China Sees First Fiscal Revenue Drop Since 2020

FILE PHOTO: Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration created in Shanghai on January 17 , 2011. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration created in Shanghai on January 17 , 2011. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
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China Sees First Fiscal Revenue Drop Since 2020

FILE PHOTO: Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration created in Shanghai on January 17 , 2011. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration created in Shanghai on January 17 , 2011. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo

China's fiscal revenue fell 1.7% in 2025 from a year earlier, the finance ministry said on Friday, the first contraction since 2020 as a protracted property slump and weak domestic demand saddled the economy.

Fiscal revenues in 2025 totaled 21.6 trillion yuan ($3.11 trillion), a ministry official said at a press briefing.

Expenditures grew 1% to 28.7 trillion yuan, slowing from 3.6% growth in 2024.
Growth in China's fiscal revenue slowed to 1.3% in 2024. Revenue dropped 3.9% in 2020 when the initial outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted economic activities.

Tax revenue rose 0.8% in 2025, while income from non-tax sources slumped 11.3%.

Revenue from stamp taxes on securities transactions surged 57.8%, buoyed by a stock market rally.

Revenue from land sales by China's local governments declined for a fourth straight year as the property downturn rolled on, although the 14.7% drop in 2025 narrowed from a 16% fall a year earlier. These revenues have in the past been a key driver for local economic growth measures and the sharp drop has strained local authorities' coffers and weighed on overall business activity.

China's economy grew 5.0% in 2025, meeting the government's target, as strong global demand for goods helped offset weak domestic consumption - a phenomenon that economists warn will be difficult to sustain.

Chinese leaders have pledged to continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy this year and maintain the necessary fiscal deficit, overall debt levels and expenditure scale to support broader economic growth.

In a separate development, China is considering the sale of hundreds of billions of yuan in special government bonds to recapitalize some of its largest insurers, Bloomberg News reported on Friday citing people familiar with the matter, strengthening the biggest players in a sector facing consolidation pressures.

The potential bond sale would raise about 200 billion yuan ($28.8 billion) to help recapitalize the insurers, the report said, adding that the proceeds will be injected into state-controlled firms including China Life Insurance Group Co, the People's Insurance Co Group of China Ltd (PICC), and China Taiping Insurance Group Co.

The capital injection could be announced as early as this quarter, one of the people said, according to the report.

It would mark the first time China has used special bonds to support insurers, extending a financing tool previously reserved for state-owned banks.

The initiative could help bolster insurers that were directed to support the stock market during last year's volatility, while positioning them to help regulators manage smaller, higher-risk insurance companies.

In January last year, China unveiled plans to channel hundreds of billions of yuan in investment from state-owned insurers into shares to support the stock market.

Insurance companies' equity investments as a proportion of their total investment assets rose to 10.03% in the third quarter of 2025 from 7.51% in 2022, according to estimates from China Securities.

The potential recapitalization also comes as the insurance sector grapples with eroding profitability due to persistently low interest rates, with numerous small and mid-sized insurers reporting deteriorating solvency ratios in the third quarter last year.

Last year, China's finance ministry unveiled a recapitalization plan of around $72 billion to boost big state banks' core capital, a move aimed at helping lenders manage lower profit margins and asset-quality strains.



Egypt Raises Fuel Prices by up to 30 Percent

A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo. (Reuters)
A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo. (Reuters)
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Egypt Raises Fuel Prices by up to 30 Percent

A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo. (Reuters)
A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo. (Reuters)

Egypt raised domestic fuel prices by up to 30 percent on Tuesday, blaming "exceptional" global energy pressures caused by the Middle East war, which has disrupted oil supplies and shipping routes.

The increases, announced by the petroleum ministry, apply to gasoline, diesel and natural gas used in vehicles.

In a statement, the ministry said the adjustments were driven by "disruptions in supply chains, rising risk levels and higher maritime shipping and insurance costs", which have pushed petroleum product prices to "levels not seen in years".

Oil prices briefly surged above $119 a barrel on Monday before plunging to around $84 after US President Donald Trump said the US-Israel war with Iran would end soon.

Diesel, one of Egypt's most widely used fuels, rose by three Egyptian pounds, or about 17.1 percent, to 20.50 pounds ($0.38) per liter, up from 17.50 pounds.

Prices for 80-octane gasoline rose by about 16.9 percent, to 20.75 pounds per liter, while 92-octane gasoline increased by roughly 15.6 percent to 22.25 pounds.

Prices for 95-octane climbed by about 14.3 percent to 24 pounds, the ministry said.

Natural gas used for vehicles saw the largest hike, jumping 30 percent to 13 pounds per cubic meter.

Egypt has raised fuel prices four times over the past two years under an $8 billion loan program from the International Monetary Fund.

An October increase of up to 13 percent was expected to be the last under the plan.


