Morocco: Economic Center Expects Growth to Reach 4.6% in 2020

 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal
 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal
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Morocco: Economic Center Expects Growth to Reach 4.6% in 2020

 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal
 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal

A Moroccan business center has expected the country's economic growth to accelerate to 4.6 percent next year compared to 2.6 percent in 2019.

Mohammed al-Tahrawi from the Centre Marocain de Conjuncture -CMC said at a press conference in Casablanca that the forecast is based on a possible improvement in the agriculture sector in 2020 although production in 2019 was effected by drought.

Tahrawi continued that agriculture is expected to witness a growth of 9.5 percent in 2020, after a drop of 3.7 percent in 2019 due to below average rains and an inadequate water distribution.

He noted that Morocco’s economic growth continues to suffer from the repercussions of climate conditions.

The economy achieved a growth of 4.6 percent in 2015 then dropped to 1.2 percent in 2016. In 2017, it rose to 4.1 percent before declining again to 3.3 percent in 2018 and to 2.6 percent this year.

The value-added agriculture saw a hike of 14 percent in 2015 and a decline of 12.8 percent in 2016. Then it rose 15.1 percent in 2017, 2.9 percent in 2018 before dropping 4.5 percent in 2019.

According to Tahrawi, this fluctuation affects other sectors such as the manufacturing and services industries given the interconnection among them.

CMC experts urged more diversification in the economy, namely in manufacturing and services.

CMC Director Ahmed Abboudi explained that the Moroccan economy relies heavily on imports, calling for prioritizing exports as the sole means to make hard currency earnings.

Morocco is also highly dependent on remittances of expatriates and foreign investments for hard currency, despite the development of the industrial sector in the past years, Abboudi added.

The automotive industry has become the number one exporting sector in Morocco.



Oil Prices Edge up as Market Assesses Trump's Tariff Plans

FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
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Oil Prices Edge up as Market Assesses Trump's Tariff Plans

FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo

Oil prices picked up on Tuesday, after the previous session's sell-off, as the market assessed US President-elect Donald Trump's planned trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada and his aim to increase US crude production.

Oil prices had fallen more than $2 a barrel on Monday after multiple reports that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to the terms of a ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. A senior Israeli official said Israel looks set to approve a US plan for a ceasefire on Tuesday, but some analysts said Monday's sell-off in oil prices had been overdone.

Brent crude futures were up 43 cents, or 0.6%, at $73.44 a barrel as of 1414 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $69.38 a barrel, up 44 cents, or 0.6%.

Brent crude futures fluctuated between $73.30 and $73.80 a barrel in afternoon trading.

"Today’s intra-day fluctuations are probably more of the function of assessing Trump’s overnight pledge to impose tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China," PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

On Monday, Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on all products coming into the US from Mexico and Canada.

The vast majority of Canada's 4 million bpd of crude exports go to the US Analysts have said it is unlikely Trump would impose tariffs on Canadian oil, which cannot be easily replaced since it differs from grades that the US produces.

On Monday, Reuters reported that Trump's team is also preparing an energy package to roll out within days of his taking office that would increase oil drilling.

A senior executive at Exxon Mobil said on Tuesday that US oil and gas producers are unlikely to "radically increase'' production.

OPEC+ MEETING

Market reaction on Monday to the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire news was "over the top" as the broader Middle East conflict has "never actually disrupted supplies significantly to induce war premiums" this year, said senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva at Phillip Nova.

Elsewhere, OPEC+ at its next meeting on Sunday may consider leaving its current oil output cuts in place from Jan. 1. The producer group is already postponing hikes amid global demand worries.