Saudi Arabia Raises $11.5 Bln to Open 2026 Amid Strong Investor Demand

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Raises $11.5 Bln to Open 2026 Amid Strong Investor Demand

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia has successfully completed its first foray into international debt markets for 2026, issuing $11.5 billion in US dollar-denominated sovereign bonds. This move not only met financing needs but also became a global financial vote of confidence in the strength of the Kingdom’s economy.

The issuance attracted orders exceeding $31 billion, underscoring Saudi Arabia’s appeal as a safe and highly attractive destination for global institutional investors, as well as its ability to secure competitive pricing despite volatility in global monetary markets.

The bonds were covered 2.7 times, highlighting strong confidence in the trajectory of Vision 2030. Proceeds were distributed across four maturities ranging from three to 30 years, reflecting the Kingdom’s ability to build a stable, long-term yield curve.

The National Debt Management Center said the strong international demand reflects investors’ positive outlook on Saudi Arabia’s fiscal strength and non-oil growth prospects.

The issuance forms part of an annual borrowing plan targeting approximately $57.8 billion to finance the budget deficit and repay maturing debt, while maintaining debt at safe levels not exceeding 33 percent of the gross domestic product.

Saudi Arabia follows a conservative approach by fixing interest rates on 87 percent of its debt, shielding the budget from fluctuations in global borrowing costs and supporting the sustainability of capital spending on major projects, independent of swings in energy revenues.

The bonds were issued in four tranches. The first was $2.5 billion of three-year notes maturing in 2029. The second was $2.75 billion of five-year notes maturing in 2031. The third was $2.75 billion of 10-year notes maturing in 2036. The fourth was $3.5 billion of 30-year bonds maturing in 2056.

Reuters reported that initial price guidance for the three-year tranche was set at about 95 basis points over US Treasuries, while the five-year tranche was guided at around 100 basis points.

International Financing Review said initial guidance for the longer-dated tranches was about 110 basis points over Treasuries for the 10-year bonds and around 140 basis points for the 30-year bonds.

Annual borrowing plan

The National Debt Management Center said the issuance was carried out under the recently announced annual borrowing plan, which aims to diversify the investor base and meet the Kingdom’s financing needs from global debt markets efficiently and effectively.

It said the scale of international investor demand reflects confidence in the resilience of the Saudi economy and its future investment opportunities.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan approved the 2026 borrowing plan last week at around $57.8 billion, to cover a budget deficit of nearly $44 billion and repay about $13.9 billion in maturing debt during the year.

The issuance follows an active year for Saudi Arabia in bond markets, as it ranked among the world’s largest issuers in 2025 amid a surge in Middle East and North Africa issuance driven by rising financing needs and strong demand, including from Asian investors.

Under its 2026 financing strategy, Saudi Arabia relies on three main channels, led by private markets, alongside the domestic debt market and international markets.

The National Debt Management Center aims for riyal denominated sukuk to account for 25 to 35 percent of total funding, with international markets contributing 20 to 30 percent, with a particular focus on US dollar issuances. Private markets, including syndicated loans and export credit agency facilities, could account for up to 50 percent of total financing.

Strong financial management

Mohammed Farraj, chief asset management officer at Arbah Capital, said the successful coverage of Saudi Arabia’s first international issuance for 2026 reflects a high level of sovereign financial management and an advanced ability to deploy debt instruments to achieve national objectives.

He said the 2.7 times coverage ratio confirms deep international investor confidence in Saudi Arabia’s fiscal position and shows the Kingdom’s ability to price its credit risk at competitive levels close to those of advanced economies.

Farraj said the narrowing of spreads versus global benchmark bonds signals a lower risk premium, helping to reduce the overall cost of capital directed toward development and strengthening the position of Saudi sovereign assets as a stable and attractive investment within global portfolios.

He added that the move aligns with a proactive borrowing strategy aimed at neutralizing risks from monetary market volatility by locking in financing costs and securing liquidity for major projects ahead of any potential market pressures.

He said the strategy boosts budget flexibility and supports the sustainability of capital spending for Vision 2030 projects, away from economic cycle volatility or fluctuations in energy revenues, noting that public debt in this context is being redefined as a strategic tool to maximize returns from non oil growth and expand the productive base, rather than merely a means of covering deficits.

On funding diversification, Farraj explained that distributing issuance between conventional debt and Islamic sukuk across varied maturities improves the balance sheet structure, reduces refinancing risks and broadens the investor base geographically, limiting concentration risks in any single market.

Building a clear benchmark yield curve also supports the private sector’s ability to price its financing and sends positive signals to credit rating agencies about Saudi Arabia’s fiscal discipline, he added.

In international comparison, Farraj said Saudi Arabia’s public debt to GDP ratio remains among the lowest globally and within a range that ensures fiscal sustainability, compared with elevated levels in major advanced economies.

This gap shows Saudi borrowing is directed toward investment and growth, giving public finances flexibility to manage resources even if energy markets come under pressure, and reinforcing the Kingdom’s position as one of the world’s most stable and resilient economies in the face of global shocks, he stressed.



Trump's Greenland Threat Puts Europe Inc back in Tariff Crosshairs

A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.
A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.
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Trump's Greenland Threat Puts Europe Inc back in Tariff Crosshairs

A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.
A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.

Just as European companies were getting used to last year's hard-won US trade tariff deals, President Donald Trump has put them back in his ​crosshairs with an explosive threat to place levies on nations that oppose his planned takeover of Greenland.

