Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability

Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability
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Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability

Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability

Economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Russia have entered an advanced stage of strategic transformation, moving beyond traditional cooperation in energy markets toward a multidimensional partnership encompassing investment, technology, industry, and space. This development comes amid growing coordination between the two countries, strengthening their influence within the global economic landscape and providing greater stability to energy markets in an increasingly volatile geopolitical environment.

This momentum in bilateral relations coincides with Saudi Arabia’s prominent role as a principal guest of honor at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, reflecting the Kingdom’s growing presence at major international economic gatherings and underscoring the level of mutual trust between Riyadh and Moscow. The forum also served as an important platform for signing several agreements and memoranda of understanding that have expanded cooperation in investment, technology, and industry, advancing the partnership toward deeper strategic integration.

According to economists and specialists, the Saudi-Russian partnership has evolved beyond a conventional bilateral relationship into an influential balancing force within the international economic system, particularly through its contribution to energy market stability and support for economic diversification efforts aligned with the goals of Vision 2030, including increasing the contribution of non-oil sectors and localizing knowledge and expertise.

In this context, Saudi Shura Council member Fadl bin Saad Al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom has reshaped its economic relations in recent years around principles of balance and openness toward major global economic powers. He noted that Russia represents an important partner given its weight in global energy markets, making enhanced cooperation with Moscow a strategic choice that serves the interests of both countries while supporting the stability of international markets.

He added that coordination between Riyadh and Moscow—whether bilaterally or through the OPEC+ alliance—has helped achieve notable balance in oil markets and mitigate sharp fluctuations driven by geopolitical tensions. According to Al-Buainain, this model of cooperation has proven effective not only in the energy sector but also across broader economic and development fields.

He pointed out that the most significant areas of cooperation recently agreed upon during the St. Petersburg Economic Forum include the economy, energy, and food security, in addition to defense industries and technology, as well as important agreements facilitating travel and mobility between the two countries.

Al-Buainain emphasized that mining, technology, and space represent key pillars of bilateral cooperation due to their strategic importance to both sides. He explained that mining is among the Kingdom’s most promising sectors and a priority within its economic diversification plans, making it a natural area for cooperation with Russia. He also highlighted technology cooperation—particularly in artificial intelligence, digital transformation, and space technologies—as a priority under Vision 2030 because of its long-term strategic value.

He stressed the importance of moving from agreements to implementation, noting that serious efforts to activate these understandings would generate tangible economic benefits and provide greater momentum for the partnership in the coming years, thereby strengthening the strategic relationship between the two countries.

High-Quality Bilateral Cooperation

For his part, Dr. Abdulrahman Baashen, head of the Al-Shorouq Center for Economic Studies in Jazan, southern Saudi Arabia, said there is a growing Saudi-Russian drive to elevate bilateral cooperation to its highest possible level. He noted that this would lay the groundwork for a distinctive form of economic and industrial integration and establish a joint framework for addressing geopolitical challenges in the region and Europe, helping preserve economic stability at both the regional and international levels.

Baashen told Asharq Al-Awsat that relations between Riyadh and Moscow have accelerated across multiple sectors as the culmination of agreements signed over previous years, alongside ongoing coordination within OPEC+. He noted that this cooperation has supported global energy market stability amid geopolitical tensions, including the repercussions of the US-Iran conflict, while also expanding into technology, industry, space, and satellite-related fields.

He believes that several Vision 2030 initiatives have found significant opportunities for integration with Russian partnerships. In his view, bilateral cooperation has become a long-term strategic path carrying both political and economic dimensions, helping shape a new reality amid rapidly changing geopolitical conditions while providing greater opportunities for economic diversification and political stability.

Baashen also noted that the Saudi-Russian Joint Governmental Committee has helped launch more than 70 joint projects valued at over $70 billion. He added that the signing of 13 agreements and memoranda of understanding on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg Forum reflects a clear commitment to high-quality bilateral cooperation aimed at diversifying the economy, increasing joint investments, localizing advanced technologies, strengthening both countries’ regional and global presence, and fostering more balanced international relations that support economic and political stability worldwide.

