Alliances, Conspiracies Overshadowed the Letters between Assad, Saddam

Former Syrian President Hafez Al-Assad (left) Former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein (Right)
Former Syrian President Hafez Al-Assad (left) Former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein (Right)
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Alliances, Conspiracies Overshadowed the Letters between Assad, Saddam

Former Syrian President Hafez Al-Assad (left) Former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein (Right)
Former Syrian President Hafez Al-Assad (left) Former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein (Right)

The relationship once shared between the late Syrian and Iraqi leaders, Hafez al-Assad and Saddam Hussein, can be described as both complicated and intertwining. So was the history between Damascus and Baghdad.

Many factors, such as politics, sectarianism, ideology, and geography, defined the characteristics of the ties between Iraq and Syria and the race towards leadership in the region.

The roots of the competition for regional domination can be traced back to the interlocked fate of the two countries. Baathists had arrived in power in Damascus in March 1963 but ended up losing Baghdad by the end of the same year.

However, after managing to steer governance in Syria to a new direction in 1966, the Baath party made its way back to the forefront of authority in Iraq a couple of years later. In 1970, Assad went on to end all struggles facing the movement with his Corrective Revolution.

There were several attempts to reconcile the two Baathist regimes in Iraq and Syria.

Indeed, Iraq assisted with the 1973 October War and Oil Embargo. But the relationship would soon return to falling apart. At the time, Saddam was “soaring” under the wing of former Iraqi President Aḥmad Ḥasan Bakr, while Assad was solidifying his position and influence in Damascus and Lebanon in 1976.

Breakthroughs in Egyptian-Israeli negotiations and tokens of a “revolution” in Iran meant that both Syria and Iraq would lay on a “bed of thorns.” This led to presidents Bakr and Assad signing the Charter of Joint National Action in 1978, which culminated in plans and treaties that would lead to the unification of Iraq and Syria at the start of 1979—two weeks before a “revolution” was announced in Tehran.

Hungry after more power, each of Saddam and Rifaat al-Assad, former Vice President of Syria and Assad’s younger brother, opposed the initiative.

While Assad managed to toe his brother back in line, Saddam succeeded in overthrowing Bakr and rise to power in July 1979. On the way to becoming Baghdad’s new ruler, Saddam ordered the execution of unification “enthusiasts” and accused Syria’s then Vice President of “conspiracy.”

After the signing of the Camp David Accords, Assad sought to reinforce the “southern front” against Israel. This effort was mirrored by a similar endeavor by Baghdad fortifying Iraq’s eastern gates against Iran.

Soon after the Iraq-Iran war began after the “revolution” in Tehran, Assad sided with Saddam’s enemy, and the Damascus-Baghdad track dove into yet another deep valley. Baghdad responded by severing relations with Damascus in October 1980 and supporting the “Muslim Brotherhood” in Syria.

Preoccupied with its agenda in Lebanon, Syria shut down borders with Iraq in 1982, cutting off the Iraqi oil pipeline to the Mediterranean. Iran then moved on to replace lost Iraqi oil with its own.

Secret Meetings

In the mid-80s, towards the end of the Iran-Iraq War, Jordan’s King Hussein brought Assad and Saddam together for a “stormy marathon” meeting.

Moreover, “secret” and “experimental” meetings were held between former Syrian vice presidents Farouk al-Sharaa, Abdul Halim Khaddam, and Saddam’s close aid, Tariq Aziz.

After Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990, Assad decided to join the international coalition to liberate the Gulf country. While the Syrian president strengthened his internal economic status and influence in Lebanon, his Iraqi counterpart, Saddam, was drowning in a quagmire of isolation and sanctions.

In the mid-90s, the Baathist “comrades” would try to take the pulse of bilateral relations once again.

Assad was motivated to look for alliances that would protect him from the uncertainty of peace negotiations with Israel and help solve an economic crisis at home. At the same time, Saddam sought any way he could break the siege on Iraq.

Turkish pressure, the aftermath of Hussein Kamel, Saddam’s son-in-law, fleeing to Amman under the banner of changing his father-in-law’s regime, and Jordan’s talk of “federalism” would also bring Assad and Saddam closer.

