Lebanon Hinges on Moscow in Shebaa Farms Claim

Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and Lebanese President Michel Aoun shake hands during their meeting in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, March 26, 2019. (Maxim Shemetov/Pool Photo via AP)
Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and Lebanese President Michel Aoun shake hands during their meeting in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, March 26, 2019. (Maxim Shemetov/Pool Photo via AP)
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Lebanon Hinges on Moscow in Shebaa Farms Claim

Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and Lebanese President Michel Aoun shake hands during their meeting in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, March 26, 2019. (Maxim Shemetov/Pool Photo via AP)
Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and Lebanese President Michel Aoun shake hands during their meeting in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, March 26, 2019. (Maxim Shemetov/Pool Photo via AP)

Recent developments along the Syrian-Israeli border have raised security concerns among Lebanese officials, especially following US President Donald Trump’s recognition of Israel’s 1981 annexation of the Golan Heights.

During his visit last month to Moscow, President Michel Aoun urged his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin to help stop Israel from taking an official decision to officially annex the Golan Heights.

Beirut says the Shebaa Farms are Lebanese territory while Israel considers it part of the Golan.

The United Nations has long held the area, along with its adjacent Kfarshouba Hills, was inside Syrian territory occupied by Israeli forces in the 1967 Middle East war. But Beirut says Israel should have withdrawn from the zone when it pulled its forces out of south Lebanon in 2000.
 
Well-informed sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that Aoun did not hesitate to raise the issue with any Arab or foreign visitor to Lebanon. He discussed it with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who was on a trip to Lebanon last month, and with Arab leaders on the sidelines of the 30th Arab League Summit held in Tunis on March 30.

The president also talked about the fate of the Kfarshuba Hills during his meetings with Greek President Prokopis Pavlopoulos and Cypriot Foreign Minister Nikos Christodoulides last week in Beirut.
 
Well-informed diplomatic sources admitted that the liberation of the Shebaa Farms would not be easy with only Lebanon’s official recognition. Liberation would either be achieved through the resistance or a Security Council resolution backed by the permanent members.
 
“With regards to the first option, there is a deficiency in the military force due to the superiority of Israeli power, unless it was decided to open a resistance front that will lead to the displacement of the population from the south and the destruction of vital infrastructure of water and electricity, the airport and military barracks, as happened during the 2006 Israeli war on Lebanon,” the sources explained.
 
According to the same sources, “the two options are feasible in light of local and global circumstances, especially Trump’s absolute support for Israel.”



Netanyahu ‘Takes Revenge’ on Macron in Lebanon

 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)
 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)
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Netanyahu ‘Takes Revenge’ on Macron in Lebanon

 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)
 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)

Israel’s insistence that France can not be a member of the international committee that will monitor a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon is due to a series of French practices that have disturbed Israel recently, political sources in Tel Aviv revealed.
These practices are most notably attributed to the French judge at the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague, who has joined other judges to unanimously issue arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, the sources revealed.
“The Israeli government is following with concern the French role at The Hague,” they said, noting that veteran French lawyer Gilles Devers led a team of 300 international lawyers of various nationalities who volunteered to accuse Israel of “committing war crimes and crimes against humanity.”
According to the Israeli Maariv newspaper, Israeli officials believe that Devers, who signed the arrest warrant against Netanyahu and Galant, would not have dared to do so without having received a green light from French President Emmanuel Macron.
Israeli sources also mentioned other reasons for Israel’s anger at France, such as the government’s decision to bar Israeli firms from exhibiting at the Euronaval arms show near Paris earlier this month.
French officials have repeatedly said that Paris is committed to Israel's security and point out that its military helped defend Israel after Iranian attacks in April and earlier this month.
Paris has so far also refused to recognize the Palestinian state. But the Israeli government is not satisfied. It wants France to follow the United States and blindly support its war in Gaza and Lebanon.
Tel Aviv also feels incredibly confident that France should be punished, and therefore, decided that Paris could not participate in the Lebanese ceasefire agreement, knowing that the Israeli government itself has traveled to Paris several times begging for its intervention, especially during the war on Lebanon.
Meanwhile, an air of optimism has emerged in Israel around the chances for an end to the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon following negotiations led by US envoy Amos Hochstein.
But any optimism relies on Netanyahu’s final decision. The PM is still conducting talks with his friends and allies of the far right who reject the ceasefire agreement and instead, demand that Lebanese citizens not be allowed to return to their villages on the border with Israel. They also request that a security belt be turned into a permanently depopulated and mined zone.
Hochstein Talks
Meanwhile, political sources in Israel claim that what is holding up a ceasefire deal so far is Lebanon. According to Israel's Channel 12, Hochstein expressed a “firm stance” during his talks with the Lebanese side. The envoy delivered clear terms that were passed on to Hezbollah, which the channel said “led to significant progress” in the talks.
Israeli officials said that Tel Aviv is moving towards a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon with Hezbollah in the coming days.
The channel said that during his late visit to Tel Aviv, coming from Beirut after talks with Speaker Nabih Barri, Hochstein said, “I placed before them (Lebanese officials) a final warning, and it seems to have been effective.”
Iran Obstacle
Despite the “positive atmosphere,” informed diplomatic sources pointed to a major obstacle: Iran.
Channel 12 quoted the sources as saying that Lebanon has not yet received the final approval required from Iran, which has significant influence over Hezbollah.

According to the draft proposal, the Lebanese Army must be redeployed to the south and carry out a comprehensive operation to remove weapons from villages. The US Central Command (CENTCOM) forces will “supervise and monitor the implementation of the operation.”
Channel 12 said Israel believes that such details could still derail the agreement. It also said that Hezbollah could violate the truce.
“In such cases, Israel would have to conduct military operations inside the Lebanese territory,” the channel reported, adding that “one of the unsettled issues is related to the committee that will oversee the implementation of the agreement between Israel and Lebanon.”
The sources said Tel Aviv “insists that France is not part of the agreement, nor part of the committee that will oversee its implementation.”