Saudi Arabia Raises $11.5 Bln to Open 2026 Amid Strong Investor Demand

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
TT

Saudi Arabia Raises $11.5 Bln to Open 2026 Amid Strong Investor Demand

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia has successfully completed its first foray into international debt markets for 2026, issuing $11.5 billion in US dollar-denominated sovereign bonds. This move not only met financing needs but also became a global financial vote of confidence in the strength of the Kingdom’s economy.

The issuance attracted orders exceeding $31 billion, underscoring Saudi Arabia’s appeal as a safe and highly attractive destination for global institutional investors, as well as its ability to secure competitive pricing despite volatility in global monetary markets.

The bonds were covered 2.7 times, highlighting strong confidence in the trajectory of Vision 2030. Proceeds were distributed across four maturities ranging from three to 30 years, reflecting the Kingdom’s ability to build a stable, long-term yield curve.

The National Debt Management Center said the strong international demand reflects investors’ positive outlook on Saudi Arabia’s fiscal strength and non-oil growth prospects.

The issuance forms part of an annual borrowing plan targeting approximately $57.8 billion to finance the budget deficit and repay maturing debt, while maintaining debt at safe levels not exceeding 33 percent of the gross domestic product.

Saudi Arabia follows a conservative approach by fixing interest rates on 87 percent of its debt, shielding the budget from fluctuations in global borrowing costs and supporting the sustainability of capital spending on major projects, independent of swings in energy revenues.

The bonds were issued in four tranches. The first was $2.5 billion of three-year notes maturing in 2029. The second was $2.75 billion of five-year notes maturing in 2031. The third was $2.75 billion of 10-year notes maturing in 2036. The fourth was $3.5 billion of 30-year bonds maturing in 2056.

Reuters reported that initial price guidance for the three-year tranche was set at about 95 basis points over US Treasuries, while the five-year tranche was guided at around 100 basis points.

International Financing Review said initial guidance for the longer-dated tranches was about 110 basis points over Treasuries for the 10-year bonds and around 140 basis points for the 30-year bonds.

Annual borrowing plan

The National Debt Management Center said the issuance was carried out under the recently announced annual borrowing plan, which aims to diversify the investor base and meet the Kingdom’s financing needs from global debt markets efficiently and effectively.

It said the scale of international investor demand reflects confidence in the resilience of the Saudi economy and its future investment opportunities.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan approved the 2026 borrowing plan last week at around $57.8 billion, to cover a budget deficit of nearly $44 billion and repay about $13.9 billion in maturing debt during the year.

The issuance follows an active year for Saudi Arabia in bond markets, as it ranked among the world’s largest issuers in 2025 amid a surge in Middle East and North Africa issuance driven by rising financing needs and strong demand, including from Asian investors.

Under its 2026 financing strategy, Saudi Arabia relies on three main channels, led by private markets, alongside the domestic debt market and international markets.

The National Debt Management Center aims for riyal denominated sukuk to account for 25 to 35 percent of total funding, with international markets contributing 20 to 30 percent, with a particular focus on US dollar issuances. Private markets, including syndicated loans and export credit agency facilities, could account for up to 50 percent of total financing.

Strong financial management

Mohammed Farraj, chief asset management officer at Arbah Capital, said the successful coverage of Saudi Arabia’s first international issuance for 2026 reflects a high level of sovereign financial management and an advanced ability to deploy debt instruments to achieve national objectives.

He said the 2.7 times coverage ratio confirms deep international investor confidence in Saudi Arabia’s fiscal position and shows the Kingdom’s ability to price its credit risk at competitive levels close to those of advanced economies.

Farraj said the narrowing of spreads versus global benchmark bonds signals a lower risk premium, helping to reduce the overall cost of capital directed toward development and strengthening the position of Saudi sovereign assets as a stable and attractive investment within global portfolios.

He added that the move aligns with a proactive borrowing strategy aimed at neutralizing risks from monetary market volatility by locking in financing costs and securing liquidity for major projects ahead of any potential market pressures.

He said the strategy boosts budget flexibility and supports the sustainability of capital spending for Vision 2030 projects, away from economic cycle volatility or fluctuations in energy revenues, noting that public debt in this context is being redefined as a strategic tool to maximize returns from non oil growth and expand the productive base, rather than merely a means of covering deficits.

On funding diversification, Farraj explained that distributing issuance between conventional debt and Islamic sukuk across varied maturities improves the balance sheet structure, reduces refinancing risks and broadens the investor base geographically, limiting concentration risks in any single market.

Building a clear benchmark yield curve also supports the private sector’s ability to price its financing and sends positive signals to credit rating agencies about Saudi Arabia’s fiscal discipline, he added.

In international comparison, Farraj said Saudi Arabia’s public debt to GDP ratio remains among the lowest globally and within a range that ensures fiscal sustainability, compared with elevated levels in major advanced economies.

