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Real Estate Loans in Saudi Arabia Increase Despite COVID-19

People walk near a banner with instruction on personal hygiene, following the outbreak of coronavirus, at a street in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 16, 2020. (File photo: Reuters)
People walk near a banner with instruction on personal hygiene, following the outbreak of coronavirus, at a street in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 16, 2020. (File photo: Reuters)
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Real Estate Loans in Saudi Arabia Increase Despite COVID-19

People walk near a banner with instruction on personal hygiene, following the outbreak of coronavirus, at a street in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 16, 2020. (File photo: Reuters)
People walk near a banner with instruction on personal hygiene, following the outbreak of coronavirus, at a street in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 16, 2020. (File photo: Reuters)

Despite the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, real estate loans in Saudi Arabia saw a rise by the second quarter, according to a report published by the Saudi Ministry of Housing.

The value of housing loans taken by individuals reached SAR13.8 billion (USD3.6 billion) with an increase of the real estate and construction sectors by 10.6 percent and 8.2 percent respectively compared to the first quarter.

Regardless of the economic damage caused by the COVID-19, real estate loans grew in June compared to the same month by 218 percent.

A total of 67,100 housing units were fully constructed during the second quarter and are ready to use. Riyadh ranked first in this aspect with around 14,400 housing units.

Quarterly data showed a drop in prices of apartments in Riyadh by 0.5 percent and in Eastern Province by 3.8 percent. As for Makkah and Medina, a slight increase of 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent were recorded consecutively.

In a related context, the Saudi Contractors Authority (SCA) announced a new strategy for 2020-2024 during its fourth general assembly meeting.

The strategy aims to keep pace with the transformations taking place in the Kingdom's contracting sector and to fulfill its part in Saudi Vision 2030 and its various programs.

Through the strategy, the authority has built a vision for the contracting sector that prepares for the future and works to overcome the current challenges.

The strategy takes note of the entry of new official groups; changes in the tasks of some parties who have a direct or indirect influence on the sector; the aspirations of stakeholders and the challenges facing the contracting sector; international best practices and benchmarks; market trends; as well as the future aspirations of the authority.

The updated strategic plan comprises 22 initiatives, of which nine are organizational initiatives concerned with organizing the sector; eight are service-enabling initiatives to develop the contracting sector; four are internal initiatives to complete the internal capacity building and competencies of the authority and achieve financial sustainability; and one initiative is to provide specialized and high-impact services and solutions to the enterprises of the contracting sector, especially small and medium enterprises.

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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)

US shoppers are coming out in force this holiday season, but the festiveness is being tempered by inflationary pressures that have abated but not completely faded.

After the sticker shock during the latter stages of the pandemic, a familiar frustration has settled in towards consumer prices that remain broadly elevated even if they have stopped rising rapidly.

Americans are "ready to open their wallets this holiday season," said the Conference Board ahead of Black Friday -- the day after Thanksgiving, which this year, falls on November 28 -- that traditionally sees US stores kick off the Christmas shopping season with steep discounts.

"US consumers plan to spend more than last year, but inflation reduces how far their dollars can go."

In this environment, nobody expects to pay the full price for items.

"Holiday shoppers are likely to increase their budgets this year versus last year but remain selective and are looking for discounts," said a note from Morgan Stanley.

The investment bank's survey found that 35 percent planned to spend more this holiday season. But nearly two-thirds would skip a purchase if an item is not adequately discounted, meaning a price cut of more than 20 percent.

"It's gonna be a good year, but I don't think that growth is going to be spectacular because consumers are still under pressure," predicted Neil Saunders of GlobalData.

Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent long-term target, rising in October to 2.6 percent on an annual basis from 2.4 percent in September. But that's significantly below the peak level of 9.1 percent in June 2022.

Other recent economic data has been solid. Unemployment remains low at 4.1 percent, while a preliminary GDP reading for the third quarter came in at 2.8 percent.

But Joe Biden's presidency coincided with about a 20 percent rise in consumer prices as Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns gave way to supply chain bottlenecks.

That inflation played a central role in the 2024 US presidential election, with Republican Donald Trump defeating Biden's appointed Democratic successor, Vice President Kamala Harris.

"There is still a perception among consumers that things are quite difficult," Saunders said. "So people are being quite cautious and careful in their spending."

- Tariff hit? -

How Trump's looming presidency will affect inflation remains to be seen. Industry groups have warned that tariffs favored by the Republican could reignite pricing pressures.

The National Retail Federation projected that a Trump tariff proposal floated during the campaign would dent US consumer budgets by as much as $78 billion annually.

But while tough potential trade actions are already preoccupying Washington trade groups, tariffs are not on consumer radars for the 2024 season, according to Saunders.

One challenge this year will be the shortness of the season.

Black Friday falls at the latest possible date on November 29, shortening the stretch between Turkey Day and Christmas on December 25.

But the impact of that dynamic on 2024 sales should not be overstated. Retailers in recent years have pulled the holiday shopping season ahead, with some vendors launching online "Black Friday" promotions as early as October.

Among the companies that have already begun discounts: the big-box chains Walmart and Target, electronics giant Best Buy and home-improvement retailer Home Depot.

Amazon officially launched "Black Friday Week" on Thursday.

NRF has projected holiday spending growth of between 2.5 and 3.5 percent in the 2024 season compared with the year-ago period, to as much as $989 billion over the two-month period.

Economists with the trade group have pointed to an easing of gasoline prices as a supportive factor.

Online sales are projected to grow as much as nine percent this season, extending a long-term trend. Black Friday itself has become a big occasion for online shopping, along with "Cyber Monday" three days later.

"Over time, we've moved from a period where it was just Black Friday, and maybe a little of the weekend, to it being a period of discounting that starts very early," said Saunders. "It's seasonal discounts."

There has been a diminishment of "doorbuster" sales that are known to draw hordes of waiting crowds, sometimes resulting in injury or worse.

Instead, increasing numbers of consumers are spreading out their purchases or opting to click through Black Friday promotions at home.