Iran to Store Its Oil in Fleet of Supertankers

Iran seems to be struggling again from US sanctions and despite major buyers announcement for their full compliance with Washington’s will to fully stop any incoming Iranian oil, Tehran is starting to store oil in fleet of supertankers again as impending US sanctions force the Gulf country to revive a strategy it deployed under previous curbs.

Bloomberg’s tanker tracking data revealed there are currently eight tankers holding 14 million barrels of Iranian crude or condensate, a form of light crude extracted from gas fields, anchored in the Persian Gulf. This indicates that Iran is having a hard time finding buyers for its oil.

The build-up in Iranian oil supplies underscores the pressure that Iran is facing as Washington aims to bring Iranian oil exports down to zero to force Tehran to re-negotiate a nuclear deal.

The Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) Felicity loaded condensate at Iran’s Assaluyeh port in early August and then set sail for Jebel Ali in the UAE, shipping and trade flows data on Reuters showed. It arrived at the ship-to-ship transfer area off Dubai on Aug. 7 and has been anchored there since.

Last year, China was the largest buyer of Iranian crude accounting for almost a third of Iran’s crude and condensate exports.

Exports so far this month slumped to around 1.3 million barrels a day (bpd) after they were as high as 3 million bpd back in 2016.

Iran finally managed to get Dino I and Dune to China out of Kharg Island. The last vessel to make the journey was the supertanker Starla, which left on Aug. 25 carrying two million barrels.

During the first half of this year, Iran shipped 660,000 bpd of oil to China. To maintain that rate of purchases, five to six supertankers should have left for China in the past 18 days. So far, most of the ships have only been holding crude at sea for a few weeks, rather than for months at a time as they did during 2012-2016 sanctions, tanker tracking compiled by Bloomberg show.

Almost all of Iran’s main customers purchased fewer Iranian barrels in August than they did in April, the month before Trump said sanctions were being reimposed.

Regardless of the motivation, flows to China have plunged at a difficult moment for Iran, with buyers including South Korea, France and others either reducing or completely stopping their purchases due to US pressure. Tanker tracking compiled by Bloomberg indicates that OPEC’s fourth-largest exporter is already having to store barrels amid dwindling demand.

The tankers, carrying about 2.4 million barrels of South Pars condensate combined, have been floating off the UAE since August after South Korea halted imports from Iran while China’s demand dropped during summer, according to several industry sources and shipping data.

International Energy Agency (IEA) said the impact of the sanctions will soon affect Iran as the country’s crude output fell by 150,000 bpd in July compared with same time last year. Exports fell 280,000 bpd reaching to 1.9 million bpd from a peak of 2.5 million bpd in May.

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) monthly report released on Thursday showed Iran's oil production fell by 150,000 bpd in August, despite OPEC's monthly oil production rising 278 million bpd to reach 32.6 million bpd.

Iran's oil production fell for the fourth month in a row, according to OPEC data, to 3.584 million barrels, compared to 3.734 million barrels last July.

Iran will face US sanctions on its oil sector in early November. Trump administration's aim is to stop Iranian exports altogether. China, Iran's biggest oil importer, said it will continue to import oil from Tehran.

Oil slipped on Tuesday pressured by the restart of production at Norway's Johan Sverdrup oilfield, although investor caution arising from fears of an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war limited the decline.
Equinor has resumed partial production from the oilfield, Western Europe's largest, following a power outage. An outage at the North Sea field helped prices to climb by over 3% on Monday, Reuters reported.
Brent crude futures were down 45 cents, or 0.6%, to $72.85 a barrel by 0915 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped by 46 cents, or 0.7%, to $68.70.
"I guess the partial restart of the Sverdrup field is the driver of the setback, as well as a slightly stronger US dollar," said Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at UBS.
The US dollar edged up on Tuesday to within striking distance of its one-year high. A strong dollar makes commodities like oil more expensive for other currency holders and tends to weigh on prices.
Another continuing outage provided support. Kazakhstan's biggest oilfield, Tengiz, has reduced oil output by 28% to 30% for repairs which are expected to be completed by Saturday, the country's energy ministry said.
A rise in geopolitical tensions also supported prices.
In a significant reversal of policy, US President Joe Biden's administration allowed Ukraine to use the U.S.-made weapons to strike deep into Russia, two US officials and a source familiar with the decision said on Sunday.
The Kremlin said on Monday that Russia would respond to what it called a reckless decision by the Biden administration, having previously warned that such a decision would raise the risk of a confrontation with the US-led NATO alliance.
Investors are wary, said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities, as they are "assessing the direction of the Russia-Ukraine war after the weekend's escalation".
While oil's outright price has found support this week, the market structure has weakened. US crude flipped to contango for the first time since February on Monday in a sign that supply tightness was easing.

Iran to Store Its Oil in Fleet of Supertankers