IMF Sees Signs of Recovery in Syria, Plans Intensive Engagement

The Damascene Sword Monument at Umayyad Square in Damascus, Syria, November 12, 2025. (Reuters)
The Damascene Sword Monument at Umayyad Square in Damascus, Syria, November 12, 2025. (Reuters)
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IMF Sees Signs of Recovery in Syria, Plans Intensive Engagement

The Damascene Sword Monument at Umayyad Square in Damascus, Syria, November 12, 2025. (Reuters)
The Damascene Sword Monument at Umayyad Square in Damascus, Syria, November 12, 2025. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund said on Monday that Syria’s economy is showing signs of recovery and has prospects for improvement, after a visit of its team to Damascus from November 10-13.  

“Syria’s economy is showing signs of recovery and improving prospects, reflecting the improvement in consumer and investor sentiment under Syria’s new regime, Syria’s gradual re-integration with the regional and global economy as sanctions are being lifted, and the return of more than one million refugees,” IMF Syria Mission Chief Ron van Rooden said in a statement.  

He praised Syrian authorities for being able to adopt a tight fiscal and monetary stance within the many constraints they face, with a view to ensuring economic and financial stability.   

Van Rooden explained that discussions in Syria focused on an “intensive program of engagement” to support the government reform roadmaps, particularly in the financial and banking sectors.  

On November 9, Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa met during his visit to Washington with IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva to discuss Syria’s “economic transformation” the economic transformation Syrians need and deserve and the IMF's readiness to help, including through its existing technical support for key institutions.  

Van Rooden said discussions in Damascus focused on the formulation of Syria’s 2026 government budget, which aims to increase spending on essential needs while ensuring ambitious but realistic revenue and financing assumptions.  

The IMF said its staff will provide technical assistance to help improve revenue administration, finalize new tax legislation and develop a strategy to address Syria’s debts.  

“As the authorities restructure state-owned enterprises and pursue large investment projects with the private sector, it is important to adhere to good governance standards and ensure that the Ministry of Finance plays a key role in assessing and controlling potential contingent liabilities,” van Rooden stressed.  

At the monetary level, he said staff also initiated discussions on developing an appropriate monetary policy framework that would support ensuring low and stable inflation, while considering the current challenges in the financial system.  

The staff will provide technical assistance to support the authorities with the formulation of new financial sector legislation and regulation; the rehabilitation of the payment and banking systems, to ensure that the financial system can facilitate safe and efficient payments, banks can resume their crucial role in financial intermediation and support the economic recovery; and rebuilding capacity at the central bank to ensure it can effectively implement monetary policy and supervise the financial system.  

Van Rooden said reliable economic data remains scarce but is essential for the authorities to be able to formulate, implement, and monitor economic policies.  

He noted that technical assistance will focus on improving statistics, which would also help pave the way for the resumption of Article IV consultations with Syria - the last Article IV consultation with Syria was concluded in 2009.  

Also, the mission reaffirmed the IMF’s commitment to support authorities in their efforts to rehabilitate Syria’s economy and key economic institutions.  

“Staff discussed with the authorities detailed reform roadmaps for the fiscal and financial sector, which will also help facilitate coordination among development partners,” van Rooden said.  

The IMF's last Article IV consultation with Syria was concluded by its Executive Board on February 26, 2010, based on discussions held in late 2009.  

Since then, official IMF talks with Syria were halted by more than a decade of civil war and sanctions that have severed the economy from the global financial system. 



French Economy Likely to Grow at Least 0.8% in 2025, Finance Minister Says

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)
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French Economy Likely to Grow at Least 0.8% in 2025, Finance Minister Says

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)

Unless there is a sharp reversal in the final three months of the year, the French economy is likely to grow by at least 0.8% in 2025, outpacing the 0.7% that the government had anticipated, Finance Minister Roland Lescure said on Sunday.

"We will most likely exceed the government's growth forecast for this year. We had predicted 0.7%, but I think we will have at least 0.8%. That's good news," Lescure told LCI television.

"So we would really need to have a bad fourth quarter, which I don't believe will happen, for us to be below 0.8%, so 0.8% is within reach," he added.

France's economy grew 0.5% in the third quarter, final data from statistics office INSEE showed in November, reflecting resilience in the euro zone's second-largest economy.


Saudi Real Estate Shifts from Temporary Upswing to Operational Maturity

Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 
Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 
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Saudi Real Estate Shifts from Temporary Upswing to Operational Maturity

Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 
Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 

Saudi Arabia’s listed real estate sector recorded an exceptional and unprecedented transformation in the third quarter of 2025, with profits surging more than sixfold. Total earnings jumped 633.6 percent to $496 million (SAR 1.86 billion), compared with $67.5 million a year earlier, an indication that the industry has entered a phase of sustained operational maturity rather than a short-term cyclical rebound.

