Ramadan 2021 Sets Stage for Recovery of Hajj, Umrah Economies

Experts are predicting significant recovery for Hajj and Umrah businesses during Ramadan 2021, Asharq Al-Awsat
Experts are predicting significant recovery for Hajj and Umrah businesses during Ramadan 2021, Asharq Al-Awsat
TT

Ramadan 2021 Sets Stage for Recovery of Hajj, Umrah Economies

Experts are predicting significant recovery for Hajj and Umrah businesses during Ramadan 2021, Asharq Al-Awsat
Experts are predicting significant recovery for Hajj and Umrah businesses during Ramadan 2021, Asharq Al-Awsat

A little over a year after the coronavirus pandemic having hit markets around the world, signs of recovery are on the horizon for pilgrimage-centered economies in the Saudi cities of Makkah and Medina.

Experts are predicting a 40% recovery for Hajj and Umrah businesses during this year’s Ramadan season, which will last from mid-April to mid-May.

The number of foreign pilgrims expected to arrive in the Kingdom, which is home to Islam’s holiest sites, has increased substantially in 2021, compared to 2020.

Umrah is an Islamic pilgrimage to Makkah and Medina undertaken any time of the year. The rite attracted 19 million people in 2019.

Saudi Arabia halted the pilgrimage at the start of the pandemic in March 2020 but restarted it in limited numbers later in October.

“Although there are many precautionary measures that will limit the number of pilgrims gathering at holy sites, this Ramadan represents a vital transitional stage and tests how relevant sectors can gradually, but safely, return to working in full capacity,” said Muhammad Burhan, an active council member at the Mecca Chamber of Commerce & Industry (MCCI).

Burhan also noted that recovery in Hajj and Umrah markets is directly proportional to the rate of vaccinations introduced to potential pilgrims worldwide.

While Ramadan will slowly restore market activity in Makkah and Medina to its pre-pandemic rates, Burhan noted that the road towards full recovery will be revealed during the 2021 Hajj season, which starts in July.

Burhan also revealed that placing the pandemic under control and countries vaccinating their citizens will lead to a breakthrough that will inspire Muslims worldwide to make pilgrimage to holy sites in Saudi Arabia.

It is worth noting that the Kingdom launched its vaccine campaign in December and has administered more than four million doses so far.

More than 400 vaccination centers have opened since the nationwide campaign began with citizens and residents able to register for inoculations through the ministry’s Sehhaty app.



Oil Prices Edge up as Market Assesses Trump's Tariff Plans

FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
TT

Oil Prices Edge up as Market Assesses Trump's Tariff Plans

FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A ship is moored near storage tanks at an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore October 17, 2008. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/File Photo

Oil prices picked up on Tuesday, after the previous session's sell-off, as the market assessed US President-elect Donald Trump's planned trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada and his aim to increase US crude production.

Oil prices had fallen more than $2 a barrel on Monday after multiple reports that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to the terms of a ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. A senior Israeli official said Israel looks set to approve a US plan for a ceasefire on Tuesday, but some analysts said Monday's sell-off in oil prices had been overdone.

Brent crude futures were up 43 cents, or 0.6%, at $73.44 a barrel as of 1414 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $69.38 a barrel, up 44 cents, or 0.6%.

Brent crude futures fluctuated between $73.30 and $73.80 a barrel in afternoon trading.

"Today’s intra-day fluctuations are probably more of the function of assessing Trump’s overnight pledge to impose tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China," PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

On Monday, Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on all products coming into the US from Mexico and Canada.

The vast majority of Canada's 4 million bpd of crude exports go to the US Analysts have said it is unlikely Trump would impose tariffs on Canadian oil, which cannot be easily replaced since it differs from grades that the US produces.

On Monday, Reuters reported that Trump's team is also preparing an energy package to roll out within days of his taking office that would increase oil drilling.

A senior executive at Exxon Mobil said on Tuesday that US oil and gas producers are unlikely to "radically increase'' production.

OPEC+ MEETING

Market reaction on Monday to the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire news was "over the top" as the broader Middle East conflict has "never actually disrupted supplies significantly to induce war premiums" this year, said senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva at Phillip Nova.

Elsewhere, OPEC+ at its next meeting on Sunday may consider leaving its current oil output cuts in place from Jan. 1. The producer group is already postponing hikes amid global demand worries.