Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability

Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability
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Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability

Saudi Arabia and Russia: A Strategic Partnership Beyond the Oil Barrel, Shaping Global Economic Stability

Economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Russia have entered an advanced stage of strategic transformation, moving beyond traditional cooperation in energy markets toward a multidimensional partnership encompassing investment, technology, industry, and space. This development comes amid growing coordination between the two countries, strengthening their influence within the global economic landscape and providing greater stability to energy markets in an increasingly volatile geopolitical environment.

This momentum in bilateral relations coincides with Saudi Arabia’s prominent role as a principal guest of honor at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, reflecting the Kingdom’s growing presence at major international economic gatherings and underscoring the level of mutual trust between Riyadh and Moscow. The forum also served as an important platform for signing several agreements and memoranda of understanding that have expanded cooperation in investment, technology, and industry, advancing the partnership toward deeper strategic integration.

According to economists and specialists, the Saudi-Russian partnership has evolved beyond a conventional bilateral relationship into an influential balancing force within the international economic system, particularly through its contribution to energy market stability and support for economic diversification efforts aligned with the goals of Vision 2030, including increasing the contribution of non-oil sectors and localizing knowledge and expertise.

In this context, Saudi Shura Council member Fadl bin Saad Al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom has reshaped its economic relations in recent years around principles of balance and openness toward major global economic powers. He noted that Russia represents an important partner given its weight in global energy markets, making enhanced cooperation with Moscow a strategic choice that serves the interests of both countries while supporting the stability of international markets.

He added that coordination between Riyadh and Moscow—whether bilaterally or through the OPEC+ alliance—has helped achieve notable balance in oil markets and mitigate sharp fluctuations driven by geopolitical tensions. According to Al-Buainain, this model of cooperation has proven effective not only in the energy sector but also across broader economic and development fields.

He pointed out that the most significant areas of cooperation recently agreed upon during the St. Petersburg Economic Forum include the economy, energy, and food security, in addition to defense industries and technology, as well as important agreements facilitating travel and mobility between the two countries.

Al-Buainain emphasized that mining, technology, and space represent key pillars of bilateral cooperation due to their strategic importance to both sides. He explained that mining is among the Kingdom’s most promising sectors and a priority within its economic diversification plans, making it a natural area for cooperation with Russia. He also highlighted technology cooperation—particularly in artificial intelligence, digital transformation, and space technologies—as a priority under Vision 2030 because of its long-term strategic value.

He stressed the importance of moving from agreements to implementation, noting that serious efforts to activate these understandings would generate tangible economic benefits and provide greater momentum for the partnership in the coming years, thereby strengthening the strategic relationship between the two countries.

High-Quality Bilateral Cooperation

For his part, Dr. Abdulrahman Baashen, head of the Al-Shorouq Center for Economic Studies in Jazan, southern Saudi Arabia, said there is a growing Saudi-Russian drive to elevate bilateral cooperation to its highest possible level. He noted that this would lay the groundwork for a distinctive form of economic and industrial integration and establish a joint framework for addressing geopolitical challenges in the region and Europe, helping preserve economic stability at both the regional and international levels.

Baashen told Asharq Al-Awsat that relations between Riyadh and Moscow have accelerated across multiple sectors as the culmination of agreements signed over previous years, alongside ongoing coordination within OPEC+. He noted that this cooperation has supported global energy market stability amid geopolitical tensions, including the repercussions of the US-Iran conflict, while also expanding into technology, industry, space, and satellite-related fields.

He believes that several Vision 2030 initiatives have found significant opportunities for integration with Russian partnerships. In his view, bilateral cooperation has become a long-term strategic path carrying both political and economic dimensions, helping shape a new reality amid rapidly changing geopolitical conditions while providing greater opportunities for economic diversification and political stability.

Baashen also noted that the Saudi-Russian Joint Governmental Committee has helped launch more than 70 joint projects valued at over $70 billion. He added that the signing of 13 agreements and memoranda of understanding on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg Forum reflects a clear commitment to high-quality bilateral cooperation aimed at diversifying the economy, increasing joint investments, localizing advanced technologies, strengthening both countries’ regional and global presence, and fostering more balanced international relations that support economic and political stability worldwide.

Riyadh and Moscow as Drivers of Economic Stability

Former Chairman of the Federation of Saudi Chambers, Engineer Abdullah Al-Mubty, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia and Russia maintain “full and continuous coordination to manage market imbalances through joint decisions to increase or reduce production, ensuring fair prices that serve both producers and consumers.” He explained that the importance of this cooperation stems from the fact that the two countries rank among the world’s largest oil producers and exporters. He added that Vision 2030’s objectives of economic diversification, attracting investment, and localizing technology make Russia a vital partner in Saudi Arabia’s pursuit of balanced international relations.

