Oil Falls Below $75 on Risk-Averse Mood, US Gulf Output

FILE PHOTO: The sun sets behind the chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann
FILE PHOTO: The sun sets behind the chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann
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Oil Falls Below $75 on Risk-Averse Mood, US Gulf Output

FILE PHOTO: The sun sets behind the chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann
FILE PHOTO: The sun sets behind the chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann

Oil dropped more than $1 a barrel to below $75 on Monday as rising risk aversion weighed on stock markets and boosted the US dollar, while more US Gulf oil output came back online in the wake of two hurricanes.

The dollar rallied to its highest in a month on Monday as pending catastrophe at developer China Evergrande added to a cautious mood and as investors braced for the Federal Reserve to take another step towards tapering this week, Reuters reported.

"Far East stock markets and the strong dollar are affecting oil," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM. "Nonetheless, unless all hell breaks loose, the positive sentiment ought to prevail."

Brent crude fell 76 cents, or 1%, to $74.58 at 0815 GMT, having dropped as low as $74.26 earlier in the session.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined 89 cents, or 1.2%, to $71.08.

A stronger dollar makes US dollar-priced oil more expensive for holders of other currencies and generally reflects higher risk aversion, which tends to weigh on oil prices.

Brent has gained 44% this year, supported by supply cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies and some recovery in demand after last year's pandemic-induced collapse.

Oil had gained additional support from supply shutdowns in the US Gulf of Mexico due to the two recent hurricanes, but as of Friday producing companies had just 23% of crude production offline, or 422,078 barrels per day.

"US production in the Gulf of Mexico, which had been shut down as a result of the hurricane, is gradually returning to the market," said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank.

A rise in the US rig count, an early indicator of future output, to its highest since April 2020 also kept a lid on prices.



New French Finance Minister Eyes 2025 Deficit Slightly Above 5%

FILE PHOTO: Newly appointed Minister for Economy, Finance and Industry Eric Lombard departs following a handover ceremony at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, December 23, 2024.  REUTERS/Saboor Abdul/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Newly appointed Minister for Economy, Finance and Industry Eric Lombard departs following a handover ceremony at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, December 23, 2024. REUTERS/Saboor Abdul/File Photo
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New French Finance Minister Eyes 2025 Deficit Slightly Above 5%

FILE PHOTO: Newly appointed Minister for Economy, Finance and Industry Eric Lombard departs following a handover ceremony at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, December 23, 2024.  REUTERS/Saboor Abdul/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Newly appointed Minister for Economy, Finance and Industry Eric Lombard departs following a handover ceremony at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, December 23, 2024. REUTERS/Saboor Abdul/File Photo

France's delayed 2025 budget bill will target a deficit of "slightly above 5%" in order to protect growth, the country's new finance minister said in a newspaper interview.
Eric Lombard, previously head of Caisse des Depots, the investment arm of the French government, will be tasked with steering through parliament a budget after the previous government lost a no-confidence vote in early December amid a backlash against its belt-tightening proposals.
Lombard's deficit objective for next year is higher than the 5% targeted by the last government. But it would still represent a drop from this year when the deficit is expected to widen to above 6% of gross domestic product.
"We need to amend this (budget) bill to establish a good budget. With a deficit slightly above 5% so as to protect growth," Lombard told La Tribune Dimanche.
"To protect growth, the reduction of the deficit must come more through reductions in public spending than through taxation," he said, adding that any tax increases should be "very limited.”
According to Reuters, he said he would consult all political parties in the French parliament and that the discussions would contribute to the government's budget proposals.
Lombard was named last Monday as part of Prime Minister Francois Bayrou's government.
Bayrou, who, like predecessor Michel Barnier, lacks a working majority in parliament, has said he aims to have a budget ready by mid-February.