The sharp rise reflects the companies’ success in restructuring their product portfolios, enhancing cash flows, and shifting from “paper growth” to revenue-driven expansion supported by project deliveries and operational income.

Sector analysts attributed the leap in profitability to the rollout of major real estate projects in large cities, higher project quality, improved financing conditions, and stronger liquidity.

They noted that the leap aligns with the rapid expansion of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy, which now contributes about 56 percent of GDP. This has strengthened demand across residential, commercial, industrial, and office real estate, supporting profit growth alongside recent regulatory reforms.

During the first nine months of 2025, listed real estate firms achieved combined profits of $1.44 billion (SAR 5.4 billion), led by Cenomi Centers, Jabal Omar, and Masar (Umm Al-Qura for Development and Construction) - a 244 percent increase from the same period in 2024.

Financial disclosures show that nine out of sixteen listed developers reported higher profits in Q3, while four companies returned to profitability. Masar topped the sector in Q3 with SAR 516.6 million in earnings, up 341.9 percent year-on-year. Cenomi Centers ranked second with SAR 499.8 million, a rise of 52.2 percent, followed by Dar Al-Arkan, whose profits climbed 89 percent to SAR 255.6 million.

Real estate specialist Abdullah Al-Mousa told Asharq Al-Awsat that the historic profit surge confirms the sector has “entered a stage of operational maturity,” reflecting companies’ improved efficiency, stronger recurring revenues, and the successful transition to asset-operation models.

He identified three key drivers: higher-quality projects and stronger occupancy across income-generating assets; improved financing conditions amid stabilizing interest rates; and the completion of major projects, particularly in Riyadh and Makkah.

Al-Mousa expects continued positive performance in coming quarters, though at a more moderate pace, supported by new strategic projects entering operation, sustained housing demand, rising commercial activity in Riyadh, and ongoing regulatory reforms that reduce risk and attract institutional investment.

Real estate analyst Salman Saeed said the strength of the non-oil economy has sharply boosted demand in housing, retail, industrial, and office markets. He highlighted reforms such as the expansion of the white-land tax and rental-regulation measures, along with significant government support for homeownership, which has raised the share of Saudi citizens owning homes.

Saeed noted that rising demand for commercial and office space, driven by multinational companies relocating to Riyadh, has lifted occupancy rates and diversified developers’ income streams. Some firms also improved results through land sales and divestment of non-core assets, enhancing operational efficiency.

 

 


Qatar’s Energy Minister: AI Will Secure Future Demand for LNG

Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)
Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)
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Qatar’s Energy Minister: AI Will Secure Future Demand for LNG

Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)
Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)

Statements by Qatar’s Minister of State for Energy Affairs Saad Al-Kaabi became a focal point at the Doha Forum 2025, opened by Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani under the theme “Anchoring Justice: From Promises to Tangible Reality.”

Al-Kaabi delivered an upbeat assessment of the gas sector’s future, insisting he has “no concern whatsoever” about long-term demand thanks to the soaring power needs of artificial intelligence data centers.

Al-Kaabi said global demand for natural gas will remain robust as AI-driven energy consumption accelerates, forecasting that liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand will reach 600–700 million tons annually by 2035. He warned, however, that insufficient investment could constrain future LNG and gas supplies.

“I have absolutely no worries about future gas demand,” he said, adding that AI-related power consumption will be a key driver.

Once fully operational, Qatar’s North Field expansion is expected to produce 126 million metric tons of LNG a year by 2027 - an 85 percent increase from today’s 77 million tons.

He also noted that the first train of the Golden Pass LNG project, a joint venture with ExxonMobil in Texas, is scheduled to begin operations in the first quarter of 2026.

Al-Kaabi argued that oil prices between $70 and $80 per barrel would generate sufficient revenue for companies to invest in future energy needs, while prices above $90 would be “too high.”

He separately cautioned that the Gulf region is witnessing an “excess of real-estate construction,” raising the risk of a property bubble.

The minister hoped that the European Union will address corporate concerns over new sustainability regulations by the end of December.

Gulf Cooperation Council states voiced deep concern on Friday about two proposed EU directives, which tackle corporate sustainability due diligence and sustainability reporting, recently amended by the European Parliament for trilogue negotiations.

The GCC warned that the measures would effectively compel major European and international companies to adopt the EU’s sustainability model, comply with additional human rights and environmental obligations, submit climate-transition plans beyond existing global accords, file detailed sustainability reports, and face penalties for non-compliance.

Qatar has also criticized the due-diligence directive and has threatened to halt gas supplies. The dispute centers on potential fines of up to 5 percent of a company’s global revenue.

Al-Kaabi has repeatedly stated that Qatar will not meet net-zero emissions targets under such conditions.