Goldman Sachs Raises 2026-end Gold Price Forecast to $5,400/oz

A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)
A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)
TT

Goldman Sachs Raises 2026-end Gold Price Forecast to $5,400/oz

A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)
A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)

Goldman Sachs has raised its end-2026 gold price forecast to $5,400 per ounce from $4,900/oz earlier, noting private-sector and emerging market central banks' diversification ​into gold.

Spot gold climbed to a peak of $4,887.82 per ounce on Wednesday. The safe-haven metal has climbed more than 11% so far in 2026, extending a blistering rally that saw it jump 64% last year.

"We assume private sector diversification buyers, whose purchases hedge ‌global policy ‌risks and have driven the ‌upside ⁠surprise ​to our ‌price forecast, don't liquidate their gold holdings in 2026, effectively lifting the starting point of our price forecast," the brokerage said in a note dated Wednesday.

The brokerage also expects central bank buying to average 60 tons in 2026 as ⁠emerging market central banks are likely to continue diversification of ‌their reserves into gold.

Commerzbank, last ‍week, raised its ‍gold price forecast to $4,900 by the end ‍of this year, citing increased safe-haven demand.



Asian Shares Rise, Tracking Wall Street Gains as Trump Backs Down on Greenland

Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)
Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)
TT

Asian Shares Rise, Tracking Wall Street Gains as Trump Backs Down on Greenland

Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)
Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)

Asian shares mostly advanced on Thursday, tracking Wall Street, after US President Donald Trump walked back from imposing tariffs on eight European countries over Greenland and ruled out using military force to take control of the territory.

The future for the S&P 500 gained less than 0.1% and that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was virtually flat on Thursday, The Associated Press reported.

Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 climbed 1.7% to 53,688.89, with technology stocks leading gains. SoftBank Group jumped 11.6% and equipment maker Disco Corp. soared 17.1%. Advantest, which makes testing equipment for computer chips, surged 5%.

South Korea’s Kospi closed 0.9% higher at 4,952.44 after crossing the 5,000 mark for the first time, as traders cheered. Technology-related stocks drove the rally. Shares of chipmaker SK Hynix picked up 2%, while Samsung Electronics rose 1.9%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng edged less than 0.1% higher to 26,600.68. The Shanghai Composite index edged 0.1% higher to 4,122.58.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 gained nearly 0.8% to 8,848.70.

Taiwan’s Taiex rose 1.6%, while India’s Sensex added 0.2%.

US markets logged their biggest losses since October on Tuesday as investors reacted to Trump’s threat over the weekend to slap tariffs of 10% on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland for opposing US control of Greenland, sparking concerns over worsening relationships between the US and its European allies.

But Trump, attending the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, backed down on Wednesday and said he would not use force to acquire Greenland. The US president also said in a post on his social media site that he had agreed with the head of NATO on a “framework of a future deal” on Greenland and on Arctic security.

The easing tensions drove Wall Street optimism. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 climbed 1.2% to 6,875. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.2% to 49,077.23, while the Nasdaq composite also rose 1.2%, to 23,224.82.

Halliburton, the oil field services company, jumped 4.1% following stronger-than-expected profits for the latest quarter. United Airlines rose 2.2% also after better-than-expected quarterly profits. Netflix fell 2.2% even as it reported a stronger profit than expected, as investors focused on factors including a slowing growth of subscribers.

The price of gold fell 0.2% to $4,828.70 per ounce, reflecting investors’ reduced worries, after passing the $4,800 mark ahead of Trump’s reversal of stance on Greenland as many flocked to safe-haven assets.

In the bond market, US Treasury yields also eased following lessened fear among investors as well as a calming of Japan’s bond market turmoil. The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.25% from 4.30% late Tuesday.

Japan’s long-term bond yields surged to records earlier this week after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s decision to call a snap election in February. That sparked concerns over her pledges to cut taxes and increase spending, which could hinder efforts to rein in government debt.

The US dollar rose to 158.75 Japanese yen from 158.27 yen, prompting analysts to speculate that authorities might intervene if the yen falls any further.

The euro rose to $1.1692 from $1.1687.

US benchmark crude oil shed 16 cents to $60.46 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, fell 24 cents to $65.00 per barrel.


