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Iran's Partners in Crisis after Trump Announces New Tariffs

The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)
The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)
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Iran's Partners in Crisis after Trump Announces New Tariffs

The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)
The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)

US President Donald Trump on Monday said any country that does business with Iran will face a tariff rate of 25% on any trade with the US as Washington weighs a response to the situation in Iran which is seeing its biggest anti-government protests in years.

Iran, a member of the OPEC oil producing group, exported products to 147 trading partners in 2022, according to World Bank's most recent data.

China and the United Arab Emirates are Iran’s largest trading partners, putting them at the top of the list of countries at risk of being hit by Trump’s 25% tariff threat, according to Bloomberg.

Countries like India, Brazil, Iraq, Türkiye and Russia are also major trade partners of Iran.

Fuel is Iran's biggest export item by value, while major imports include intermediate goods, vegetables, machinery and equipment.

China

China is the primary buyer of Iranian oil, which remains under international sanctions over Tehran's nuclear program.

In 2024, the trade turnover between the two countries amounted to $17.8 billion.

In 2025, China bought more than 80% of Iran's shipped oil, according to data from Kpler, an analytics firm.

Iranian oil has a limited pool of buyers because of US sanctions that seek to cut off funding to Tehran's nuclear program.

Also, Iran has a record amount of oil on the water, ​equivalent to about 50 days of output, with China having bought ‌less because of sanctions and Tehran seeking to protect its supplies from the risk of US strikes, data from Kpler and Vortexa shows.

Iranian oil imported by China is typically labelled by traders as originating from other countries, such as Malaysia, a major transshipment hub, and Indonesia.

Chinese customs data has not shown any oil shipped from Iran since July 2022.

UAE

While China is Iran's premier trade partner, the UAE is the second largest. Trade between Iran and the UAE has reached $16.11 billion, making it a vital center in Iran’s regional trade and putting the Emirates at the top of the list of countries at risk of being targeted by Trump’s tariffs.

Iraq

Iraq, Iran’s historical partner and geographically closest, ranks fourth globally with a trade volume reaching $12.3 billion, representing 9.9% of Iran’s total foreign trade activity.

In recent years, Iraq has relied on Iran to supply about 40% of its needs for gas and electricity, at a time when Iraqi infrastructure lacks the capacity to process natural gas for domestic use.

Iraq is already subject to US tariffs of 35% under Trump’s decision to impose reciprocal tariffs with many countries last August.

Currently, gas exports from Iran have been suspended or severely curtailed due to a combination of extreme domestic heating demand and broader economic pressures.

India

India's total bilateral trade with Iran stood at $1.34 billion for the first 10 months of 2025, according to India's commerce ministry. Major Indian exports to Iran include basmati rice, fruits, vegetables, drugs and other pharmaceutical products.

The US president already imposed levies as high as 50% on Indian goods tied to their purchase of Russian oil. The two sides have been working for months to finalize a deal that would provide long-sought tariff relief to New Delhi.

Türkiye

Turkish exports to Iran were $2.3 billion in full-year 2025, while imports were $2.2 billion over 11 months of the year, according to sector and official data sources.

Germany

Iran's exports to Germany stood at around 217 million euros in the first eleven months of 2025, an increase of 1.7%, according to data from the state-owned international economic promotion agency Germany Trade & Invest. German exports to Iran fell by a quarter to 871 million euros over the period.

South Korea

South Korea's exports to Iran between January and November 2025 were marginal at $129 million, while imports stood at $1.6 million during the same period, according to data from the Korea International Trade Association.

Japan

Japan imported modest amounts of fruit, vegetables and textiles from Iran and shipped some machinery and vehicle engines there, according to the latest trade data from Japan that goes through November 2025.

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Business

Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
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Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Gold prices were on track for a second consecutive weekly drop, despite edging up on Friday, as surging energy prices due to the Middle East war dimmed prospects for near-term US interest rate cuts.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $5,095.55 per ounce, as of 0633 GMT on Friday. US gold futures for April delivery fell 0.1% to $5,100.20.

The US 10-year Treasury yields eased, increasing the appeal of the non-yielding bullion. Bullion, however, has ‌lost more ‌than 1% so far this week. Since the war ‌started ⁠on February 28, ⁠it has dropped over 3% so far.