Riyadh and Moscow as Drivers of Economic Stability

Former Chairman of the Federation of Saudi Chambers, Engineer Abdullah Al-Mubty, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia and Russia maintain “full and continuous coordination to manage market imbalances through joint decisions to increase or reduce production, ensuring fair prices that serve both producers and consumers.” He explained that the importance of this cooperation stems from the fact that the two countries rank among the world’s largest oil producers and exporters. He added that Vision 2030’s objectives of economic diversification, attracting investment, and localizing technology make Russia a vital partner in Saudi Arabia’s pursuit of balanced international relations.

Al-Mubty argued that this Saudi-Russian alignment has created a safety net that prevents oil prices from either collapsing or soaring uncontrollably. The presence of both countries, he said, helps maintain global economic balance, ensures secure energy supplies, and supports the uninterrupted flow of oil to meet international demand. Beyond energy coordination, he noted, the two countries have also moved toward broader economic agreements aimed at promoting global stability.

Mining, Technology, and Space

Al-Mubty said that mining, technology, and space have become the principal pillars shaping the future of Saudi-Russian cooperation. Both countries are actively working to implement joint investment agreements that support economic diversification while advancing knowledge-transfer initiatives and enhancing the resilience of supply chains between them.

Regarding the mining sector, he highlighted the significant opportunities available to Saudi Arabia through Russian expertise, particularly in exploration activities. Russia’s long-standing leadership in geological surveying, he explained, can contribute substantially to assessing the Kingdom’s mineral resources and expanding joint investment opportunities in rare minerals. He also noted that Saudi Arabia’s major investment opportunities have become a strong attraction for leading Russian mining companies.

In the technology sector, recent developments have opened promising avenues for cooperation focused primarily on integrating artificial intelligence and digital transformation applications to improve operational efficiency and competitiveness in Saudi industry and mining. In this regard, Al-Mubty stressed the strategic importance of the partnership between the Public Investment Fund and the Russian Direct Investment Fund, manifested through dedicated investment vehicles aimed at financing and localizing advanced technologies.

He also highlighted the longstanding cooperation in the space sector, noting that agreements related to space exploration have paved the way for a new phase of joint work. This cooperation now extends to ongoing coordination with the Russian space agency Roscosmos in training Saudi personnel for space missions and collaborating on satellite navigation systems.

Investment and Trade

Al-Mubty stated that current trade exchange between Riyadh and Moscow stands at approximately $4 billion. He also expects Saudi Arabia to attract around $1.5 billion in direct Russian investment over the coming years. According to him, both countries are clearly committed to expanding these figures through new joint ventures, while the Saudi-Russian Business Council has set a strategic target of increasing bilateral trade to $12 billion in the years ahead.

He concluded that close cooperation between Riyadh and Moscow has become an indispensable pillar of global economic and energy-market stability by helping maintain a delicate balance between supply and demand. Expanding this partnership, he added, directly contributes to strengthening food security and diversifying investments in key sectors such as technology and agriculture, reducing the impact of geopolitical volatility on economic growth in both countries. He emphasized that the partnership’s greatest significance lies in three core areas: stabilizing energy markets, strengthening food security, and expanding non-oil investments.

A Deeply Rooted Partnership

Saudi economist Dr. Ibrahim Al-Omar, supervisor of the consultancy firm Sharah Studies, told Asharq Al-Awsat: “The partnership between Riyadh and Moscow extends beyond oil toward global economic stability. Saudi-Russian relations are no longer tied solely to the oil barrel, even though oil remains their backbone.”

Al-Omar elaborated on the operational dimensions of the partnership, saying: “As the two pillars of OPEC+, Saudi Arabia and Russia have led the coalition’s decisions to raise production ceilings by roughly three million barrels per day during 2025—equivalent to nearly 3 percent of global demand—through carefully phased increases that can be paused or reversed whenever market stability requires.”

Discussing recent crises, he added: “When the US-Iran conflict intensified and disruptions affected supplies through the Strait of Hormuz last May, most of the agreed production increase came from Saudi Arabia and Russia. This was the clearest demonstration that coordination between the two major producers acts as a safety valve that restrains volatility, eases inflationary pressures, and protects energy-dependent economies from geopolitical shocks.”