Saudi Arabia’s National Insurance Strategy: A New Engine for Non-Oil GDP Growth

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 
TT

Saudi Arabia’s National Insurance Strategy: A New Engine for Non-Oil GDP Growth

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 

Saudi Arabia’s Cabinet approval of the National Insurance Strategy marks a major milestone for the Kingdom’s financial sector, with experts describing it as a transformative step that could reshape the role of insurance in the national economy.

Analysts say the strategy is designed to increase the insurance sector’s contribution to non-oil gross domestic product (GDP), shift the Saudi market from a largely consumer-based model to a regional insurance hub, and build a dynamic sector capable of generating economic and investment value. In this sense, insurance is positioned as a key pillar in achieving the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030.

The announcement has already had a positive impact on the Saudi stock market, where insurance companies recorded broad gains.

Fadl Al-Buainain, a member of the Saudi Shura Council and economic adviser, said the insurance sector is among the most important financial sectors due to its close links with all areas of the economy. He noted that the strategy will help unlock the sector’s potential, strengthen its foundations, and enhance the competitiveness, efficiency, and financial resilience of the Saudi insurance market, ultimately positioning it as a regional insurance center in line with Vision 2030.

Al-Buainain added that insurance is a key driver of development and economic growth, which explains the government’s focus on launching a strategy aligned with other sectoral plans. He emphasized that the initiative will improve market performance, product quality, and institutional solvency, while also prioritizing the development of national talent and the localization of insurance jobs to strengthen the sector’s contribution to national development goals.

From Regulation to Investment Powerhouse

Financial analyst Hussein Al-Raqeeb, founder and director of the ZAD Consulting Center, described the strategy as a qualitative shift in the role of insurance, from a limited regulatory function to a powerful economic and investment engine within Vision 2030.

He explained that the strategy seeks to modernize the regulatory and supervisory framework through the Insurance Authority, enhancing market efficiency, financial stability, and the protection of policyholders and beneficiaries. It also focuses on expanding insurance products for individuals, businesses, and specialized risks, moving beyond traditional offerings with limited impact.

Al-Raqeeb noted that raising public awareness of insurance remains a major challenge, as the strategy aims to reposition insurance as a tool for risk management rather than a financial burden. He added that clearer and more stable regulations will make the sector more attractive to domestic and foreign investors, boosting the regional competitiveness of the Saudi market.

The strategy also places strong emphasis on developing national capabilities through skills training, job localization, and integration with technology and innovation, particularly in the field of InsurTech. According to Al-Raqeeb, these measures will help create a more efficient and balanced insurance market that aligns profitability with consumer protection and long-term financial sustainability.

Strategic Goals and Key Targets

The National Insurance Strategy is built around three core objectives: strengthening insurance protection for individuals and businesses, developing a sustainable and efficient insurance market, and ensuring adequate coverage for national risks.

Implementation will be led by the Insurance Authority in partnership with stakeholders, through 11 strategic programs and 72 initiatives designed to deliver nine key outcomes aligned with Vision 2030 targets.

These programs cover health insurance, motor insurance, property and casualty insurance for individuals and companies, protection and savings products, reinsurance, market capacity and retention, uninsured risks, regulatory frameworks, technology and artificial intelligence, and human capital development.

Among the strategy’s most ambitious targets are expanding the size of the insurance market, increasing the sector’s contribution to GDP to 3.6 percent by 2030, doubling risk-based capital, and raising retention rates in property and casualty insurance.

The strategy also aims to increase the number of health insurance beneficiaries to 23 million, the number of insured vehicles to 16 million, and the number of jobs for national talent in the insurance sector to 38,500.

Ultimately, the strategy seeks to drive a comprehensive transformation of the Saudi insurance sector, moving it beyond a secondary service role to become a central pillar of economic growth, investment, and financial stability in the Kingdom.

 

 


Saudi Infrastructure Fund Announces $1.2 Bln ‘HUMAIN’ Financing in Davos

Saudi Infrastructure Fund Announces $1.2 Bln ‘HUMAIN’ Financing in Davos
TT

Saudi Infrastructure Fund Announces $1.2 Bln ‘HUMAIN’ Financing in Davos

Saudi Infrastructure Fund Announces $1.2 Bln ‘HUMAIN’ Financing in Davos

Saudi Arabia sharpened its push into artificial intelligence infrastructure on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, as the National Infrastructure Fund, known as Infra, unveiled a framework agreement for up to $1.2 billion in strategic financing with HUMAIN, a Public Investment Fund-owned company, to back the expansion of AI and digital infrastructure across the kingdom.

