Lebanese Merchants Warn of Unprecedented Deflation

Lebanon is facing an unprecedented economic crisis. (AFP)
Lebanon is facing an unprecedented economic crisis. (AFP)
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Lebanese Merchants Warn of Unprecedented Deflation

Lebanon is facing an unprecedented economic crisis. (AFP)
Lebanon is facing an unprecedented economic crisis. (AFP)

The dozens of banners, announcing 80 and 90 percent discounts, on shop windows in Lebanon’s Zalka region failed to attract any clients, amid an unprecedented economic slowdown in the country.

Nicolas Chammas, head of the Beirut Traders Association, said last week that this year’s summer season was the worst, in terms of commercial trade, due to security developments that took place in the country.

Chammas revealed that in 2018, 10 percent of Beirut’s commercial institutions shut down, and that the number was higher is other areas.

He said that the current economic slowdown is mainly due to the budget deficit, the bloated public sector and the crisis in Syria.

He said the recent Labor Ministry’s crackdown on illegal foreign workers was not enough to improve the economic situation in the country.

“There should be radical and quick solutions or else we will witness the biggest crisis not seen in 50 years,” Chammas said.

Both the Labor and the Economy Ministries are trying to pass measures that should contain the crisis.

However, economic experts say that the lack of any national and comprehensive economic plan would not improve the situation.

According to the Labor Ministry, around 123 institutions, owned by foreigners, were closed across the country since July because they lacked the necessary legal work permits.

However, hundreds of stores owned by Lebanese have also closed after failing to pay the rent and other expenses, such as electricity bills.

Elie Yachoui, a Beirut-based economist, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the extreme economic slump is reflected in this year’s zero economic growth, which means the absence of consumption.

As a solution, he suggested that Lebanon introduce change in the policy of the Central Bank’s increased interest rates, which hit consumption, investment and the economic growth, and put an end to the political shares inside state institutions.



Trump Metal Tariffs Wreak Havoc on US Factory

Tariffs on metal imposed by US President Donald Trump are hitting small businesses like Independent Can very hard. RYAN COLLERD / AFP
Tariffs on metal imposed by US President Donald Trump are hitting small businesses like Independent Can very hard. RYAN COLLERD / AFP
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Trump Metal Tariffs Wreak Havoc on US Factory

Tariffs on metal imposed by US President Donald Trump are hitting small businesses like Independent Can very hard. RYAN COLLERD / AFP
Tariffs on metal imposed by US President Donald Trump are hitting small businesses like Independent Can very hard. RYAN COLLERD / AFP

In the sweltering US summer, metal containers decorated with snowmen and sleighs are taking shape -- but tempers are also rising as their manufacturer grapples with President Donald Trump's steep steel tariffs.

At Independent Can's factory in Belcamp, Maryland northeast of Baltimore, CEO Rick Huether recounts how he started working at his family's business at age 14.

Huether, now 73, says he is determined to keep his manufacturing company afloat for generations to come. But Trump's tariffs are complicating this task.

"We're living in chaos right now," he told AFP.

Since returning to the presidency in January, Trump imposed tariffs of 25 percent on imported steel and aluminum -- and then doubled the rate to 50 percent.

This has weighed on operations at Independent Can, and Huether expects he eventually will have to raise prices.

Not enough tinplate

With the steady beat of presses, steel plates that have been coated with tin -- to prevent corrosion -- are turned into containers for cookies, dried fruit, coffee and milk powder at Huether's factory.

But there is not enough of such American-made tinplate for companies like his.

"In the United States, we can only make about 25 percent of the tinplate that's required to do what we do," in addition to what other manufacturers need, Huether said.

"Those all require us to buy in the neighborhood of 70 percent of our steel outside of the United States," he added.

While Huether is a proponent of growing the US manufacturing base, saying globalization has "gone almost a little bit too far," he expressed concern about Trump's methods.

Trump has announced a stream of major tariffs only to later back off parts of them or postpone them, and also imposed duties on items the country does not produce.

For now, Independent Can -- which employs nearly 400 people at four sites -- is ruling out any layoffs despite the current upheaval.

But Huether said one of the company's plants in Iowa closed last year in part because of a previous increase in steel tariffs, during Trump's first presidential term.

Price hikes

With steel tariffs at 50 percent now, Huether expects he will ultimately have to raise his prices by more than 20 percent, given that tinplate represents a part of his production costs.

Some buyers have already reduced their orders this year by 20 to 25 percent, over worries about the economy and about not having enough business themselves.

Others now seem more inclined to buy American, but Huether expressed reservations over how long this trend might last, citing his experiences from the Covid-19 crisis.

"During the pandemic, we took everybody in. As China shut down and the ports were locked up, our business went up 50 percent," he explained.

But when the pandemic was over, customers turned back to purchasing from China, he said.

"Today if people want to come to us, we'll take them in," he said, but added: "We need to have a two-year contract."

Huether wants to believe that his company, which is almost a century old after being founded during the Great Depression, will weather the latest disruptions.

"I think that our business will survive," he said, but added: "It's trying to figure out what you're going to sell in the next six months."