Amr Moussa: Commentary, Clarification, Confirmation

Amr Moussa: Commentary, Clarification, Confirmation
TT

Amr Moussa: Commentary, Clarification, Confirmation

Amr Moussa: Commentary, Clarification, Confirmation

When I decided to publish my memoirs, from which two books have been written, I committed myself to three obligations that I deemed politically and morally necessary.

In a world filled with conflicting stories and contrasting narratives, these commitments were important for my memoirs to move away from problems that have been known to face similar works by leaders, politicians, intellectuals, and cultural figures.

The first of these commitments was related to the need for any narration of political facts to be backed by official sources and conclusive evidence. The second was ensuring a clear separation between personal impressions and analysis on the one hand and verified facts on the other. The third and final commitment was for my notes to be loyal to truth-telling and national interest.

Fulfilling those obligations drove me to entail the assistance of a professional journalist, Khaled Abu Bakr, not only to edit material, but also to strive to document facts from original sources as appropriate.

With the esteemed Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper releasing successive excerpts from my memoir’s second book, which was recently published by Dar El-Shorouk under the title “The Years of the Arab League,” I read a comment written by the former Iraqi Foreign Minister Naji Sabri Al-Hadithi and posted on the newspaper's website on December 13.

I deemed it necessary to respond to his comment, clarify matters, and confirm the accuracy of the facts published in the book.

To begin with, the facts that Al-Hadithi targeted in his commentary on my meeting with the late Iraqi President Saddam Hussein in Baghdad on March 19, 2002, were not extracted from memory. They were recorded in the minutes of the official meeting.

Abu Bakr had obtained a copy of the minutes from the late Ambassador Ahmed ben Helli, who had served as deputy secretary-general of the Arab League in 2016.

Since the official report used abstract technical language in describing what happened during the visit and the atmosphere that engulfed the meeting, Abu Bakr also procured an audio recording from Helli.

The recording covers the atmosphere of the meeting, the tone in which I spoke with the then Iraqi president and some other details that were not mentioned in the minutes of the session. It is important to me that Asharq Al-Awsat publishes this recording.

Together, the minutes of the meeting and the recorded audio testimony of Helli, which he made about five years after I left the helm of the Arab League, confirm the validity of all the facts mentioned in the book regarding the meeting and subsequent developments in the Iraq crisis. They leave no room for doubt about the accuracy and coherence of the memoir.

Amr Moussa is the former Secretary-General of the Arab League and former Egyptian Foreign Minister



What Happens When Russian Gas to Europe Via Ukraine Stops?

A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
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What Happens When Russian Gas to Europe Via Ukraine Stops?

A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo

Austria's energy company OMV was informed by Gazprom that the Russian gas producer would halt deliveries of natural gas via Ukraine to OMV from 0500 GMT on Nov. 16 following OMV winning an arbitration case. Supplies of Russian gas to Europe via Ukraine may completely stop from Jan. 1 2025 after the current five-year deal expires as Kyiv has refused to negotiate the new terms of the transit with Moscow during the war.
Here is what happens if Russian gas transit via Ukraine is completely turned off and who will be affected most, according to Reuters.
HOW BIG ARE THE VOLUMES?
Russian gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine are relatively small. Russia shipped about 15 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas via Ukraine in 2023 - only 8% of peak Russian gas flows to Europe via various routes in 2018-2019.
Russia spent half a century building its European gas market share, which at its peak stood at 35%.
Moscow lost its share to rivals such as Norway, the United States and Qatar since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, prompting the EU to cut its dependence on Russian gas.
EU gas prices rallied in 2022 to record highs after the loss of Russian supplies. The rally won't be repeated given modest volumes and a small number of customers for the remaining volumes, according to EU officials and traders.
UKRAINIAN ROUTE
The Soviet-era Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline brings gas from Siberia via the town of Sudzha - now under control of Ukrainian military forces - in Russia's Kursk region. It then flows through Ukraine to Slovakia.
In Slovakia, the gas pipeline splits into branches going to the Czech Republic and Austria.
Austria still receives most of its gas via Ukraine, while Russia accounts for around two-thirds of Hungary's gas imports.
Slovakia takes around 3 bcm from energy giant Gazprom per year, also about two-thirds of its needs.
Czech Republic almost completely cut gas imports from the east last year, but has started taking gas from Russia in 2024.
Most other Russian gas routes to Europe are shut including Yamal-Europe via Belarus and Nord Stream under the Baltic.
The only other operational Russian gas pipeline route to Europe is the Blue Stream and TurkStream to Türkiye under the Black Sea. Türkiye sends some Russian gas volumes onward to Europe including to Hungary.
WHY DOES THE UKRAINIAN ROUTE STILL WORK?
While remaining Russian gas transit volumes are small, the issue remains a dilemma for the EU. Many EU members such as France and Germany have said they would not buy Russian gas anymore but the stance of Slovakia, Hungary and Austria, which have closer ties to Moscow, challenges the EU common approach.
The countries, who still receive Russian gas, argue it is the most economic fuel and also blame neighboring EU countries for imposing high transit fees for alternative supplies.
Ukraine still earns $0.8-$1 billion in transit fees from Russian gas transit. Russia earns over $3 billion on sales via Ukraine based on an average gas price of $200 per 1,000 cubic meters, according to Reuters calculations.
Russia's gas pipeline export monopoly Gazprom plunged to a net loss of $7 billion in 2023, its first annual loss since 1999, because of the loss EU's gas markets.
Russia has said it would be ready to extend the transit deal but Kyiv has repeatedly said it won't do it.
Another option is for Gazprom to supply some of the gas via another route, for example via TurkStream, Bulgaria, Serbia or Hungary. However, capacity via these routes is limited.
The EU and Ukraine have also asked Azerbaijan to facilitate discussions with Russia regarding the gas transit deal, an Azeri presidential advisor told Reuters, who declined to give further details.