This gap shows Saudi borrowing is directed toward investment and growth, giving public finances flexibility to manage resources even if energy markets come under pressure, and reinforcing the Kingdom’s position as one of the world’s most stable and resilient economies in the face of global shocks, he stressed.



Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
TT

Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Gold prices were on track for a second consecutive weekly drop, despite edging up on Friday, as surging energy prices due to the Middle East war dimmed prospects for near-term US interest rate cuts.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $5,095.55 per ounce, as of 0633 GMT on Friday. US gold futures for April delivery fell 0.1% to $5,100.20.

The US 10-year Treasury yields eased, increasing the appeal of the non-yielding bullion. Bullion, however, has ‌lost more ‌than 1% so far this week. Since the war ‌started ⁠on February 28, ⁠it has dropped over 3% so far.

Fears of inflation and questions about the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates if high oil prices persist are somewhat counteracting gold's appeal, said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief market analyst.

"Given the ongoing uncertainty about the duration and scope of the conflict in the Middle East, I expect gold to remain on the ⁠radar for investors as a safety play." Heightening geopolitical ‌tensions, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said ‌on Thursday that Tehran will keep the strategic Strait of Hormuz closed as ‌leverage against the US and Israel, which has stoked concerns about ‌global energy supply and risk assets.

Oil prices rose above $100 a barrel, as attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf and warnings from Iran shattered prospects of quick de-escalation in the Middle East conflict. As oil prices surged, US President Donald ‌Trump again demanded Fed Chair Jerome Powell cut interest rates.

Traders, however, expect the Fed to keep rates ⁠steady in the current ⁠3.5%-3.75% range at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. While recent inflation data suggest price growth is under control, the war and the resulting spike in crude prices have yet to filter through the data.

Investors are awaiting the release of the delayed January Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, expected on Friday. Gold discounts in India widened this week to their deepest point in nearly a decade as demand stayed subdued and some traders steered clear of paying import duties, while the escalating Middle East war boosted safe-haven demand in China.

Spot silver was down 1% at $82.91 per ounce. Spot platinum lost 1% to $2,111.45 and palladium fell 1% to $1,603.


Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
TT

Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)

Panama Canal Administrator Ricaurte Vásquez said Thursday that the conflict in the Middle East and rising fuel costs could ultimately benefit the interoceanic waterway as global shippers adjust routes.

In an interview with The Associated Press, Vásquez said that higher energy, fuel and navigation costs could make the Panama Canal a more attractive option for commercial traffic.

“When costs increase, in general when the price of marine fuel rises, the Panama Canal becomes a more attractive route,” Vásquez said.

Oil prices have risen amid the war in the Middle East, which has led to the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran in response to US and Israeli attacks. About one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through the waterway at the mouth of the Gulf.

If higher energy costs persist, routing cargo through Panama can cut voyages by between three and 15 days, depending on the route, while reducing fuel consumption, he said.

Vásquez said higher fuel costs are expected to affect container ships, bulk carriers and tankers transporting liquefied natural gas. If Middle Eastern supplies are disrupted, shipments may be replaced by other sources, including the United States, which could redirect some LNG cargo from Europe to Asia via Panama.

Gerardo Bósquez, an executive with the Panama Maritime Chamber, said a prolonged conflict could reshape global trade routes, with gas transport among the segments likely to benefit.

Vásquez cautioned that any changes will not be immediate and will depend on how long cargo operators expect the conflict and instability in the Gulf last.


ONS Data: UK Economy Lost Steam Unexpectedly at Start of 2026

FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025.  REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
TT

ONS Data: UK Economy Lost Steam Unexpectedly at Start of 2026

FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025.  REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo

Britain's economy stagnated unexpectedly in January and expanded weakly in preceding months, according to official data on Friday that showed only tepid growth during the lead-up to the US-Israeli war in Iran.

The figures mean British gross domestic product has been essentially flat since June, ending January at the same level as six months earlier.

GDP rose during the three months to January by 0.2%, the Office for National Statistics ⁠said, against expectations ⁠in a Reuters poll of economists for a 0.3% increase.

The flat reading for January alone also dashed the median prediction for a 0.2% month-on-month increase.

Sterling slipped against the US dollar on the back of the figures, which showed no ⁠growth in the dominant services sector in January, against modest upticks in manufacturing and construction output.

Last month, the Bank of England said it expected the economy to grow 0.3% in the first quarter as a whole and 0.9% over 2026 as a whole - although that was before the conflict in Iran kicked off, prompting a surge in oil prices.

Earlier this week, finance minister Rachel Reeves ⁠said ⁠it was too soon to say how soaring energy prices would affect Britain's economy.

But investors see it as more exposed than other Western European economies due to its weak public finances, reliance on natural gas for electricity generation, and already high rates of inflation.

Financial markets no longer believe the Bank of England is likely to cut interest rates this year, and investors will be watching the central bank's communications carefully at next Thursday's interest rate announcement.