IMF-Lebanon Talks Fettered by Disputes With Central Bank

The army said it had arrested 16 people who were carrying out “money transfers and illegal currency exchange transactions, using licensed companies and offices as a front. (File/AFP)
The army said it had arrested 16 people who were carrying out “money transfers and illegal currency exchange transactions, using licensed companies and offices as a front. (File/AFP)
TT

IMF-Lebanon Talks Fettered by Disputes With Central Bank

The army said it had arrested 16 people who were carrying out “money transfers and illegal currency exchange transactions, using licensed companies and offices as a front. (File/AFP)
The army said it had arrested 16 people who were carrying out “money transfers and illegal currency exchange transactions, using licensed companies and offices as a front. (File/AFP)

The first round of talks between experts from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Lebanese officials has unveiled that the public dispute between Prime Minister Hassan Diab and Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh left a bad impression on the international organization, according to observers and businessmen.

The IMF has never witnessed similar divergences between the executive and monetary authorities throughout its cooperation with many countries.

“There are Lebanese qualitative gaps that would negatively affect talks with the qualified international team,” observers said.

Those gaps emanate from the dispute between Diab’s government and Salameh over a government reform plan, proposed two weeks ago to save the country from its grave financial and economic crisis.

During current talks with the IMF, Lebanon seeks $10 billion in loans, in addition to rapid aid of $900 million dollars, according to what Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni told Asharq Al-Awsat this week.

The newspaper learned that IMF officials have expanded the specter of their contacts to include current and former Lebanese officials in crucial sectors such as the monetary authority, the banking sector, and some independent experts.

The IMF officials are particularly inquiring about the liberalization of the Lebanese lira exchange rate, in addition to the proposed mechanisms for the restructuring of the Central bank and the banking apparatus.

The financial institution is also testing the State’s seriousness in confronting smuggling via illegal crossings.

Observers noticed that the Lebanese team, headed by Wazni, was not equally convinced of the government’s economic plan.

Salameh announced he would not personally attend talks with the IMF, but delegated a team to represent him. Meanwhile, the Banking Association strongly rejected the government’s plan and said it was currently preparing an alternative, which it would send later to the IMF.

The observers also noticed a downsized representation of the banking sector during talks with the IMF.

They said the government’s attempts to contain the sector were materialized with recent official statements uncovering plans to decrease the number of commercial banks to around half.

Chairman of the Banking Control Commission of Lebanon (BCCL) Samir Hammoud, (whose legal term ended weeks ago) told Asharq Al-Awsat that Lebanon should have a national comprehensive vision to solve the current crisis, including a clear approach on the financial, economic, and banking situation.

“This plan should not seek to cut down from depositors’ accounts, but to work on the continuity of financing the debilitated economy,” Hammoud said.



Russia's Central Bank Holds Off on Interest Rate Hike

People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
TT

Russia's Central Bank Holds Off on Interest Rate Hike

People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)

Russia's central bank has left its benchmark interest rate at 21%, holding off on further increases as it struggles to snuff out inflation fueled by the government's spending on the war against Ukraine.
The decision comes amid criticism from influential business figures, including tycoons close to the Kremlin, that high rates are putting the brakes on business activity and the economy.
According to The Associated Press, the central bank said in a statement that credit conditions had tightened “more than envisaged” by the October rate hike that brought the benchmark to its current record level.
The bank said it would assess the need for any future increases at its next meeting and that inflation was expected to fall to an annual 4% next year from its current 9.5%
Factories are running three shifts making everything from vehicles to clothing for the military, while a labor shortage is driving up wages and fat enlistment bonuses are putting more rubles in people's bank accounts to spend. All that is driving up prices.
On top of that, the weakening Russian ruble raises the prices of imported goods like cars and consumer electronics from China, which has become Russia's biggest trade partner since Western sanctions disrupted economic relations with Europe and the US.
High rates can dampen inflation but also make it more expensive for businesses to get the credit they need to operate and invest.
Critics of the central bank rates and its Governor Elvira Nabiullina have included Sergei Chemezov, the head of state-controlled defense and technology conglomerate Rostec, and steel magnate Alexei Mordashov.
Russian President Vladimir Putin opened his annual news conference on Thursday by saying the economy is on track to grow by nearly 4% this year and that while inflation is “an alarming sign," wages have risen at the same rate and that "on the whole, this situation is stable and secure.”
He acknowledged there had been criticism of the central bank, saying that “some experts believe that the Central Bank could have been more effective and could have started using certain instruments earlier.”
Nabiullina said in November that while the economy is growing, “the rise in prices for the vast majority of goods and services shows that demand is outrunning the expansion of economic capacity and the economy’s potential.”
Russia's military spending is enabled by oil exports, which have shifted from Europe to new customers in India and China who aren't observing sanctions such as a $60 per barrel price cap on Russian oil sales.