According to Al-Omar, the center of gravity in the relationship is increasingly shifting from traditional trade toward manufacturing and knowledge transfer. While energy in all its forms—conventional, renewable, and nuclear—remains at the forefront, greater emphasis is now being placed on industry, mining, the digital economy, artificial intelligence, and space sciences.

He said: “I saw this clearly during the Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources’ visit to Russia, where mining exploration opportunities covering 50,000 square kilometers across the Nuqrah, Suhaibrah, and Al-Duwaihi belts were presented. Discussions also included launching a joint technology platform worth $1 billion and expanding space cooperation that leverages Russia’s extensive experience in the field.”

Reviewing the broader indicators, Al-Omar said: “These developments are the product of a well-established institutional framework managed efficiently by the Joint Governmental Committee, which held its ninth session in Riyadh last December. The figures speak for themselves: more than 70 joint projects worth over $70 billion, alongside non-oil trade that surged from SAR 1.84 billion ($490.6 million) in 2016 to SAR 12.5 billion (around $3.3 billion) in 2024. In addition, 13 new agreements and memoranda of understanding were signed during the latest St. Petersburg Forum, where Saudi Arabia participated as the guest of honor.”

Al-Omar concluded that strengthening strategic cooperation between Riyadh and Moscow is no longer merely a bilateral matter. Instead, it has become a genuine and decisive balancing factor within an increasingly turbulent international system. It supports the goals of Vision 2030 by diversifying sources of income, localizing knowledge, and increasing the contribution of the non-oil sector, thereby fostering economic stability that extends beyond the two countries to the wider region and the global economy.



Saudi Arabia Offers 100% Social Insurance Debt Waiver to Businesses That Have Exited Market

Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)
Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Offers 100% Social Insurance Debt Waiver to Businesses That Have Exited Market

Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)
Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)

Saudi Arabia's General Organization for Social Insurance (GOSI) has made businesses that have ceased operations and exited the Saudi market eligible for a 100% waiver of outstanding social insurance debts, subject to approved conditions, Asharq Al-Awsat has learned.

The move aims to address accumulated financial obligations, help businesses settle their accounts and close outstanding cases, and support stability in the Kingdom's private sector while resolving financial difficulties faced by companies that have left the market.

The measure is part of a broader package of improvements GOSI is implementing to enhance services for employers and businesses, in response to feedback and suggestions gathered during direct meetings with officials and business owners, in cooperation with chambers of commerce.

Taking Economic Conditions into Account

The initiative has economic and regulatory implications beyond debt relief, seeking to address financial and administrative liabilities left behind by businesses that have exited the market and facilitate the formal closure of their records in accordance with regulations.

Its main significance lies in striking a balance between protecting the rights of the social insurance system and its contributors, on the one hand, and taking into account the economic circumstances of businesses that have ceased operations, on the other.

It also reinforces regulatory flexibility in the business environment, ensuring that accumulated obligations do not become a permanent obstacle to the settlement of financial and administrative affairs.

Enhancing Market Attractiveness

The initiative reflects a more flexible approach to dealing with business distress, focusing on resolving outstanding liabilities rather than allowing them to remain a continuing burden on business owners.

This approach is expected to strengthen confidence in regulatory procedures and enhance the attractiveness of Saudi Arabia's business environment.

The move is particularly significant given the changing nature of the business sector, with new companies entering the market each year while others cease operations because of competition, rising costs, or shifting market conditions.

Settling the social insurance accounts of businesses that have exited the market could ease the administrative and financial burden on their owners, help them reorganize their financial affairs and potentially pave the way for a return to commercial activity in the future, without old liabilities remaining an obstacle, subject to applicable regulations.

According to information obtained by Asharq Al-Awsat, GOSI has notified all companies and establishments of improvements introduced to its business services, including the debt waiver.

The measure is designed to enable businesses that have ceased operations to resolve their outstanding social insurance obligations and complete the regulatory procedures associated with closing their operations, easing the financial burden on owners whose businesses are no longer active.

Service Improvements

In a related development, GOSI's improvements include upgrades to services for registering businesses, terminating their activities and managing ownership records, alongside efforts to resolve recurring technical problems and improve the quality of digital services.

The changes are intended to improve the user experience and accelerate transaction processing.