Infra’s chief executive officer, Esmail bin Mohammad Alsallom, said in an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat that the announcement was “an extension of the fund’s role in supporting new categories of infrastructure assets that are seeing accelerating demand,” adding that developing advanced infrastructure, including digital infrastructure, is “a fundamental requirement for achieving the goals of Vision 2030.”

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, prime minister and chairman of the Public Investment Fund, launched HUMAIN on May 12 to develop and manage artificial intelligence solutions and technologies, and to invest across the sector’s ecosystem.

Under the non-binding agreement, the parties set out financing terms to develop up to 250 megawatts of hyperscale AI data centers for HUMAIN, relying on advanced graphics processing units to train and run artificial intelligence models.

The facilities are intended to meet the company’s customers’ needs locally, regionally, and globally, according to an official statement from HUMAIN.

The statement said Infra and HUMAIN had also agreed to explore the creation of an AI data center investment platform anchored by both parties and structured to allow participation by local and global institutional investors, supporting the expansion of HUMAIN’s strategy in the sector.

HUMAIN chief executive officer Tareq Amin was quoted in the statement as saying that demand for advanced computing capacity is accelerating, and that the agreement positions the company to respond quickly and at scale.

He added that the goal is to deliver world-class AI data center infrastructure that companies can rely on as their computing needs become more complex.

Bridging financing gaps

Alsallom said the National Infrastructure Fund’s role is to bridge financing and structural gaps that some strategically essential infrastructure projects may face.

This role is vital at stages when commercial financing alone cannot meet funding needs, whether because of the size of the investment, its long time horizon, or the nature of the associated risks.

He said the fund’s focus is not simply on financing projects, but on enabling them to become investable and attractive to private capital, especially institutional investors, in ways that enhance sustainability and reduce reliance on direct government funding.

Expanding infrastructure asset classes

Alsallom described the framework agreement with HUMAIN as an extension of the fund’s support for new infrastructure asset classes experiencing rapid demand growth, foremost among them digital infrastructure and AI data centers.

He said such assets typically require significant, long-term capital investments and often need funding at early stages before they meet the conditions of traditional financing.

From this perspective, the fund’s intervention at this stage aims to raise market maturity, define appropriate financing structures, and enable broader, more sustainable participation by institutional investors.

A comprehensive approach

Asked whether the move signals a new focus on artificial intelligence, Alsallom said the fund does not target sectors as such, but instead focuses on the impact of infrastructure projects in supporting and enabling economic growth.

“Artificial intelligence today depends on an interconnected ecosystem of infrastructure assets, including energy, water, telecommunications, and data centers,” he said.

“When these projects become an important element in achieving sustainable economic development goals and attracting investment, the fund’s involvement is a natural extension of its role, regardless of the end sector these assets serve.”

Flexible financing solutions

Comparing the fund’s role with traditional commercial financing, Alsallom said its added value lies in aligning financing structures with the nature of the underlying asset.

“In new infrastructure projects, or those undergoing a transition in their operating or financing models, risks may be unbalanced or returns long-term in a way that does not suit traditional commercial financing,” he said.

“In this context, the fund provides flexible financing solutions that help encourage private sector participation, mitigate risk and support the financial sustainability of projects, without disrupting market balance or crowding out commercial finance.”

An AI data center investment platform

Alsallom said studying the creation of an AI data center investment platform reflects the fund’s approach of viewing such assets within an integrated framework rather than as standalone projects.

The aim, he said, is to build a scalable, repeatable model that enables asset aggregation, standardization, and the attraction of long-term capital from local and international institutional investors, thereby enhancing financing efficiency and investment sustainability.

Financial sustainability and private sector participation

In a broader context, Alsallom linked this approach to the objectives of Vision 2030, which aim to build a diversified, productive, and investment-attractive economy.

He said that developing advanced infrastructure, including digital infrastructure, is a prerequisite for that goal, and that the fund’s role is to accelerate this development in a financially sustainable way while strengthening private-sector participation.