Putin Says Recession in Russia 'Must Not Be Allowed to Happen'

Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP
Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP
TT

Putin Says Recession in Russia 'Must Not Be Allowed to Happen'

Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP
Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP

President Vladimir Putin on Friday urged officials not to let Russia fall into recession "under any circumstances", as some in his own government warned of a hit to economic growth.

Economists have warned for months of a slowdown in the Russian economy, with the country posting its slowest quarterly expansion in two years for the first quarter of 2025, reported AFP.

The Kremlin has said this was to be expected after two years of rapid growth as it ramped up military expenditure to fund the Ukraine campaign, but officials including the country's economy minister have raised alarm about possible pain ahead.

"Some specialists and experts are pointing to the risks of stagnation and even a recession," Putin told attendees at Russia's flagship economic forum in Saint Petersburg.

"This must not be allowed to happen under any circumstances," he said.

"We need to pursue a competent, well-thought-out budgetary, tax and monetary policy," he added.

The Russian economy grew in 2023 and 2024 despite the West's sweeping sanctions, with massive state spending on the military powering a robust expansion.

But analysts have long warned that heavy public investment in the defense industry is no longer enough to keep Russia's economy growing and does not reflect a real increase in productivity.

At his address to the forum on Friday, Putin was upbeat about Russia's economic prospects and denied the economy was being driven solely by the defense and energy industries.

"Yes, of course, the defense industry played its part in this regard, but so did the financial and IT industries," he said.

He said the economy needed "balanced growth" and called on officials to keep a "close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises."



Oil Prices Inch up on Geopolitical Risks, Easing Tariff Worries

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo
A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo
TT

Oil Prices Inch up on Geopolitical Risks, Easing Tariff Worries

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo
A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo

Oil prices edged up on Thursday on signs of easing trade tensions, stronger than expected economic data from the world's top oil consumers and renewed risks in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures were up 17 cents, or around 0.3%, to $68.67 a barrel at 0856 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $66.69.

"Oil thinking has been distracted from the Middle East, and the reminders of Israel's attacks into Syria and the drone attacks on oil infrastructure in Kurdistan are timely and once again add a little fizz to proceedings," said John Evans, analyst at PVM Oil Associates, Reuters reported.

"Any other incident that deprives the market of barrels will be added to the low inventory narrative and we expect prices to continue to hold with any risk being to the upside."

Drone attacks on oilfields in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region have slashed crude output by up to 150,000 barrels per day, two energy officials said on Wednesday, as infrastructure damage forced multiple shutdowns.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has said letters notifying smaller countries of their US tariff rates would go out soon, which along with his renewed optimism about prospects of a deal with Beijing on illicit drugs and an agreement possible with Europe helped calm investors.

"Trump softened tones on China and proposed lower tariff rates on smaller countries, which are seen as positive developments in the global trade outlooks," said independent analyst Tina Teng.

"China's better-than-expected economic data and the US's larger-than-expected oil inventory draw have both been bullish factors for oil prices."

US crude inventories fell more than expected by 3.9 million barrels to 422.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, suggesting stronger refinery activity, tighter supply, and increased demand.

However, larger than expected builds in gasoline and diesel inventories capped price gains, raising concerns of weakening demand from summer travel, ANZ analysts said in a note on Thursday.

Data showed that China's June crude oil throughput was up 8.5% from a year ago, implying stronger fuel demand.