The two kingpins referred to choosing two of their most trusted companions to head a secret communication backchannel.

Saddam picked his former bureau chief and ambassador in Doha, Anwar Sabri Abdul Razzaq al-Qaisi, and Assad assigned Khaddam, who had served him well during his struggle with Baathist comrades in the 60s.

Each of Qaisi and Khaddam was well aware of the need for utmost confidentiality with their task.

When comparing Khaddam’s records, which he took to Paris in 2005 and Asharq Al-Awsat had access to, and an exclusive interview with Qaisi, a difference in opinions surfaces about who jumpstarted the channel.

Khaddam says that Saddam broke the ice in August 1995, but Assad met this initiative with “doubts” in light of their shared history and Saddam’s role in thwarting the Charter of Joint National Action in 1979.

Rising above his doubts, Assad decided to hold dialogue and test Saddam before turning on a new leaf, according to Khaddam.

But Qaisi claims that Assad first launched the initiative after publicly declaring Jordan’s ambitions for federalism as a threat to Syria and Iraq. According to the former ambassador, after Assad’s declaration, he received a signal from Khaddam to open a channel between the two presidents.

Rushing in…Slowing Down

In his letters to Assad, Saddam seemed in a rush to reopen the two embassies that were closed in 1982 and to hold political meetings and open the borders.

In early 1996, Assad responded to Saddam’s request with patience and cautiousness to not drive a wedge between Damascus and Arab countries. He informed his Iraqi counterpart that he intends to “conduct contacts with a number of Arab countries in order not to complicate the Arab situation further.”

Qaisi told Asharq Al-Awsat that he secretly visited Damascus six times, four of which were made through trips transited from Sudan.

“Saddam was serious about opening a new page with Assad to restore relations,” he told the newspaper, adding that he was given the green light to show Iraqi readiness for far-reaching reconciliation.

“The president told me to tell the Syrians that if Assad took a step forward, he would match it with ten ahead,” said Qaisi.

Opening the channel, according to Qaisi, was to “convince brothers in Syria not to receive Kamel.”

“Indeed, he was not received due to the common concern about Jordan’s ambitions for proposing federalism,” noted Qaisi, adding that Saddam had proposed holding a secret summit with Assad on the border, forming a “joint political leadership,” and holding bilateral discussions on reviving the Charter of Joint National Action, as well as floating the idea of an Arab summit in Damascus for Iraqi-Arab reconciliation.

“King Hussein’s recent statements, before his visit to Washington, confirm that he is accelerating the push for the United States concluding a military agreement and forming a regional alliance with Israel and Turkey at its backbone; this is certainly directed against Iraq and Syria,” Saddam wrote to Assad in March 1996.

Corollary, the then director of the Iraqi Intelligence Service Mani Rashid revealed that Iraqi-Syrian covert security meetings were held to ensure coordination “against Jordan and Turkey placing the two countries between the claws of a pincer.”

According to Qaisi, Saddam “openheartedly” welcomed Assad’s stingy criticism of establishing federalism in the region.

“Abu Uday”

In the letter exchanges and records of the top-secret meetings, the discourse between Saddam and Assad saw a significant shift, to the extent that Khaddam would convey the latter’s greetings to “Abu Uday (father of Uday: Saddam)” – in Arabic, referring to someone by their fatherhood is considered a sign of respect and amiability.

For his part, Saddam would refer to Assad as “the brother President.” The letter exchange proceeded to be dominated by what the two can do and what they want to do.

Besides talking to Saddam, Assad carried on with contacting Arab nations and informing French President Jacques Chirac that “the situation in Iraq is worrying and has become a ticking bomb about to explode.”

Behind closed doors, Chirac surprised Assad by opening yet another issue: The Syrian presence in Lebanon. The French president made an offer regarding disarming Hezbollah vs Israel’s withdrawal from the Golan Heights, but Syria would have to guarantee its military presence in Lebanon.

By the second half of 1996, Assad’s primary goal became preventing the collapse of the regime in Iraq and reopening borders with the fellow Levantine country. This followed his initial try at overthrowing Saddam.

