Syrian South Protests Living Conditions

Photos of the gatherings in central Sweida, Syria, were shared by activists on social media (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Photos of the gatherings in central Sweida, Syria, were shared by activists on social media (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Syrian South Protests Living Conditions

Photos of the gatherings in central Sweida, Syria, were shared by activists on social media (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Photos of the gatherings in central Sweida, Syria, were shared by activists on social media (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Recent strikes and protests in the Sweida province in southern Syria have brought back memories of the demonstrations that erupted in the spring of 2011.

Reasons behind renewed protests in Sweida are deteriorating living conditions and recent government decisions that, while increasing the salaries of state employees, have exacerbated the impoverishment of the Syrian people and heightened inflation.

Protests in Sweida began following a call by locals to go on a general strike.

Local sources in Suwayda confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat that the scope of the protests, which began last Wednesday, has expanded throughout the province.

On Sunday, there was a significant response to the call for a general strike. Residents closed major roads in villages and cities. Shops shut their doors, and employees refrained from going to government institutions and agencies.

Sweida’s Department of Education announced the postponement of Sunday’s scheduled exams at the Damascus University branch in the province to a later, undetermined, date.

Sources also highlighted an incident involving an official from the Baath Party.

The official tried to escape from one of the towns using a rural road, but locals blocked the way, forcing them to find an alternative route out of the province.

Local news website “Sweida 24” broadcasted an audio clip of the conversation between the official and the locals who blocked his passage.

One of them asked, “If we let you reach your workplace, will you ensure water reaches our homes?”

The UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights confirmed that roads and government departments in Sweida were closed in protest of the deteriorating economic situation.

Meanwhile, local activists circulated photos and video clips showing the closure of roads, shops, as well as demonstrations and protest gatherings.

Since Wednesday, the capital city of Damascus has been gripped by a palpable sense of apprehension and widespread concern amidst noticeable security mobilization.

An opposition news website cited private sources stating that “security agencies have issued directives to their branches and units in the Rural Damascus Governorate to be on high alert, preparing to confront any opposition movement with measures even stricter than those in 2011.”

This development followed activists’ calls for civil disobedience.

Videos circulated by these activists showed anti-regime slogans written on walls in the town of Zakia in Rural Damascus. This coincided with protests that erupted in the provinces of Daraa and Sweida.



Iran Opts for Dialogue with Europe ahead of Trump's Return to Office

President Donald Trump shows a signed Presidential Memorandum after delivering a statement on the Iran nuclear deal from the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House, Tuesday, May 8, 2018, in Washington. (AP)
President Donald Trump shows a signed Presidential Memorandum after delivering a statement on the Iran nuclear deal from the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House, Tuesday, May 8, 2018, in Washington. (AP)
TT

Iran Opts for Dialogue with Europe ahead of Trump's Return to Office

President Donald Trump shows a signed Presidential Memorandum after delivering a statement on the Iran nuclear deal from the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House, Tuesday, May 8, 2018, in Washington. (AP)
President Donald Trump shows a signed Presidential Memorandum after delivering a statement on the Iran nuclear deal from the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House, Tuesday, May 8, 2018, in Washington. (AP)

It is difficult to predict what the outcomes will be of the discussions between Iran, France, Britain and Germany about Tehran’s nuclear program in Geneva on Friday.

Last week, the UN atomic watchdog's 35-nation Board of Governors passed a resolution again ordering Iran to urgently improve cooperation with the agency and requesting a "comprehensive" report aimed at pressuring Iran into fresh nuclear talks.

Britain, France, Germany and the United States, which proposed the resolution, dismissed as insufficient and insincere a last-minute Iranian move to cap its stock of uranium that is close to weapons-grade. Diplomats said Iran's move was conditional on scrapping the resolution.

Iran has been weighing its response to the censure, debating whether to increase uranium enrichment or by being open to the proposals expected at the Geneva talks.

The discussions may seek a new nuclear deal instead of the 2015 one with Tehran that is in tatters.

As it stands, Iran is likely to opt for negotiations instead of escalation due to a number of internal, regional and international reasons.

Diplomatic sources in Paris noted US President-elect Donald Trump’s appointments of officials handling Middle East affairs, underscoring their unreserved support to Israel and clear hostility to Iran.

These appointments may lead Iran to think twice before resorting to any escalation.

Even before Trump has taken office, his circles have said that the new president will take “several executive decisions related to Iran and that will be declared on his first day in office.” The decisions will be binding and do not need Congress’ approval.

However, Trump is unpredictable and the sources did not rule out the surprise possibility of him striking a deal with Iran related to its nuclear program and behavior in the Middle East. This means that Tehran will have to make major concessions, including abandoning its policy of “exporting the revolution”.

This remains a far-fatched possibility, however. In all likelihood, Washington under Trump will return to his “maximum pressure” policy against Iran on political, diplomatic and economic levels to make it return to the negotiations table and agree on a deal that completely ends its nuclear ambitions.

So, at the Geneva meeting on Friday, Tehran will seek to achieve two main goals: a nuclear breakthrough during what remains of US President Joe Biden’s time in office, and attempt to lure the European powers away from Trump.

The truth is that Tehran is wading in the unknown. One only has to go back to Trump’s past statements about how Israel should have struck Iran’s nuclear facilities during its October 26 attack on the country.

Trump has already shown Iran his hardline stance when he ordered the assassination of Quds Forces leader Qassem Soleimani near Baghdad airport in January 2020.

Based on this, Tehran is scrambling to avert a joint American-Israeli strike that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been dreaming of.

Iran is vulnerable now due to two main reasons: the Israeli strike in October weakened Iran’s air defenses and Netanyahu has said that Israeli jets can now run rampant over Iran without any worries.

And Tehran can no longer rely on its allied militias to threaten Israel with all-out war. Hamas in Gaza is no longer in a position to threaten Israel and neither is Hezbollah in Lebanon.

So, Iran now finds itself exposed and would rather turn to negotiations with Europe than risk escalation that would cost it dearly with Israel now that it can no longer rely on Hamas and Hezbollah.