Azour: Saudi Arabia Adapts to Global Challenges Thanks to Reforms, Strong Reserves

IMF Director of Middle East and Central Asia Department Dr. Jihad Azour, speaking during the session in Riyadh (Photo: Turki Al-Agili)
IMF Director of Middle East and Central Asia Department Dr. Jihad Azour, speaking during the session in Riyadh (Photo: Turki Al-Agili)
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Azour: Saudi Arabia Adapts to Global Challenges Thanks to Reforms, Strong Reserves

IMF Director of Middle East and Central Asia Department Dr. Jihad Azour, speaking during the session in Riyadh (Photo: Turki Al-Agili)
IMF Director of Middle East and Central Asia Department Dr. Jihad Azour, speaking during the session in Riyadh (Photo: Turki Al-Agili)

Saudi Arabia continues to demonstrate resilience in the face of global economic challenges, bolstered by structural reforms and substantial financial reserves, According to Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

He said the Kingdom is well-equipped to manage fluctuations in global oil prices.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of an IMF-hosted panel in Riyadh on global and regional economic developments, Azour stressed that Saudi Arabia has significant reserves that act as a financial buffer against external shocks. These reserves, coupled with ongoing structural reforms under Saudi Vision 2030, have greatly enhanced the Kingdom’s economic adaptability.

Azour noted that the reforms are not only increasing the economy’s flexibility but are also successfully diversifying income sources and boosting the contribution of non-oil sectors to the GDP. This shift toward developing promising new sectors is reducing dependency on oil revenues while creating sustainable economic opportunities.

He stressed that the mechanisms in place in the Kingdom, the adopted fiscal policies, and the implementation of Vision 2030 allow it to adapt to global shifts, despite current challenges.

Earlier this month, Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim confirmed the Kingdom’s readiness to face all possible oil price scenarios, noting that Saudi Arabia has sufficient safety margins.

A mission to Syria

In a notable development, the IMF is sending a mission to Syria this week to assess the country’s financial and economic landscape in the first such visit in over a decade.

Azour confirmed the visit will focus on evaluating the central bank, finance ministry, and statistical agencies to determine technical needs and explore cooperation frameworks.

The mission aims to establish priorities for providing technical assistance and institutional support, and reflects the IMF’s renewed engagement with Syria. Azour himself plans to visit Damascus at the end of June following the mission’s report.

The move comes after the IMF appointed Ron van Rooden as its mission chief to Syria in April 2025, the first such appointment since the Syrian conflict began.

Azour said initial discussions with Syrian officials began at the Emerging Markets Forum in AlUla, Saudi Arabia, earlier this year and continued during the IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington.

The talks were attended by Syria’s Foreign Minister Asaad Al-Shaibani, and were supported by Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, and World Bank President Ajay Banga.

International Support and Lifting of Sanctions

The IMF’s renewed involvement coincides with growing international efforts to reintegrate Syria into the global economic system. In a significant step, the US Treasury Department officially lifted economic sanctions on Syria last Friday.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Syria must continue working to become a peaceful and stable country, and expressed hope that the latest decision would help put the country on a path toward prosperity and peace.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio also announced a 180-day waiver of Caesar Act sanctions to facilitate investment and ensure uninterrupted access to electricity, energy, water, healthcare, and humanitarian aid.

In a further sign of support, Saudi Arabia and Qatar pledged to repay Syria’s debt to the World Bank, paving the way for the resumption of its operations in the country after a 14-year hiatus. This move could unlock international funding crucial for Syria’s reconstruction and economic recovery.

The IMF’s engagement is part of a broader strategy to support conflict-affected countries in rebuilding institutions, restoring economic stability, and fostering inclusive development.

Through this renewed cooperation, the IMF hopes to help lay the groundwork for sustainable growth and improved livelihoods for the Syrian people.



Gold Holds Steady, Eyes Fourth Weekly Gain on US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes

Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)
Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)
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Gold Holds Steady, Eyes Fourth Weekly Gain on US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes

Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)
Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)

Gold held largely steady on Friday and was on track for a fourth straight weekly gain, as hopes for a US-Iran peace deal eased fears of higher inflation and elevated interest rates.

Spot gold eased 0.1% to $4,784.72 per ounce by 0646 GMT, but was up about 1% so far this week. US gold futures for June fell 0.1% to $4,805.20.

A 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and ‌Israel went ‌into effect on Thursday and US President Donald ‌Trump ⁠said the next meeting between ⁠the United States and Iran may take place over the weekend.

"Investors are now watching closely for concrete progress in US-Iran negotiations. Any progress or extension of the current fragile ceasefire could further calm oil markets and inflation fears, potentially unlocking more upside for gold," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

The US dollar was headed ⁠for a second weekly drop, making greenback-denominated commodities ‌more affordable for holders of other currencies, Reuters said.

Oil ‌prices fell, easing fears of higher inflation on optimism that the Iran ‌war could be nearing an end.

Concerns that higher energy prices ‌could stoke inflation and keep global interest rates higher for longer have driven down gold prices by more than 8% since the Iran war began in late February.

While gold is considered an inflation hedge, higher interest rates crimp ‌demand for the non-yielding asset.

Traders now see a 27% chance of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve interest ⁠rate cut in ⁠December. Before the war, there were expectations of two reductions for this year.

Meanwhile, Indian banks have halted gold and silver import orders from overseas suppliers, with tons of the metals stuck at customs as a formal government order has not been issued authorizing bullion imports.