Even though Assad was uncomfortable with Saddam delegating Aziz to redevelop relations with Syria, he welcomed him in Damascus in November 1997. Assad also received then Iraqi Foreign Minister Muhammad Saeed Al-Sahaf in February 1998.

At the time, Assad’s conviction was that Saddam isn’t working to remove “justifications” for a military strike during a crisis with international inspectors. So he agreed with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak to relay to Saddam that a strike was on the way and that it would target both his regime and country.

Once again, there was an overlap in the regional matters. After Chirac’s offer to “swap” between Iraq and Lebanon, US President Bill Clinton linked Iraq with the resumption of Syrian-Israeli peace negotiations.

On February 21, 1998, Clinton wrote to Assad that if Saddam was forced to take up arms, it is essential that Syria remains impartial, and that Iraq complies with UN resolutions. He also noted that he was not willing to go back to the starting point after all that was accomplished in previous negotiations.

Assad responded on March 13 that year, talking about “anxieties and tensions building up around the possibility of military action against Iraq.”

He stressed the desire to resume negotiations (with Israel) from the point where they had stopped, following the loss of Shimon Peres and the victory of Benjamin Netanyahu in 1996.

Afterward, Iraqi-Syrian borders were reopened, and reconciliation bureaus were set up in the two capitals. “Transition” took place in Damascus, and the “regime was brought down in Baghdad.”

As the US attack on Iraq started dawning in 2003, Assad flew to Tehran. He met with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to agree on “resisting” Americans in Iraq, which was seen as a buffer zone between Syria and Iran.

The content of the letters exchanged between Saddam and Assad was unknown. However, revealing them, while also being acknowledged by Qaisi, aims to highlight parts of the shared history between Syria and Iraq and how it affected the region.



COP31 in Antalya: Climate Divisions and US Absence Test Global Consensus

Delegates from Kazakhstan pose for photographs by their pavilion on the opening day of the COP31 annual UN climate conference in Antalya, Türkiye, 09 November 2026.  EPA/TOLGA AKMEN
Delegates from Kazakhstan pose for photographs by their pavilion on the opening day of the COP31 annual UN climate conference in Antalya, Türkiye, 09 November 2026. EPA/TOLGA AKMEN
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COP31 in Antalya: Climate Divisions and US Absence Test Global Consensus

Delegates from Kazakhstan pose for photographs by their pavilion on the opening day of the COP31 annual UN climate conference in Antalya, Türkiye, 09 November 2026.  EPA/TOLGA AKMEN
Delegates from Kazakhstan pose for photographs by their pavilion on the opening day of the COP31 annual UN climate conference in Antalya, Türkiye, 09 November 2026. EPA/TOLGA AKMEN

Climate negotiations in Antalya, Türkiye, face a fresh test as unresolved disputes from last year's summit in Brazil carry over into the 31st United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP31), particularly over adaptation finance for developing countries.

The talks are taking place without a US delegation for the second consecutive year, amid mounting geopolitical tensions, turmoil in energy markets and rising electricity demand driven by artificial intelligence. Together, these pressures are making it harder for governments to reach international agreements on accelerating climate action.

COP30, held last year in Belém, Brazil, ended with a compromise that failed to establish a roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels or fully resolve disagreements over adaptation finance.

Countries have returned to the negotiating table as the United Nations increasingly warns of a widening gap between climate commitments and the pace of action needed to curb global warming.

Türkiye is hosting COP31 from November 9 to 20, with Australia serving as President of Negotiations under an arrangement that gives Ankara the conference presidency and Canberra responsibility for leading the negotiations.

The agenda focuses on cutting greenhouse gas emissions, securing climate finance for developing countries, strengthening their ability to adapt to climate change and accelerating the transition to cleaner energy systems.

Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), told delegates that "the urgency of this moment must drive us forward."

He warned that progress remained far too slow to meet the scale of the climate crisis and urged governments to prioritize climate action despite the numerous international crises competing for their attention.

Scientific findings underscore the challenge facing negotiators.

A report published in October by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) warned that global temperatures were on course to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels, the threshold established under the 2015 Paris Agreement to avert the worst consequences of global warming.

Another UN report released Monday indicated that 2026 was likely to rank among the four hottest years on record, with a powerful El Niño contributing to rising temperatures.