Al-Mubty argued that this Saudi-Russian alignment has created a safety net that prevents oil prices from either collapsing or soaring uncontrollably. The presence of both countries, he said, helps maintain global economic balance, ensures secure energy supplies, and supports the uninterrupted flow of oil to meet international demand. Beyond energy coordination, he noted, the two countries have also moved toward broader economic agreements aimed at promoting global stability.

Mining, Technology, and Space

Al-Mubty said that mining, technology, and space have become the principal pillars shaping the future of Saudi-Russian cooperation. Both countries are actively working to implement joint investment agreements that support economic diversification while advancing knowledge-transfer initiatives and enhancing the resilience of supply chains between them.

Regarding the mining sector, he highlighted the significant opportunities available to Saudi Arabia through Russian expertise, particularly in exploration activities. Russia’s long-standing leadership in geological surveying, he explained, can contribute substantially to assessing the Kingdom’s mineral resources and expanding joint investment opportunities in rare minerals. He also noted that Saudi Arabia’s major investment opportunities have become a strong attraction for leading Russian mining companies.

In the technology sector, recent developments have opened promising avenues for cooperation focused primarily on integrating artificial intelligence and digital transformation applications to improve operational efficiency and competitiveness in Saudi industry and mining. In this regard, Al-Mubty stressed the strategic importance of the partnership between the Public Investment Fund and the Russian Direct Investment Fund, manifested through dedicated investment vehicles aimed at financing and localizing advanced technologies.

He also highlighted the longstanding cooperation in the space sector, noting that agreements related to space exploration have paved the way for a new phase of joint work. This cooperation now extends to ongoing coordination with the Russian space agency Roscosmos in training Saudi personnel for space missions and collaborating on satellite navigation systems.

Investment and Trade

Al-Mubty stated that current trade exchange between Riyadh and Moscow stands at approximately $4 billion. He also expects Saudi Arabia to attract around $1.5 billion in direct Russian investment over the coming years. According to him, both countries are clearly committed to expanding these figures through new joint ventures, while the Saudi-Russian Business Council has set a strategic target of increasing bilateral trade to $12 billion in the years ahead.

He concluded that close cooperation between Riyadh and Moscow has become an indispensable pillar of global economic and energy-market stability by helping maintain a delicate balance between supply and demand. Expanding this partnership, he added, directly contributes to strengthening food security and diversifying investments in key sectors such as technology and agriculture, reducing the impact of geopolitical volatility on economic growth in both countries. He emphasized that the partnership’s greatest significance lies in three core areas: stabilizing energy markets, strengthening food security, and expanding non-oil investments.

A Deeply Rooted Partnership

Saudi economist Dr. Ibrahim Al-Omar, supervisor of the consultancy firm Sharah Studies, told Asharq Al-Awsat: “The partnership between Riyadh and Moscow extends beyond oil toward global economic stability. Saudi-Russian relations are no longer tied solely to the oil barrel, even though oil remains their backbone.”

Al-Omar elaborated on the operational dimensions of the partnership, saying: “As the two pillars of OPEC+, Saudi Arabia and Russia have led the coalition’s decisions to raise production ceilings by roughly three million barrels per day during 2025—equivalent to nearly 3 percent of global demand—through carefully phased increases that can be paused or reversed whenever market stability requires.”

Discussing recent crises, he added: “When the US-Iran conflict intensified and disruptions affected supplies through the Strait of Hormuz last May, most of the agreed production increase came from Saudi Arabia and Russia. This was the clearest demonstration that coordination between the two major producers acts as a safety valve that restrains volatility, eases inflationary pressures, and protects energy-dependent economies from geopolitical shocks.”

According to Al-Omar, the center of gravity in the relationship is increasingly shifting from traditional trade toward manufacturing and knowledge transfer. While energy in all its forms—conventional, renewable, and nuclear—remains at the forefront, greater emphasis is now being placed on industry, mining, the digital economy, artificial intelligence, and space sciences.

He said: “I saw this clearly during the Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources’ visit to Russia, where mining exploration opportunities covering 50,000 square kilometers across the Nuqrah, Suhaibrah, and Al-Duwaihi belts were presented. Discussions also included launching a joint technology platform worth $1 billion and expanding space cooperation that leverages Russia’s extensive experience in the field.”

Reviewing the broader indicators, Al-Omar said: “These developments are the product of a well-established institutional framework managed efficiently by the Joint Governmental Committee, which held its ninth session in Riyadh last December. The figures speak for themselves: more than 70 joint projects worth over $70 billion, alongside non-oil trade that surged from SAR 1.84 billion ($490.6 million) in 2016 to SAR 12.5 billion (around $3.3 billion) in 2024. In addition, 13 new agreements and memoranda of understanding were signed during the latest St. Petersburg Forum, where Saudi Arabia participated as the guest of honor.”