Gold demand in India was modest this week, as high domestic prices weighed on retail purchases ahead of the key Akshaya Tritiya festival weekend, while premiums in China held steady.

Spot silver rose 0.3% to $78.61 per ounce, and was headed for a fourth straight weekly gain.

Platinum fell 0.3% to $2,079.24 and palladium was down 0.5% at $1,542.50. Both the metals were on track for a third straight weekly gain.


IMF: Middle East Faces Pivotal Economic Moment

Azour speaks during a presentation of the Regional Economic Outlook update (AFP)
Azour speaks during a presentation of the Regional Economic Outlook update (AFP)
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IMF: Middle East Faces Pivotal Economic Moment

Azour speaks during a presentation of the Regional Economic Outlook update (AFP)
Azour speaks during a presentation of the Regional Economic Outlook update (AFP)

The International Monetary Fund said the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan were facing a pivotal and exceptionally difficult moment in their modern economic history after the war that broke out on Feb. 28, 2026, describing it as a severe and multifaceted shock to one of the world’s most strategically important economic corridors.

The IMF said the conflict was not merely a border crisis but had disrupted “three pillars of stability, energy markets, trade routes, and business confidence,” triggering a global energy shock and weakening supply chains.

Amid these challenges, Saudi Arabia’s economy emerged as a model of resilience, showing what the IMF described as “exceptional sturdiness” that enabled it to absorb the impact of disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz and a decline in regional output, supported by the pillars of Vision 2030, which strengthened fiscal discipline and logistical flexibility.

Jihad Azour, director of the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia Department, said while presenting an update of the Regional Economic Outlook in Washington, on the sidelines of the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, that the war was reshaping the region’s economic outlook.

At the center of the shock was energy, he said, noting that the Strait of Hormuz, “the world’s most critical energy chokepoint, through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply and about one-quarter of global LNG trade normally transit,” had come close to a standstill.

He said disruptions and shutdowns had cut oil and gas output across Gulf Cooperation Council countries, pushing Brent crude above $100 a barrel, while “European gas prices rose by roughly 60 percent, exceeding the spike observed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine,” putting global energy security at risk.

He said energy disruptions caused by the war would weigh heavily on Gulf exporters, while oil-importing countries such as Egypt and Jordan were facing higher commodity prices and weaker remittance flows.

More broadly, the Middle East and North Africa region is expected to see a marked slowdown in growth this year, with real GDP projected at about 1.1%, significantly below pre-war forecasts, before a recovery in 2027, according to the IMF.

Azour said the shock extended beyond oil and gas, noting that “commodity disruptions extend beyond oil and gas,” affecting fertilizers, chemicals, and other products in which the region holds a strategic position.

He warned that rising food costs were directly threatening vulnerable populations, saying that “these price increases translate directly into higher food costs for some of the world’s most vulnerable populations,” particularly in import-dependent economies across the region and beyond.

He added that the conflict had also affected services, saying, “air traffic collapsed at major Gulf hubs, maritime insurance premiums surged, shipping routes lengthened, and logistics chains weakened,” highlighting the broad impact on aviation and logistics.

The IMF said some oil-importing economies in the region relied heavily on Gulf countries for energy imports and financial flows, leaving them exposed if the conflict intensified or persisted.

Saudi experience

Azour said one of the most important lessons from the war and the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz was the need to diversify trade routes.

“This shock underscores the importance of building greater resilience and strengthening integration,” he said, adding that this includes “diversifying trade routes and deepening regional cooperation,” to ensure the continued flow of goods and energy.

He said Saudi Arabia’s approach under its strategic vision went beyond infrastructure development to a broader reshaping of logistics networks. By expanding alternative ports on the Red Sea and strengthening land and rail connectivity, the kingdom reduced its reliance on a single maritime chokepoint.

He said this ability to create parallel trade routes allowed Saudi trade to continue effectively despite disruptions to regional corridors, offering a model for protecting economic security and ensuring uninterrupted supply flows.

Egypt

Azour said economic reforms implemented by Egypt, along with stronger policy buffers, were helping the country better manage external shocks.

He said allowing the exchange rate to become more flexible helped absorb shocks, while higher reserves provided reassurance to markets.

Regional divergence

The IMF report highlighted a sharp divergence across countries. Qatar faced a steep downgrade to growth forecasts due to damage to its gas infrastructure, while Oman showed relative resilience given its geographic position outside the Strait of Hormuz.

At the same time, financing pressures increased on Egypt, Pakistan, and Jordan as sovereign spreads widened, prompting Azour to stress that the IMF stood ready to support countries.

He said that if oil production recovered and the Strait of Hormuz fully reopened, countries would be able to increase output quickly, adding that higher oil prices compared with pre-2026 levels would help producers recover some of their losses from the crisis.


Pakistan Central Bank Receives $2 billion from Saudi Arabia as Part of Broader Financial Support Package

Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).
Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).
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Pakistan Central Bank Receives $2 billion from Saudi Arabia as Part of Broader Financial Support Package

Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).
Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).

Pakistan announced that it has received $2 billion from Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Finance as part of a broader financial support package.

Earlier, Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, said that Saudi Arabia had committed to depositing an additional $3 billion, while extending an existing $5 billion loan for three years instead of renewing it annually.

This support comes as Pakistan faces repayment of $3.5 billion to the United Arab Emirates, putting pressure on its reserves, which stand at about $16.4 billion.

Saudi Arabia has a history of assisting Pakistan during economic crises, including a $6 billion support package in 2018 that included deposits and deferred oil payments.