Several regions have experienced severe heat waves, particularly Western Europe, while a glacier collapse in Nepal triggered catastrophic flooding that killed more than 1,450 people and left thousands missing, according to the reports.

Climate Finance and Adaptation Top the Agenda

Financing for developing countries remains among the most contentious issues in international climate negotiations as their investment needs continue to grow.

These countries require funding not only to reduce emissions but also to adapt to the consequences of climate change, including floods, droughts, extreme heat and rising sea levels.

The issue extends beyond financing clean energy projects to strengthening the resilience of communities most vulnerable to climate-related disasters and reducing losses and damage caused by extreme weather.

The widening gap between the scale of these threats and the financial resources available to address them has become a central concern.

Negotiators are expected to debate how climate finance should be incorporated into the conference agenda and how the necessary funding should be mobilized and distributed, amid continuing disagreements over financial responsibilities, the scale of contributions and the mechanisms for delivering assistance.

Against this backdrop, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said: "The world is our home, and we have no right to pollute it."

He added that Türkiye would use COP31 to discuss practical steps toward securing humanity's shared future.

Speaking to reporters aboard his plane on Sunday evening as he returned from Azerbaijan, Erdogan emphasized Türkiye's commitment to climate justice.

He said the conference agenda would address a range of issues, from raising awareness to developing cities capable of withstanding the effects of climate change.

Electrifying the Economy by 2035

Alongside negotiations on financing and emissions reductions, the Turkish presidency is promoting an ambitious target to increase electricity's share of global final energy consumption to 35% by 2035, up from just over 20% today.

The initiative, known as the "35-by-35 Global Electrification Pledge," calls on countries to support the expansion of electricity use across transportation, buildings and industry while developing renewable energy sources, electricity grids and storage technologies.

COP31 President Murat Kurum, Türkiye's Minister of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, said the country wanted people to see the benefits of climate negotiations in their everyday lives through more energy-efficient buildings, clean public transportation, affordable energy and new jobs.

The initiative is based on the premise that replacing fossil fuel-powered equipment, including vehicles, heating systems, boilers and cooking appliances, with electric alternatives could help reduce emissions, provided the transition is accompanied by increased electricity generation from low-carbon sources.

Wars Bring Energy Security Back Into Focus

Geopolitical developments are casting a shadow over the negotiations, particularly the continuing war in Iran, which has disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and driven up fuel prices worldwide.

The repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine war on global energy markets have added to these pressures.

Stiell warned that turmoil in fossil fuel prices had placed additional strain on households and contributed to rising inflation.

He argued that renewable energy offered a clear path toward stronger energy security, noting that the expansion of renewable power installations had already saved the global economy hundreds of billions of dollars.

The United States is absent from international climate negotiations for the second consecutive year, underscoring persistent differences among countries over climate transition priorities and the role of various energy sources in meeting economic needs.

Artificial Intelligence Adds Another Challenge

The challenges facing COP31 extend beyond wars and energy market disruptions.

The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence is placing additional pressure on global electricity demand as data centers and the infrastructure supporting digital applications continue to grow, bringing increased energy consumption and associated emissions.

The Turkish presidency plans to invite governments, companies and institutions to endorse a pledge establishing principles for the sustainable development and deployment of artificial intelligence.

The initiative, known as the "Antalya Pledge on Artificial Intelligence," seeks to align digital transformation with climate objectives and prevent technological expansion from placing further strain on energy systems and the environment.

At the same time, clean energy technologies are becoming more widely available, supported by growing exports of low-cost equipment from China.

This trend could accelerate the deployment of renewable energy solutions and encourage greater investment in the sector.

A Test of International Cooperation

Australian Minister for Climate Change and Energy Chris Bowen, who serves as COP31 President of Negotiations, described the conference as an opportunity to demonstrate that multilateral cooperation can deliver progress on shared challenges.

"Let's show future generations that this generation was equal to the moment, equal to the challenge," Bowen told delegates, urging countries to work together in confronting the climate crisis.

His appeal comes as climate challenges increasingly extend beyond environmental policy to encompass energy security, industrial competition, inflation and technological innovation.

Reaching international consensus on emissions reductions, financing arrangements and the future energy mix will therefore be a critical test of the conference's success.