Fears of inflation and questions about the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates if high oil prices persist are somewhat counteracting gold's appeal, said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief market analyst.

"Given the ongoing uncertainty about the duration and scope of the conflict in the Middle East, I expect gold to remain on the ⁠radar for investors as a safety play." Heightening geopolitical ‌tensions, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said ‌on Thursday that Tehran will keep the strategic Strait of Hormuz closed as ‌leverage against the US and Israel, which has stoked concerns about ‌global energy supply and risk assets.

Oil prices rose above $100 a barrel, as attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf and warnings from Iran shattered prospects of quick de-escalation in the Middle East conflict. As oil prices surged, US President Donald ‌Trump again demanded Fed Chair Jerome Powell cut interest rates.

Traders, however, expect the Fed to keep rates ⁠steady in the current ⁠3.5%-3.75% range at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. While recent inflation data suggest price growth is under control, the war and the resulting spike in crude prices have yet to filter through the data.

Investors are awaiting the release of the delayed January Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, expected on Friday. Gold discounts in India widened this week to their deepest point in nearly a decade as demand stayed subdued and some traders steered clear of paying import duties, while the escalating Middle East war boosted safe-haven demand in China.

Spot silver was down 1% at $82.91 per ounce. Spot platinum lost 1% to $2,111.45 and palladium fell 1% to $1,603.

Business

Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
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Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)

Panama Canal Administrator Ricaurte Vásquez said Thursday that the conflict in the Middle East and rising fuel costs could ultimately benefit the interoceanic waterway as global shippers adjust routes.

In an interview with The Associated Press, Vásquez said that higher energy, fuel and navigation costs could make the Panama Canal a more attractive option for commercial traffic.

“When costs increase, in general when the price of marine fuel rises, the Panama Canal becomes a more attractive route,” Vásquez said.

Oil prices have risen amid the war in the Middle East, which has led to the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran in response to US and Israeli attacks. About one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through the waterway at the mouth of the Gulf.

If higher energy costs persist, routing cargo through Panama can cut voyages by between three and 15 days, depending on the route, while reducing fuel consumption, he said.

Vásquez said higher fuel costs are expected to affect container ships, bulk carriers and tankers transporting liquefied natural gas. If Middle Eastern supplies are disrupted, shipments may be replaced by other sources, including the United States, which could redirect some LNG cargo from Europe to Asia via Panama.

Gerardo Bósquez, an executive with the Panama Maritime Chamber, said a prolonged conflict could reshape global trade routes, with gas transport among the segments likely to benefit.

Vásquez cautioned that any changes will not be immediate and will depend on how long cargo operators expect the conflict and instability in the Gulf last.

Business

ONS Data: UK Economy Lost Steam Unexpectedly at Start of 2026

FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
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ONS Data: UK Economy Lost Steam Unexpectedly at Start of 2026

FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo

Britain's economy stagnated unexpectedly in January and expanded weakly in preceding months, according to official data on Friday that showed only tepid growth during the lead-up to the US-Israeli war in Iran.

The figures mean British gross domestic product has been essentially flat since June, ending January at the same level as six months earlier.

GDP rose during the three months to January by 0.2%, the Office for National Statistics ⁠said, against expectations ⁠in a Reuters poll of economists for a 0.3% increase.

The flat reading for January alone also dashed the median prediction for a 0.2% month-on-month increase.

Sterling slipped against the US dollar on the back of the figures, which showed no ⁠growth in the dominant services sector in January, against modest upticks in manufacturing and construction output.

Last month, the Bank of England said it expected the economy to grow 0.3% in the first quarter as a whole and 0.9% over 2026 as a whole - although that was before the conflict in Iran kicked off, prompting a surge in oil prices.

Earlier this week, finance minister Rachel Reeves ⁠said ⁠it was too soon to say how soaring energy prices would affect Britain's economy.

But investors see it as more exposed than other Western European economies due to its weak public finances, reliance on natural gas for electricity generation, and already high rates of inflation.

Financial markets no longer believe the Bank of England is likely to cut interest rates this year, and investors will be watching the central bank's communications carefully at next Thursday's interest rate announcement.