Gold Falls as Renewed Middle East Tensions Fuel Inflation Fears

Gold bracelets on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)
Gold bracelets on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)
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Gold Falls as Renewed Middle East Tensions Fuel Inflation Fears

Gold bracelets on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)
Gold bracelets on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)

Gold prices fell on Monday as renewed US-Iran tensions pushed the dollar and oil prices higher, fuelling fears of inflation and reinforcing the higher-for-longer interest rate outlook.

Spot gold was down 0.7% at $4,506.49 per ounce at 1158 GMT after hitting a two-week high on Friday. The yellow metal dropped nearly 2% in May, its third consecutive monthly fall.

US gold futures for August delivery fell 1.2% to $4,536.70.

The dollar edged higher, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, Reuters reported.

The US said it struck Iranian military sites over the weekend and Iran's Revolutionary Guards on Monday said they had targeted a US base in response, the latest exchange of attacks amid negotiations to end the three-month-old war.

"The optimism surrounding negotiations between the US and Iran aimed at ending the standoff in the Strait of Hormuz faded over the weekend," ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista said. "As a result, energy prices rebounded, reviving inflation concerns and reinforcing hawkish Federal Reserve expectations."

Brent crude oil prices gained more than 3% after the latest strikes. Higher oil prices can accelerate inflation and keep interest rates higher for longer. While gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, it loses its appeal in a high-interest-rate environment as a non-yielding asset.

Traders are now pricing in a Fed rate hike this year, with a 39% chance of a quarter-point increase in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

A host of Fed board members are set to speak this week, while major data releases are scheduled to include the ISM survey of manufacturing and the May payrolls report on Friday.

"Traders will be closely watching this week's key data releases as these have the potential to reshape expectations regarding the future path of Fed monetary policy, influencing demand for the US dollar and, consequently, the performance of gold prices," Evangelista said.

Spot silver rose 0.6% to $75.69 per ounce, platinum gained 1.3% to $1,941.15 and palladium was steady at $1,355.00.



IEA Ready to Go if Further Oil Stocks Release Needed, Chief Says

A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)
A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)
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IEA Ready to Go if Further Oil Stocks Release Needed, Chief Says

A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)
A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)

The International Energy Agency is ready to go if a further release of oil from members' emergency oil reserves is needed, the agency's top official said on Tuesday.

The IEA decided last week to accelerate the release of oil remaining from a record emergency reserves release pledged in March, including more than 20 million barrels of diesel as soon as possible to boost supply ‌and cool ‌soaring prices.

"If it is needed...and if ‌our ⁠countries consider it’s ⁠time to push the button, as the International Energy Agency, we are ready to go,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said at a conference in London organized by the Financial Times, when asked about the prospect of an additional release.

The timeline for the ⁠release of 20 million barrels of ‌diesel depends on individual countries, ‌he said, without giving a specific timeframe.

"How much is ‌released and when depends on the countries, depends on ‌the situation of winter markets," Birol said.

War in Iran and conflict in Ukraine have disrupted oil supplies, sending diesel prices to record highs in many markets and turning ‌the fuel that underpins trucking, agriculture and industry into a political and economic ⁠concern.

"We’re trying ⁠to front-load those diesel deliveries,” Birol added.

Brent crude oil rose to more than $111 a barrel on Tuesday, a five-month high. European benchmark diesel futures were trading at $1482.25 per metric ton, up almost 4% since the IEA’s decision on Thursday.

The IEA coordinates industrialized nations' releases of oil from emergency stocks. In March, countries had pledged to release more than 400 million barrels of crude and oil products as prices soared.

Members have so far released 80% of the 400 million barrels, Birol said.


Kurdistan-focused Oil Firms Gulf Keystone, ShaMaran Agree $601 Million Merger

An oil field in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (Reuters)
An oil field in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (Reuters)
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Kurdistan-focused Oil Firms Gulf Keystone, ShaMaran Agree $601 Million Merger

An oil field in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (Reuters)
An oil field in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (Reuters)

UK-listed Gulf Keystone Petroleum said on Tuesday it will merge with Norway's ShaMaran Petroleum in a $601 million all-share deal, creating one of the largest oil producers in Iraq's Kurdistan region.

Under the agreement, ShaMaran shareholders will receive 0.07533958 Gulf ⁠Keystone shares for ⁠each ShaMaran share held.

Following completion of deal, shareholders of each company will own about 50% of the combined ⁠company.

Gulf Keystone intends to move its primary listing to Euronext Oslo Børs' main list and eventually discontinue its London listing, the company said.

The merger comes as dealmaking among Middle East-focused oil companies gathers pace, supported ⁠by ⁠higher oil prices stemming from the Middle East war.

Gulf Keystone's London-listed peer Genel Energy is competing with Norway's DNO to acquire Capricorn Energy, Reuters reported.

Gulf Keystone, Genel, DNO and ShaMaran all operate in Iraq's oil-rich Kurdistan region.


Macron Secures 200,000 Tons of Extra Diesel Per Month from UAE, Bahrain

France's President Emmanuel Macron attends a meeting with the UAE president at Qasr al-Watan presidential palace in Abu Dhabi on October 19, 2026. (Photo by Benoit Tessier / POOL / AFP)
France's President Emmanuel Macron attends a meeting with the UAE president at Qasr al-Watan presidential palace in Abu Dhabi on October 19, 2026. (Photo by Benoit Tessier / POOL / AFP)
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Macron Secures 200,000 Tons of Extra Diesel Per Month from UAE, Bahrain

France's President Emmanuel Macron attends a meeting with the UAE president at Qasr al-Watan presidential palace in Abu Dhabi on October 19, 2026. (Photo by Benoit Tessier / POOL / AFP)
France's President Emmanuel Macron attends a meeting with the UAE president at Qasr al-Watan presidential palace in Abu Dhabi on October 19, 2026. (Photo by Benoit Tessier / POOL / AFP)

French President Emmanuel Macron has secured the delivery of an additional 200,000 tons of diesel per month from the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain during a tour of the Gulf, the French presidency said Tuesday.

He obtained commitments for around 100,000 tons per month from the Emirates, while an additional 100,000 tons monthly will be secured during a stop in Bahrain later in the day, AFP quoted the Elysee Palace as saying.

With the addition of deliveries from Saudi Arabia, France has commitments for 295,000 tons per month, representing just over 10 percent of its consumption, the presidency added.

Kuwait has also given "very clear commitments" to deliver diesel and kerosene to the French overseas territories of Mayotte and Reunion in the Indian Ocean, the French presidency said.

Talks are underway with countries in the region to bring down maritime insurance prices so that companies can ship greater quantities through the strait at lower cost, the palace said.

"In this way, we are strengthening our energy security with these long-term commitments from our partners," it added.