Gold Extends Gains as Renewed US-Iran Tensions Fuel safe-haven Bid

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Extends Gains as Renewed US-Iran Tensions Fuel safe-haven Bid

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold rose further on Wednesday after logging its biggest daily gain in 17 years in the previous session, as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset amid fresh US-Iran tensions.

Spot gold was up 2.2% at $5,046.47 per ounce, as of 1218 GMT, building on a 5.9% rise on Tuesday.

US gold futures for April delivery climbed 2.7% to $5,068.90 per ounce.

"It is a confluence of risk factors that's really driving the demand. One, there is that central bank independence question, and two, there's all the geopolitical risk aspects," said WisdomTree commodities strategist Nitesh Shah, Reuters reported.

The US military said on Tuesday it shot down an Iranian drone that "aggressively" approached the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea. The incident came as diplomats sought to arrange nuclear talks between Iran and the United States.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said on Monday that the investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell should be taken to the end, raising fresh concerns about the central bank's independence.

Gold is rebounding after tumbling nearly 10% on Monday, extending losses from Friday, in the sharpest two-day sell-off in decades. The rout was triggered by Trump's announcement of Kevin Warsh as his pick to lead the Fed and compounded by CME margin hikes. The metal is currently up over 17% for the year.

Market attention will be on the ADP private payrolls report, due later in the day, for clues into the Fed's policy path. Investors currently expect at least two rate cuts in 2026.

"With the Fed still expected to cut further rates this year, this should allow gold to reach $6,200/oz later this year," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Non-yielding bullion tends to perform better in low-interest-rate environments.

Meanwhile, spot silver rose 5.7% to $90 an ounce on Wednesday. The white metal hit a month-low of $71.33 on Monday following a record high of $121.64 on Thursday last week.

Spot platinum added 4% to $2,297.58 per ounce, while palladium gained 5.3% to $1,825.



Turkish Treasury Says Sold 2 Bln Euro of Eurobond, Lowest Spread in 15 Years

General view of the Istanbul Finance Center (Reuters)
General view of the Istanbul Finance Center (Reuters)
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Turkish Treasury Says Sold 2 Bln Euro of Eurobond, Lowest Spread in 15 Years

General view of the Istanbul Finance Center (Reuters)
General view of the Istanbul Finance Center (Reuters)

The Turkish Treasury said on Wednesday it sold 2 billion euros ($2.37 billion) worth of its latest 8-year eurobond at a yield of ‌5.20%, adding ‌that ‌it ⁠had the lowest ‌spread among euro-denominated issuances over the past 15 years.

The bond will mature on March ⁠10, 2034, Reuters quoted it as saying, ‌adding that the ‍yield ‍was below the ‍fair value implied by the dollar yield curve and was priced at approximately MS +242 basis points.

With this ⁠transaction, the total amount of funds raised from international capital markets in 2026 has reached approximately $5.9 billion, the Treasury said.


Saudi Arabia’s AlUla Conference: A Global Platform for Shaping Future of Emerging Markets

The closing session with Georgieva and Aljadaan last year (AlUla Conference)
The closing session with Georgieva and Aljadaan last year (AlUla Conference)
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Saudi Arabia’s AlUla Conference: A Global Platform for Shaping Future of Emerging Markets

The closing session with Georgieva and Aljadaan last year (AlUla Conference)
The closing session with Georgieva and Aljadaan last year (AlUla Conference)

Saudi Arabia is preparing to host the second annual AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, to be held on February 8 and 9 in AlUla Governorate.

The conference is organized in partnership between the Ministry of Finance and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), with broad participation from finance ministers, central bank governors, policymakers, leaders of international financial institutions, and economic experts from around the world.

The conference will take place amid rapid transformations in the global economy, requiring emerging-market economies to strengthen their resilience and seize new opportunities to ensure sustainable growth and improve living standards, contributing positively to global economic stability.

The conference underscores the strength of the strategic partnership between the Ministry of Finance and the IMF, and it reflects the Kingdom’s growing role in supporting international economic dialogue and enhancing global cooperation.

Minister of Finance Mohammed Aljadaan stressed that hosting the conference reflects the Kingdom’s continued commitment to supporting international efforts aimed at strengthening global financial and economic stability.

He noted that emerging-market economies are a pivotal component of the global economic system due to their direct impact on global growth and stability.

“AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies provides a unique platform for exchanging views on global economic developments and discussing policies and reforms that support inclusive growth and enhance economic resilience, through broader international cooperation to address shared challenges,” Aljadaan said.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva noted that the conference offers a vital platform for emerging economies to discuss how to navigate risks and seize opportunities ahead.

She highlighted that sweeping global transformations — driven by technology, demographic shifts, and geopolitics — created a more complex and uncertain policy environment, underscoring the need for sound macroeconomic and financial policies to strengthen resilience.

Conference participants will exchange expertise, coordinate policies, and support economic reform pathways, enabling emerging-market economies to benefit from global economic transformations and achieve more inclusive and sustainable growth.

The conference also aims to raise international awareness of the challenges facing emerging-market economies, highlight successful experiences in developing innovative solutions, strengthen international cooperation, support investment attraction, and help improve living standards and achieve economic prosperity.


Novak Says Oil Demand to Gradually Rise in March, April

FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
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Novak Says Oil Demand to Gradually Rise in March, April

FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa

Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday there is currently a balance on the global oil market, while demand will be gradually rising in March and April.

Novak’s comments came when asked about the OPEC+ group’s plans for its production policy.

OPEC expects oil demand to rise by 1.34 million barrels per day in 2027, close to the 1.38 million bpd growth expected this year, it said in a monthly report on its website.

The outlook is OPEC's first 2027 projection in its monthly report.

The report forecast demand for OPEC+ crude will average 43 million bpd in 2026, unchanged from last month and close to what OPEC+ produced in December. The organization projected that demand for OPEC+ crude will average 43.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2027.

The main growth drivers are expected to be the US, Brazil, Canada, and Argentina.

Novak did not indicate possible decisions for the months following April.

“As shipping and travel intensify, demand will gradually increase starting in March and April. This will be an additional factor to ensure balance,” he noted.

Eight OPEC+ countries on Sunday agreed to maintain a planned pause in their oil output hikes for March.

The eight countries—Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman—reaffirmed their commitment to oil market stability, based on a stable global economic outlook and healthy market fundamentals reflected in declining inventory levels.

The OPEC+ countries reiterated that the 1.65 million barrels per day (bpd) reduction may be returned in part or in full subject to evolving market conditions and in a gradual manner. The countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions.

Those countries raised output quotas by about 2.9 million barrels per day (bpd) from April through the end of December 2025, equivalent to nearly 3% of global demand.

India and Russian Oil

Separately, the Kremlin said on Tuesday it had heard no statements from India about halting purchases of Russian oil after US President Donald Trump said New Delhi had agreed to stop such purchases as part of a trade accord with Washington.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Russia was carefully analyzing Trump's remarks on relations with India.

Asked directly if India had decided to stop buying Russian oil, Peskov said: “So far, we have not heard any statements from Delhi on this issue.”

US President Donald Trump announced a trade deal on Monday with India that slashes US tariffs on Indian goods to 18% from 50% in exchange for India halting Russian oil purchases and lowering trade barriers.

Trump announced the deal on social media following a call with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, noting that India would now buy oil from the US and potentially Venezuela.