Oil Falls as Trump Predicts Middle East De-escalation

Wells at the San Ardo Oil Field in San Ardo, Calif., Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Nic Coury)
Wells at the San Ardo Oil Field in San Ardo, Calif., Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Nic Coury)
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Oil Falls as Trump Predicts Middle East De-escalation

Wells at the San Ardo Oil Field in San Ardo, Calif., Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Nic Coury)
Wells at the San Ardo Oil Field in San Ardo, Calif., Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Nic Coury)

Oil prices fell on Tuesday after hitting a more than three-year high in the previous session as US President Donald Trump predicted the war in the Middle East could end soon, easing concerns about prolonged disruptions to global oil supplies.

Brent futures fell $6.28, or 6.3%, to $92.68 a barrel at 0715 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down $6.19, or 6.5%, to $88.58 a barrel, reported Reuters.

Both contracts fell as much as 11% earlier before paring some losses. Oil surged past $100 a barrel on Monday to the highest since mid-2022, as ‌supply cuts ‌by Saudi Arabia and other producers during the expanding US-Israeli war ‌on ⁠Iran stoked fears ⁠of major disruptions to global supplies.

Prices later retreated after Russian President Vladimir Putin held a call with Trump and shared proposals aimed at a quick settlement to the war, according to a Kremlin aide, easing concerns about supply.

Trump said on Monday in a CBS News interview that he thought the war against Iran was "very complete" and Washington was "very far ahead" of his initial four- to five-week estimated time frame.

"Clearly Trump's comments about a short-lived war have calmed ⁠markets. While there was an overreaction to the upside yesterday, we ‌think there is an overreaction to the downside today," ‌said Suvro Sarkar, energy sector team lead at DBS Bank, adding that the market was ‌underappreciating risks at these levels for Brent.

"Murban and Dubai grades are still well above $100 ‌per barrel, so practically nothing much has changed in terms of ground realities," he added, referring to benchmark Middle Eastern oil grades.

In response to Trump, Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) said they would "determine the end of the war," and Tehran would not allow "one liter of oil" to be exported ‌from the region if US and Israeli attacks continued, state media reported on Tuesday, citing the IRGC's spokesperson.

Prices, however, remain under ⁠pressure as Trump ⁠considers easing oil sanctions on Russia and releasing emergency crude stockpiles as part of a package of options aimed at curbing spiking global oil prices, according to multiple sources.

"Discussions around easing sanctions on Russian oil, comments from Donald Trump hinting that the conflict could eventually de-escalate, and the possibility of G7 countries tapping strategic oil reserves all pointed to the same message - that oil barrels will somehow continue to reach the market," Priyanka Sachdeva, a Phillip Nova analyst, said in a note on Tuesday.

"Once traders sensed that supply routes could still be maintained, the initial 'panic premium' that had pushed prices above the $100 mark yesterday started to fade, and oil prices quickly pulled back."

G7 nations had said on Monday they were prepared to implement "necessary measures" in response to surging global oil prices but stopped short of committing to the release of emergency reserves.


Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar, Easing Inflation Concerns

AFP- A saleswoman adjusts gold jewelry for sale at a shop in Lianyungang_ in China's eastern Jiangsu province
AFP- A saleswoman adjusts gold jewelry for sale at a shop in Lianyungang_ in China's eastern Jiangsu province
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Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar, Easing Inflation Concerns

AFP- A saleswoman adjusts gold jewelry for sale at a shop in Lianyungang_ in China's eastern Jiangsu province
AFP- A saleswoman adjusts gold jewelry for sale at a shop in Lianyungang_ in China's eastern Jiangsu province

Gold prices rose on Tuesday, supported by a weaker US dollar and easing energy costs after US President Donald Trump suggested that the war in the Middle East could end soon.

Respite from a potential war-driven surge in inflation would likely reduce the chances of central banks raising interest rates, a positive for non-yielding gold, Reuters said.

Spot gold rose 0.7% ‌to $5,174.49 per ounce, ‌as of 0631 GMT. US gold futures ‌for ⁠April delivery rose ⁠1.6% to $5,184.

The dollar fell 0.4%, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Gold prices rose "due to the news flow from US President Trump himself, stating that there is a potential for de-escalation ... So what we could see is that potential inflation expectation starts to tone down given this dramatic fall in ⁠oil price," said Kelvin Wong, a senior ‌market analyst at OANDA.

Oil prices ‌fell by more than 5% following Trump's comments.

But, the US president ‌also warned that US attacks could rise sharply if ‌Iran sought to block tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which handles one-fifth of the world's oil supply.

The war has effectively shut the strait, stranding tankers for over a week and forcing ‌producers to halt output as storage fills up, sending energy prices soaring.

Gold prices fell by ⁠as much ⁠as 2% on Monday as higher energy costs fanned inflation concerns and further dimmed the prospects for a near-term cut in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve.

Investors expect the Fed to keep rates steady at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, per CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Markets are now awaiting the US consumer price index for February, due on Wednesday, and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - on Friday.

Spot silver rose 2% to $88.73 per ounce. Spot platinum gained 0.7% at $2,196.35, while palladium lost 0.3% to $1,685.01.