With Türkiye seeking to accelerate global electrification, the United Nations calling for faster emissions cuts and developing countries demanding greater funding for adaptation and resilience, attention is turning to whether the Antalya negotiations can translate commitments into concrete, actionable measures.

The challenge is becoming more urgent as the gap continues to widen between the pace of climate change and the international response.


Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, the Scandal-Hit AI Visionary in a Leather Jacket

Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang speaks during Nvidia Live at CES 2026 ahead of the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Nevada, on January 5, 2026. (AFP)
Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang speaks during Nvidia Live at CES 2026 ahead of the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Nevada, on January 5, 2026. (AFP)
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Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, the Scandal-Hit AI Visionary in a Leather Jacket

Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang speaks during Nvidia Live at CES 2026 ahead of the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Nevada, on January 5, 2026. (AFP)
Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang speaks during Nvidia Live at CES 2026 ahead of the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Nevada, on January 5, 2026. (AFP)

Chips made by US chip titan Nvidia push the boundaries of artificial intelligence, but its leader Jensen Huang is in the spotlight over an affair with an alleged Chinese spy.

Unknown to the public just four years ago, the 63-year-old is a powerful entrepreneur, drawing stadium crowds as he presents cutting-edge components essential to the development of AI tools like ChatGPT.

Media reports last week said US intelligence officials believe Huang grew close to a Chinese executive who was funneling information to Beijing.

Nvidia's board said on Sunday it had opened a probe into the CEO and co-founder, who acknowledged having been unfaithful to his wife and said he was "deeply sorry."

Big tech's insatiable appetite for chips designed by Nvidia, known as Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), has catapulted the California chipmaker to a market valuation of $4.5 trillion, among the world's largest.

Its meteoric rise has made Huang one of the world's richest people -- worth around $160 billion, according to Forbes -- thanks to the roughly four percent stake he holds in the company he founded three decades ago with two friends in a Silicon Valley diner.

He has become a close informal adviser on AI to Donald Trump, traveling with the US president on Air Force One on a trip to Beijing earlier this year.

That is an area of concern to US officials who believe he has been involved with the alleged spy, Alice Huang, who is linked to a Singapore-based data center company, according to the New York Times.

Despite their shared surname, the pair are not related.

- Early life -

Born in Taipei in 1963, Jensen Huang -- originally named Jen-Hsun -- embodies the American success story.

At nine years old, he was sent away with his brother to boarding school in small-town Kentucky.

His uncle recommended the school to his Taiwanese parents believing it to be a prestigious institution, though it was actually a school for troubled youth.

Too young to be a student, Huang boarded there but attended a nearby public school alongside the children of tobacco farmers. With his poor English, he was bullied and forced to clean toilets -- a two-year ordeal that transformed him.

"We worked really hard, we studied really hard, and the kids were really tough," he recounted in an interview with US broadcaster NPR.

But "the ending of the story is I loved the time I was there," Huang said.

Brought home by his parents who had by then settled in the northwestern US state of Oregon, he graduated from university at just 20 and joined AMD, then LSI Logic, to design chips -- his passion.

But he wanted to go further and founded Nvidia in 1993 to "solve problems that normal computers can't," using semiconductors powerful enough to handle 3D graphics, he said during an interview on the "No Priors" podcast.

- 'As fast as we can' -

Nvidia created the first GPU in 1999, riding the intersection of video games, data centers, cloud computing and now generative AI.

Always dressed in a black T-shirt and leather jacket, Huang sports a Nvidia logo tattoo and has a taste for sports cars.

One former high-ranking Nvidia employee described him to AFP as "the most driven person" he'd ever met.

He has rejected calls to deliberately slow down AI development even as some insiders warn the technology could threaten human existence within a decade.

"That kind of narrative is dramatic, it gets a lot of attention," but "it's not grounded on facts," he told CBS News in September.

"We should go as fast as we can" on AI, but labs should not release products that are not safe, he said.

- Street food -

On visits to his native Taiwan, Huang is treated like a megastar, with fans crowding him for autographs and selfies as journalists follow him to the barber shop and his favorite night market.