GOSI has also expanded electronic payment options through its GOSI Business app, allowing employers to pay amounts exceeding 30,000 Saudi riyals ($8,000) in multiple installments.

The measure aims to make it easier for businesses to meet their financial obligations while providing greater payment flexibility.

The updates also include measures to increase transparency in transaction processing by clarifying the reasons for rejecting occupational injury claims and contributor-related transactions.

Notifications have also been introduced through the GOSI Business and Tawakkalna apps to inform users when applications are received, accepted, returned, or rejected.

Together, the improvements reflect GOSI's efforts to modernize its digital services, simplify procedures for employers and improve the management of social insurance obligations.

The measures are also intended to support the business environment and help resolve outstanding financial and administrative matters involving businesses.


From Aramco's Profits to State Budget Revenue: How Do Oil Proceeds Reach Government Coffers?

A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)
A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)
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From Aramco's Profits to State Budget Revenue: How Do Oil Proceeds Reach Government Coffers?

A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)
A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)

Saudi Aramco's financial results and Saudi Arabia's third-quarter budget performance report, released on the same day, revealed a divergence between the company's rising profits and declining government oil revenue recorded in the state budget.

While Aramco's net income rose 34.2% during the first nine months of 2026 to SAR 380.6 billion ($101.5 billion), government oil revenue fell 1.3% over the same period and declined approximately 23% in the third quarter alone.

Comparing the two indicators does not necessarily imply a direct relationship between the company's profits and the revenue flowing into government coffers. Corporate earnings are recognized under different accounting principles from those governing the calculation and collection of government revenue.

The financial relationship between Aramco and the government also involves multiple channels, including taxes, royalties, dividends and offsetting settlements, each with its own payment and collection schedule.

Aramco's Profits and Cash Flows

Aramco reported net income of SAR 380.6 billion ($101.5 billion) for the first nine months of 2026, compared with SAR 283.6 billion ($75.6 billion) in the corresponding period last year, an increase of 34.2%.

Adjusted net income reached SAR 368.9 billion ($98.4 billion), up from SAR 302.3 billion ($80.6 billion) a year earlier.

However, the increase in earnings was not accompanied by a comparable rise in cash generated by the company's operations, according to its financial report.

Cash flow from operating activities totaled SAR 355.8 billion ($94.9 billion), compared with SAR 357.6 billion ($95.4 billion) in the same period last year, remaining largely unchanged.

Aramco attributed this to changes in working capital, which refers to funds tied up in day-to-day operations, including outstanding sales receivables, inventories and amounts owed to or by the company.

These movements limited the extent to which higher earnings translated into operating cash flow.

Meanwhile, free cash flow increased to SAR 221.6 billion ($59.1 billion), compared with SAR 217.3 billion ($57.9 billion) a year earlier.

This metric measures the cash remaining after capital expenditures are deducted from operating cash flow. It benefited from a reduction in capital expenditures to SAR 134.2 billion ($35.8 billion), from SAR 140.3 billion ($37.4 billion) in the comparable period.

Oil Revenue in the State Budget

On the other side of the equation, Aramco's earnings growth was not mirrored by a corresponding increase in government oil revenue.

Ministry of Finance data showed that oil revenue fell 23% year on year in the third quarter to SAR 116.5 billion ($31.1 billion), compared with SAR 150.8 billion ($40.2 billion) in the same period last year.

Over the first nine months of 2026, oil revenue totaled SAR 446.3 billion ($119 billion), down from SAR 452.4 billion ($120.6 billion) in the corresponding period of 2025, representing a relatively modest decline of approximately 1.3%.

By contrast, non-oil revenue increased 8% during the nine-month period to SAR 412.5 billion ($110 billion), helping lift total budget revenue by 3% to SAR 858.9 billion ($229 billion).

In the third quarter alone, non-oil revenue rose 20% to SAR 142.6 billion ($38 billion).

The growth in non-oil revenue therefore helped cushion the impact of declining oil revenue on the government's overall income.

Third-quarter expenditure totaled SAR 343.4 billion ($91.6 billion), against revenue of SAR 259.1 billion ($69.1 billion), resulting in a quarterly budget deficit of approximately SAR 84.3 billion ($22.5 billion).