Al-Omar concluded that strengthening strategic cooperation between Riyadh and Moscow is no longer merely a bilateral matter. Instead, it has become a genuine and decisive balancing factor within an increasingly turbulent international system. It supports the goals of Vision 2030 by diversifying sources of income, localizing knowledge, and increasing the contribution of the non-oil sector, thereby fostering economic stability that extends beyond the two countries to the wider region and the global economy.



World Bank Projects Lebanon Economy to Contract by 6.4% Due to War

People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)
People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)
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World Bank Projects Lebanon Economy to Contract by 6.4% Due to War

People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)
People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)

The World Bank on Friday projected that Lebanon's economy would contract by 6.4 percent this year, as the latest Israel-Hezbollah war derailed the country's efforts at recovery.

Lebanon has been dealing with an unprecedented financial crisis since 2019 and was still reeling from the 2024 Israel-Hezbollah war when the Iran-backed group drew it into the Middle East conflict by attacking Israel in March.

Israel responded with a heavy air campaign and ground invasion that Lebanese authorities say have killed more than 4,300 people.

Due to the war, "real GDP is projected to contract by 6.4 percent in 2026, reflecting the collapse in tourism, weaker consumption, disrupted supply chains, heightened insecurity, and prolonged displacement," the World Bank said in a report.

Inflation is also expected to rise to 17.5 percent this year, according to the report.

The World Bank said Lebanon's economy had strengthened before the latest conflict, with an estimated real GDP growth of 4.2 percent in 2025, "the fastest since the onset of the 2019 financial crisis".

"Advancing reforms -- particularly on banking sector restructuring and fiscal management -- will be critical to restoring confidence, protecting stability, and mobilizing the financing needed for reconstruction and recovery," Dahlia Khalifa, the World Bank's Middle East director, said.

The international community has been demanding that Lebanese authorities enact financial reforms in order to secure much-needed economic aid.

Last week, parliament passed amendments to a bank resolution law aimed at restructuring troubled banks and addressing the country's banking crisis.

The International Monetary Fund welcomed the law, describing it as "a very good step that reflects Lebanon's commitment to aligning its legislation with the best international practices".

Lebanon has been in discussions with the IMF, which said it would resume its meetings in Beirut next month.


Tunisia Olive Oil Exports Surge 55%, Bringing in $1.6 billion

Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
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Tunisia Olive Oil Exports Surge 55%, Bringing in $1.6 billion

Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui

Tunisia's olive oil exports surged 55.3% to a record 368,000 metric tons in the first nine months of the 2025/26 season, bringing in $1.6 billion in export revenue, up 44.4% from a year earlier, official data showed on Friday.

The surge in olive oil shipments, a vital source of foreign currency and Tunisia's top agricultural export, will provide a much-needed boost to the country's finances as the government grapples with persistent economic and fiscal pressure.

The jump in exports was driven by strong global demand during the first nine months of the season, which began in November.

Extra virgin olive oil accounted for 83.6% of total shipments, the National Observatory of Agriculture said, Reuters reported.

The European Union remained the biggest destination, taking 57.1% of Tunisian olive oil exports, while North America accounted for 24%. More than 70 countries imported Tunisian oil during the period.

Exports to other markets included Saudi Arabia, which took 4.6%, Jordan with 3.1% and African markets at 3.8%, with Egypt accounting for 3.3%.

Bottled olive oil exports rose 50.8% to 51,500 tons, but bulk oil still accounted for the vast majority of shipments, underscoring Tunisia's challenge in capturing more value from one of its most important export products.


South African Rand Hits Strongest Level since Start of Iran War

South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration
South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration
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South African Rand Hits Strongest Level since Start of Iran War

South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration
South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration

The South African rand strengthened on Friday to its strongest level since the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran on February 28, as rising gold prices and a weaker dollar boosted the commodity-linked currency.

At 1229 GMT, the rand traded at 15.9925 against the dollar , about 0.8% stronger from its previous close.

Gold, one of South Africa's main exports, rose to a more than three-month high on Friday and was on track for a third straight weekly gain.

The precious metal was supported by a weaker dollar and the US Treasury's announcement that it would increase buybacks of longer-dated securities, Reuters reported.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he may further increase the government's repurchases of Treasuries. That came after the Treasury said it would double the size of buybacks on longer-dated securities over the next quarter.

The US dollar was set to end a bumpy week lower, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers overseas.

Like other emerging market currencies, the rand has been at the mercy of global market sentiment, particularly since the start of the Iran war.

On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index was last up 2.2%.

South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond was also firmer in early deals, as the yield fell 0.5 basis points to 8.56%.