"He has created the phenomena because of his personal charm," noted Wayne Lin of Witology Market Trend Research Institute.

"A person like him must be very busy and his schedule should be full every day meeting big bosses. But he remembers to eat street food when he comes to Taiwan," he said, calling Huang "unusually friendly."

Over the years, Nvidia has taken care to project a drama-free image of Huang.

But the former employee painted a more nuanced picture, describing a "very paradoxical" individual fiercely protective of his employees but also capable, within Nvidia's executive circle, of "ripping people to shreds" over major mistakes or poor choices.


‘Trump Has Cost Us’: After Midterm Losses, MAGA Asks if It’s Over

US President Donald Trump campaigns ahead of midterm elections, in San Antonio, Texas, US, October 7, 2026. (Reuters)
US President Donald Trump campaigns ahead of midterm elections, in San Antonio, Texas, US, October 7, 2026. (Reuters)
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‘Trump Has Cost Us’: After Midterm Losses, MAGA Asks if It’s Over

US President Donald Trump campaigns ahead of midterm elections, in San Antonio, Texas, US, October 7, 2026. (Reuters)
US President Donald Trump campaigns ahead of midterm elections, in San Antonio, Texas, US, October 7, 2026. (Reuters)

As Republicans faced a nationwide drubbing in Tuesday’s ‌midterm elections, supporters streamed out of a Dallas ballroom where they’d hoped to toast a win for US Senate candidate Ken Paxton, a favorite of President Donald Trump.

In the hotel, Michael Little, a 59-year-old businessman and three-time Trump voter, stared at the president’s image on a television screen. “People are pissed off at Trump. Trump has cost us,” he said, capturing a sentiment rippling through the president’s Make America Great Again movement after the Republican Party’s worst electoral defeat in decades.

Across the coalition, some supporters who once viewed Trump as MAGA’s greatest asset are beginning to question whether he’s become its biggest liability.

Still, the midterm losses amounted to more than a repudiation of Trump. They were a referendum on the political and cultural movement he built. A defining force in American politics that began as a campaign slogan during Trump’s 2016 presidential run now faces a potentially existential reckoning after voters disillusioned with soaring fuel prices, the Iran war and Washington corruption delivered Democrats decisive congressional majorities.

Trump’s first major response to the midterms came on Friday. Instead of changing course, he doubled down on the movement’s core. He promoted Stephen Miller, the main architect of the administration’s hardline immigration crackdown, to chief of staff, replacing Susie Wiles. Wiles was seen as a stabilizing force inside an often chaotic White House.

The move was celebrated by some of MAGA’s most ardent influencers, who saw it as a return to the anti-immigration agenda at the movement’s roots. “Exactly the energy we need,” right-wing influencer Benny Johnson posted on X to his 4.1 million followers. “Solid move. It’s Miller Time.”

A man wears a cap in support of US President Donald Trump at a watch party for Republican US Senate candidate and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton during US midterm elections in Dallas, Texas, US, November 3, 2026. (Reuters)

The White House did not directly answer Reuters' questions about why Republicans lost, the defeat of candidates who embraced Trump's false 2020 election claims, or where MAGA goes from here. Instead, it pointed to Trump's remarks on Wednesday, when he said, "If I were on the ballot, we would have won." He also said it was "largely true" that the Iran war had cost Republicans because "it drove the gasoline up," but that he’d do it again.

For nearly a decade, MAGA has reshaped the Republican Party and transformed national debates on issues such as trade, immigration, race and gender. The movement installed loyalists throughout federal agencies, cracked down on immigration and pressured corporations and public institutions to retreat from diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives.

MAGA survived the fallout from the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol and propelled Trump back to the White House. Now, the Democrats’ sweeping victory has forced the movement to grapple with an unexpected question: Is MAGA over?

Reuters interviews with more than a dozen MAGA activists, influencers, party strategists, Christian nationalist leaders and researchers who track right-wing politics, along with a review of MAGA supporters' posts and podcasts since Tuesday, show a movement turning its anger on itself.

