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Oil Prices Head for Weekly Loss

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer
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Oil Prices Head for Weekly Loss

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer

Oil prices were stable on Friday but remained on course for a weekly loss of about 7-8% after news of potential increases to OPEC+ supply.

Brent crude futures were up 21 cents, or 0.33%, at $64.32 a barrel by 1220 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 19 cents, or 0.31%, at $60.67.

For the week, Brent was trading 8.3% down and WTI was on course for a 7.7% decline.

"We are in a wait-and-see mode for what the OPEC+ Group of Eight will decide over the weekend," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, adding that Friday's modest price recovery is likely to be attributable to positive risk sentiment, Reuters reported.

Eight members of OPEC+ could agree to raise production in November by 274,000-411,000 barrels per day (bpd), or two or three times higher than the October increase, sources told Reuters on Tuesday.

Potentially higher OPEC+ supply, slowing global crude refinery runs owing to maintenance and a seasonal dip in demand in the months ahead are set to weigh on market sentiment, analysts say.

"Demand indicators have fallen a touch through the Atlantic Basin as summer demand comes to an end. The oversupplied implied balance from a fundamentals perspective starting in October is gaining ground," said Rystad Energy analyst Janiv Shah.

JPMorgan analysts, meanwhile, said they believed that September marked a turning point, with the oil market heading towards a sizeable surplus in the fourth quarter and into next year.

Elsewhere on Friday, a fire broke out at Chevron's El Segundo refinery overnight, though a county official said the flames had been confined to one area. The refinery is one of the largest on the US West Coast, with capacity of 290,000 bpd.

It was not immediately clear if there was any impact on production, but the impact on oil prices could be limited, analysts said.

"The El Segundo refinery is on the West Coast, which is isolated from the rest of the US as far as domestic oil flow is concerned; therefore, its impact is most likely negligible," said PVM analyst Tamas Varga.

Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen said: "Apart from lifting already elevated gasoline prices in California, I don’t think the fire should have a broader market impact."

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Business

Saudi Stock Market Edges Lower in First Session of the Week

An investor monitors a stock screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP)
An investor monitors a stock screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP)
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Saudi Stock Market Edges Lower in First Session of the Week

An investor monitors a stock screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP)
An investor monitors a stock screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP)

Saudi Arabia’s stock market index ended trading slightly lower, falling 0.25 percent to close at 10,968 points, amid trading turnover of around SAR2.9 billion, the lowest level since January 2026.

Mining giant Maaden fell 2 percent to close at SAR62.7, while SABIC declined by the same percentage to SAR59.4. Arabian Drilling slipped 1 percent to SAR86.6.

In the banking sector, Saudi National Bank shares fell 0.26 percent to SAR38.5.

Meanwhile, Saudi Aramco, the index’s heaviest-weighted stock, rose 0.3 percent to close at SAR27.78.

ACWA Power also gained 2 percent to SAR181.10.

Kingdom Holding rose 6 percent to SAR11.01, while Solutions climbed 4 percent to close at SAR229.6.

Business

Oman Inflation Rises 3.2% in April

Shoppers at a food and beverage store in Oman. (Reuters)
Shoppers at a food and beverage store in Oman. (Reuters)
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Oman Inflation Rises 3.2% in April

Shoppers at a food and beverage store in Oman. (Reuters)
Shoppers at a food and beverage store in Oman. (Reuters)

Oman’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.2 percent in April compared with the same month in 2025, based on 2018 as the reference year.

The National Center for Statistics and Information said in data carried by the Oman News Agency on Sunday that average inflation during the period from January through April increased by 2.6 percent.

The data showed that the miscellaneous personal goods and services group recorded the highest increase at 9.2 percent, followed by food and non-alcoholic beverages at 6.2 percent, and transport at 6 percent.

The food and non-alcoholic beverages group recorded increases across most categories in April compared with the same month last year, led by vegetables at 25 percent, followed by fruits at 11.6 percent, and fish and seafood at 6.1 percent.

The data also showed varying inflation rates across Oman’s governorates at the end of April compared with the corresponding period last year. Al Dhahirah Governorate recorded the highest increase at 4.4 percent, followed by Al Dakhiliyah and Muscat governorates at 3.7 percent, and Al Buraimi Governorate at 3.5 percent.

Business

Gulf, International Initiative to Assess War’s Impact on Private Sector

A previous meeting of the Federation of GCC Chambers in Riyadh. (SPA)
A previous meeting of the Federation of GCC Chambers in Riyadh. (SPA)
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Gulf, International Initiative to Assess War’s Impact on Private Sector

A previous meeting of the Federation of GCC Chambers in Riyadh. (SPA)
A previous meeting of the Federation of GCC Chambers in Riyadh. (SPA)

Asharq Al-Awsat has learned of a joint initiative by the Federation of GCC Chambers and the International Labor Organization to conduct a rapid assessment of the impact of the war on the private sector and labor markets across Gulf Cooperation Council countries.

The initiative is expected to contribute directly to the formulation of actionable recommendations aimed at preserving labor market stability and supporting business continuity.

The initiative seeks to assess the impact of the current crisis and conflict on private sector institutions, with particular focus on small and medium-sized enterprises, as well as on labor markets across GCC states.

According to the information obtained, the Federation of GCC Chambers has asked private sector companies and institutions across member states to document the impact of the war, whether they market their products domestically or in regional and international markets.

The federation is also seeking to determine the effects of the current regional crisis on supply chains and private sector operations, including delays in receiving imported inputs, shortages of critical materials affecting operations, higher transportation and logistics costs, and disruptions in the distribution of goods and services to markets and customers.

It is also examining the direct impact of disruptions to maritime trade routes, including the Strait of Hormuz, on businesses, particularly in terms of rerouting shipments through alternative routes or transport methods, difficulties shipping or receiving goods by sea, increased shipping and insurance costs, declining import and export volumes, and shipment or order delays and cancellations.

The federation has further requested information on the extent to which the crisis has affected overall operating expenses, whether significantly, moderately or not at all, as well as its impact on companies’ investment plans, including whether firms intend to cancel, reduce or indefinitely postpone investments, or instead increase spending to adapt, restructure or respond to new conditions.

Among the challenges the federation is seeking to assess are companies’ ability to cover operating and fixed costs, revenue conditions, and the immediate measures taken regarding their workforce in response to the crisis, including reducing working hours, shifting employees to part-time arrangements, freezing recruitment and hiring, cutting wages and benefits, or reallocating staff to different roles and functions.

Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council Jasem Albudaiwi recently said that a series of Gulf economic and financial achievements had strengthened regional integration and reinforced financial stability in the face of evolving challenges.

Speaking during the 125th meeting of the GCC Financial and Economic Cooperation Committee in mid-May, Albudaiwi said the current war crisis requires Gulf states to move beyond traditional coordination toward a higher level of practical integration and effective response.

He said the accelerating crises and growing economic challenges facing the region underscore the urgent need for a conscious response and measures capable of mitigating their impact on GCC economies, which have long been characterized by openness and deep engagement with the global economy.

Albudaiwi also stressed the need to expedite the completion of key joint Gulf projects, including transportation and logistics initiatives, while accelerating implementation of the GCC railway project and strengthening the regional electricity interconnection network.

He further called for studying the establishment of oil and gas pipeline networks, a GCC water interconnection project, strategic Gulf stockpile zones, and measures to ensure adequate liquidity reserves at central banks.