Why Don't the Figures Move in the Same Direction?

Part of the divergence between Aramco's financial results and government budget revenue stems from the different nature of the figures themselves.

The company's profits are recognized according to its accounting results, while budget figures reflect government revenue actually collected during the reporting period.

Moreover, the government's financial returns from Aramco's operations flow through several channels, including taxes, royalties and dividends, with differences in when these amounts become due and when they are paid.

Accounting profits do not necessarily translate into cash inflows during the same period. Liquidity is affected by the timing of receivables collection, inventory movements and operating payments.

This distinction is also evident in financial transactions between Aramco and the government, which are not limited to direct cash payments but include the settlement of certain mutual obligations through offsets.

For example, Aramco's cash income tax payments fell to SAR 2.8 billion (approximately $747 million) in the third quarter, compared with around SAR 51 billion ($13.6 billion) in the second quarter, as amounts due to the company from the government were settled by offsetting them against its tax obligations.

Under this mechanism, amounts owed to one party are deducted from what that party owes the other, rather than transferring the full amount in cash.

Such offsets affect both the volume of cash payments and the timing of financial transfers between Aramco and the government.

Consequently, government oil revenue does not necessarily move in the same direction as Aramco's financial results, since each is influenced by different factors and accounting mechanisms.

While the company's profits reflect its financial performance during a given period, government revenue recorded in the budget depends on the taxes, royalties and dividends due to the state, as well as the timing of their collection and settlement.

Aramco's profits may therefore increase during a period when government oil revenue is declining.

Overall, the results demonstrate Aramco's continued ability to generate strong profits and maintain substantial cash flows, supporting its capacity to sustain investment and distribute dividends to shareholders, foremost among them the Saudi government.

At the same time, growth in non-oil revenue underscores the importance of diversifying budget income sources to mitigate fluctuations in oil revenue, broaden the sources supporting public finances and advance the Kingdom's economic transformation.


Crypto Dips on Democrat Midterm Wins, Binance Hack Dents Optimism

Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)
Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)
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Crypto Dips on Democrat Midterm Wins, Binance Hack Dents Optimism

Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)
Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)

Cryptocurrencies briefly dipped on Wednesday as Democrats won majorities in both the Senate and House in the US midterm elections, a potential blow to an industry that has pushed for faster deregulation for digital assets.

The sector has spent more than $300 million backing crypto-friendly Democrats and Republicans in roughly equal measure during the current and previous election cycles, hoping to pass legislation US crypto companies say will ‌put them on ‌a solid legal footing and allow them to thrive.

Bitcoin ‌briefly ⁠touched a six-week ⁠low before recovering to trade roughly flat by 0715 GMT at $78,070. Ether traded at $2,292, up just 1%.

Bitcoin has fallen by around 41% since hitting record highs above $122,000 in October 2025, bringing the value of the broader crypto market to around $2.61 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.

The market has lost some $300 billion in value in the last month alone, as deepening concern about future returns from AI and the ⁠strain of rising borrowing costs pushed investors into less risky ‌assets such as government bonds and ‌safe-haven currencies.

Sentiment has also been hurt by the $6 billion hack of the Binance platform last ‌week, the largest heist in history.

On Tuesday, Binance customers had withdrawn ‌a net $4.72 billion from the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange since it reopened following the hack at the weekend.

"The market may be re-evaluating the risk-reward profile of crypto assets. On one hand, the string of security incidents is forcing investors to re-examine the ‌industry's security infrastructure and custody risks," Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey, said.

"On the other hand, potential shifts in ⁠the US political landscape ⁠could stall the progress of structural crypto legislation and institutional framework development. All of these factors leave the crypto market facing strong headwinds," he said.

US President Donald Trump, who vowed to make the United States the "crypto capital of the world" during his 2024 presidential campaign, has made his own forays into digital assets, with the launch of his "Trump" meme coin, plus his family's World Liberty Financial crypto platform, among other ventures.

The sector has seen sweeping reforms in the almost two years since Trump returned to office, including lighter enforcement and the creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve.

Washington has also allowed for easier access to banking and exchange-traded products and passed a federal stablecoin law that could help these assets move into the mainstream payments and money transfer systems.