The stolen-election claims that have driven MAGA since Democrat Joe Biden beat Trump in the 2020 presidential election have mostly gone quiet. Instead, supporters ‌are blaming Republican leaders and Trump's ‌advisers, and in some cases the president himself, for broken promises on living costs, the Iran war and the government’s decision to redact or withhold major portions of its investigative files on late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

MAGA’s factions also ‌disagree about what ⁠comes next. Some want a ⁠return to populist and nationalist basics. Some want a movement less tied to one man. And a vocal minority say MAGA is already dead.

“We have to rebuild,” Steve Bannon, a prominent MAGA proponent, podcaster and former Trump White House adviser, told Reuters. He urged the party to double down on an aggressive populist and nationalist agenda and praised Trump for elevating Miller.

“Miller's appointment as chief of staff underpins my point,” he said. “There is no more hardcore MAGA proponent than Stephen.”

As pro-Trump internet forums digested the election results, a notable slice of self-described MAGA loyalists – more than 20% – raised doubts about the movement’s leadership and direction, according to an analysis of social media traffic done for Reuters by PeakMetrics, a data intelligence firm.

About half of that cohort remained supportive of the MAGA movement but no longer backed Trump as its leader. The other half remained loyal to, though critical of, the president himself.

The analysis was based on 12,850 posts sampled from a universe of 4.6 million Trump-related comments on X and Reddit from 9 p.m. on Election Day to 8 p.m. the next evening. It found broad concern among MAGA supporters as the results became clear.

Of the posts that assigned blame for the rout, nearly a third said concerns about the Iran war and Israel’s influence over US policy had overshadowed Trump’s message. A quarter said Republicans not fully committed to the MAGA agenda had undermined the movement.

The results left Trump facing large Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress. In the Senate, Democrats could control as many as 56 of the chamber’s 100 seats, more than enough to block Trump’s future judicial picks. Republicans might not be able to recapture the Senate until 2032, Republican Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said the morning after the election.

“It’s the political equivalent of a meteor strike that went all around the United ⁠States,” DeSantis said at a post-election briefing.

Democrats will now control governorships in seven battleground states Trump won in 2024 and, strikingly, they won every statewide race in Texas, which hasn’t backed a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976.

‘MAGA IS STALE’

Since ‌Tuesday, talk of election fraud has virtually vanished among right-wing influencers.

“I have been banging the drum of rigged and stolen elections since 2020, but that is not why we lost the midterms,” Rogan O’Handley, a MAGA influencer who ‌posts under the name DC_Draino, wrote on X to his 2.3 million followers. “We lost because we failed to fix the things voters sent us to do.”

He didn’t respond to a request for comment.

After the 2020 election, Trump supporter Isabella DeLuca was among thousands who stormed the US Capitol on January 6, 2021. She was charged with five crimes, including theft ‌of a table from inside the Capitol, and pleaded not guilty. Her case was dismissed after Trump returned to office and pardoned her.

This time, the 26-year-old conservative influencer directed her anger toward what she described as out-of-touch Republican leaders who failed to appeal to Gen Z voters on affordability, avoiding foreign wars and other ‌key issues.

“Republicans were just lazy. They felt like that they were entitled to people's votes and that people would vote for them no matter what,” DeLuca told Reuters. “It goes to show you that you do have to earn people's votes, and that even in a super red state like Texas, you're not untouchable.”

The MAGA movement this year appeared "tired," she said.

That sentiment was echoed in online right-wing forums, said Jennifer Golbeck, a University of Maryland professor who has analyzed MAGA-related posts since 2016. She said engagement by Trump’s most loyal backers has steadily declined since January, including a 27% drop in posts and comments on Patriots.Win, a popular MAGA forum.

A confiscated "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) hat sits on a table of election workers, after it was taken from a voter by an election official, as people vote during the US midterm elections on Election Day, at Boulder City Recreation Center in Boulder City, Nevada, US, November 3, 2026. (Reuters)

“The enthusiasm and the passion even among this hardest core group of supporters hasn't really been there," Golbeck said. "They are saying that ‘MAGA is stale.’ It’s not new and exciting like it once was.”

Fox News, a cable network that has long been a key platform for MAGA voices, saw a sharp decline in viewership ahead of the midterms, with its total daytime audience down 27% in October from a year earlier, according to Nielsen, the audience measurement firm.

