barrel.

US President Trump warned on social media on Tuesday that US patience was wearing thin, and called for an "unconditional surrender" from Iran.

While he said there was no intention to kill Iran's leader Ali Khamenei "for now," his comments suggested a tougher stance toward Iran as he weighs whether to deepen US involvement.

A source familiar with internal discussions said one of the options Trump and his team are considering included joining Israel on strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.

A direct US involvement threatens to widen the confrontation further, putting energy infrastructure in the region at higher risk of attack, analysts say.

"The biggest fear for the oil market is the shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz," ING analysts said in a note.

"Almost a third of global seaborne oil trade moves through this chokepoint. A significant disruption to these flows would be enough to push prices to $120 [a barrel]," the bank added.

Iran is OPEC's third-largest producer, extracting about 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil.

Meanwhile, Iranian ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva Ali Bahreini said on Wednesday that Tehran has conveyed to Washington that it will respond firmly to the United States if it becomes directly involved in Israel's military campaign.

Markets are also looking ahead to a second day of US Federal Reserve discussions on Wednesday, in which the central bank is expected to leave its benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%.

However, the conflict in the Middle East and the risk of slowing global growth could potentially push the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in July, sooner than the market's current expectation of September, said Tony Sycamore, market analyst with IG.

Lower interest rates generally boost economic growth and demand for oil.

Confounding the decision for the Fed, however, is the Middle East conflict's potential creation of a new source of inflation via surging oil prices.

US crude stocks fell by 10.1 million barrels in the week ended June 13, market sources told Reuters, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Official Energy Information Administration data is due later on Wednesday.