Trump on Saturday said he would put rising tariffs from February 1 on goods imported from EU members Denmark, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands and Finland, along with Britain and Norway, until the US is allowed to buy Greenland, a step major EU states decried as blackmail.

On Sunday, European Union ambassadors reached broad agreement to intensify efforts to dissuade Trump from imposing those tariffs, while also readying a package of retaliatory measures should the duties go ahead, EU diplomats said.

The shock move has rattled through industry and sent shockwaves through markets amid fears of a return to the volatility of last year's trade war, which was only eased with tariff deals reached in the middle of the year.

"This is a very serious situation, the scale of which is unknown," Gabriel Picard, ‌chairman of the French ‌wine and spirits export lobby FEVS, told Reuters.

He said the industry had already seen a ‌20% ⁠to ​25% hit ‌to US activity in the second half of last year from previous trade measures, and new tariffs would bring a "material" impact.

But he said what was happening went far beyond sectoral issues. "It is more a matter of political contacts and political intent that must be taken to the highest level in Europe, so that Europe, once again, is united, coordinated, and if possible speaks with one voice."

STAND-OFF COULD BRING BACK LAST YEAR'S TRADE WAR

In a post on Truth Social, Trump said additional 10% import tariffs would take effect next month on goods from the listed European nations — all already subject to tariffs imposed by the US president last year of between 10% and 15%.

The bloc - which had an estimated $1.5 trillion in goods and services trade with the US in 2024 - looks set ⁠to fight back. Europe has major carmakers in Germany, drugmakers in Denmark and Ireland, and consumer and luxury goods firms from Italy to France.

EU leaders are set to discuss options at an emergency ‌summit in Brussels on Thursday, including a 93 billion euro ($107.7 billion) package of tariffs on ‍US imports that could automatically kick in on February 6 after a ‍six-month pause.

The other is the so far never used "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI), which could limit access to public tenders, investments or banking activity or restrict ‍trade in services, in which the US has a surplus with the bloc.

Analysts said the key question was how Europe responded - with a more "classic" trade war tit-for-tat tariff retaliation, or an even tougher approach.

"The most likely way forward is a return to the trade war that was put on hold in high-level US agreements with the UK and the EU in summer," said Carsten Nickel, deputy director of research at Teneo in London.

COMPANIES WILL LOOK TO TRADE WITH 'LESS PROBLEMATIC NATIONS'

German submarine maker ​TKMS CEO Oliver Burkhard said the Greenland threat was perhaps the jolt that Europe needed to toughen its approach and focus on developing its own joint programmes to be more independent from the US.

"It is probably necessary... to get ⁠a kick in the shin to realise that we may have to suit up differently in the future," he told Reuters.

Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club, said the new threat created "another layer" of complexity for firms grappling with an already "chaotic" US market. Firms had little capacity to soak up new tariffs, she added.

"A trade war only creates losers," said Christophe Aufrere, director general of French autos association the PFA.

An official at a French industry association that represents the country's largest firms added the Greenland issue was turning tariffs into a "tool for political pressure", and called for the region to reduce its dependency on the US market.

Neil Shearing, group chief economist at Capital Economics, pointed out that some EU countries - Spain, Italy and others - were not on the tariff list, which would likely see "re-routing" of trade within the EU free trade bloc to avoid the taxes.

Analysts added the new tariffs - if imposed - would likely hurt Trump. They would push up US prices and lead to front-loading of exports before the tariffs kicked in, while encouraging companies to seek new markets.

"For Europe, this is a bad geopolitical headache and a moderately significant economic problem. But it could also backfire for Trump," said Holger Schmieding, London-based chief economist at Berenberg.

"Logic ‌still points to an outcome that respects Greenland's right to self-determination, strengthens security in the Arctic for NATO as a whole, and largely avoids economic damage for Europe and the US."


IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
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IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo

An unexpectedly sturdy world economy is likely to shrug off President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policies this year, thanks partly to a surge of investment in artificial intelligence in North America and Asia, the International Monetary Fund said in a report out Monday.

The 191-nation lending organization expects that global growth will come in at 3.3% this year, same as in 2025 but up from the 3.1% it had forecast for 2026 back in October, The Associated Press reported.

The world economy "continues to show notable resilience despite significant US-led trade disruptions and heightened uncertainty,'' IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and his colleague Tobias Adrian wrote in a blog post accompanying the latest update to the fund's World Economic Outlook.

The US economy, benefiting from the strongest pace of technology investment since 2001, is forecast to expand 2.4% this year, an upgrade on the fund's October forecast and on expected 2025 growth — both 2.1%.

China — the world's second-largest economy — is forecast to see 4.5% growth, an improvement on the 4.2% the IMF had predicted October, partly because a trade truce with the United States has reduced American tariffs on Chinese exports.

India, which has supplanted China as the world's fastest-growing major economy, is expected to see growth decelerate from 7.3% last year (when it was juiced by an unexpectedly strong second half) to a still-healthy 6.4% in 2026.


France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
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France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

France on Monday welcomed a ceasefire between the Syrian government and Kurdish-led forces and stressed it remained loyal to the latter who spearheaded the battle against the ISIS group.

"France is faithful to its allies," the foreign ministry said, urging all sides to respect the ceasefire deal, which will also see the Kurdish administration and forces integrate into the state after months of stalled negotiations.