In a statement to ‌Reuters, Fox said it drew more viewers than its cable-news rivals on election night. “FOX News has been the number one network in cable news for a quarter century,” spokesperson Caley Cronin said.

Some prominent right-wing influencers blamed the president’s advisers or Republican lawmakers – but rarely Trump himself – for ignoring key voter concerns. In posts, online broadcasts and interviews with Reuters, many blamed dissatisfaction with the economy, though they differed on other reasons for Tuesday's results.

It wasn't just failure ⁠to address affordability that “crushed” Republicans, said Ben Shapiro, co-founder of the conservative site Daily Wire, ⁠on his online show on Wednesday. “If you’re talking about an electoral catastrophe – a wipeout like we saw last night – you need more ingredients. Here are the other ingredients: chaos and corruption.”

Laura Loomer, an influencer close to Trump, wrote on X: “America is over and the American Dream is dead.” Yet she told Reuters the losses did not signal the end of MAGA, arguing that anyone seeking the 2028 Republican presidential nomination would need Trump’s base.

“The Republican Party belongs to President Trump,” Loomer said. “The MAGA movement is still the majority of the GOP base, and whoever wants to run for president in 2028 on the GOP ticket, they would be unwise to be dismissive of President Trump.”

On Thursday, Loomer put her podcast on hiatus, saying she had been “running on empty for too long” and needed to focus on her personal life and upcoming wedding. She’ll return in January, she added.

BROKEN PROMISES

The midterms also tested the beliefs that have held MAGA together, and some of them are giving way.

The Democratic sweep dealt a significant setback to the election denial movement, a central pillar of MAGA politics since Trump's 2020 defeat. Candidates who embraced his false claims of widespread voter fraud lost heavily, including several who had worked to overturn the 2020 result.

Election deniers will hold at least 41 fewer congressional and statewide offices next year, and they have lost 70% of the called races for statewide posts that oversee elections, according to States United Action, a nonprofit that tracks such candidates.

Trump made no effort to contest the results and instead blamed Republicans for the defeat.

With few close races and no credible basis for a challenge, many prominent pro-Trump election skeptics dropped fraud allegations and urged supporters to keep organizing. A handful of allies still alleged, without evidence, that the vote was rigged.

Mike Lindell, the MyPillow founder and promoter of false claims that machines flipped votes in 2020, said he was not concerned by Trump's pledge to accept the results. “That's his opinion. I've got a different opinion,” Lindell told Reuters. “I think it's all been stolen.”

But such claims stayed largely on the fringe, even among Republicans. Without contested races, the MAGA election denial movement risks losing the money, attention and momentum that sustained it.

"Nobody's going to be putting money behind it," said Wendy Via, co-founder of the Global Project Against Hate and Extremism, a nonprofit that tracks hate speech and extremism.

Retired Lieutenant General Mike Flynn, who falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen and is a popular figure in the Christian nationalist wing of the MAGA movement, accepted the defeat.

A voter wears a "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) hat while voting at a polling station at the Bronx Supreme Court during the US midterm elections in New York, US, on November 3, 2026. (Reuters)

He called the results “a massacre” and criticized Trump and his administration for failing to deliver on pledges ranging from lowering costs to releasing the government’s investigative files on Epstein.

Responding to Vice President JD Vance’s assessment on X that the Iran war was “the reason we lost,” Flynn wrote: “The sheer number of broken promises is why the blue tsunami happened.”

Flynn also criticized Christian voters for failing to show up. “As a Catholic and a Christian, I’m sorely embarrassed and disappointed,” he wrote.

Other prominent Christian nationalists were divided over whether MAGA can outlast Trump.

Douglas Wilson, a Christian nationalist pastor who was invited by US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to deliver a sermon at the Pentagon in February, told Reuters that MAGA “is not going anywhere” but must become less personality-driven and more focused on border control, tax cuts and avoiding foreign wars.

Joel Webbon, a far-right Christian nationalist pastor from Texas, was far less sanguine. “Trump lost this all by himself,” he said in a video on X, arguing that the president abandoned his base by embracing Israel, launching the war in Iran and failing to follow through on releasing the Epstein files and mass deportations.

“MAGA is dead,” Webbon wrote in an accompanying post. “Forever.”