Iraq: OPEC+ to Meet Demand with Daily Increase of 400,000 Barrels in Oil Output

Iraq says OPEC + daily increase of 400,000 barrels in oil output would be enough to meet demand - File Photo/Reuters
Iraq says OPEC + daily increase of 400,000 barrels in oil output would be enough to meet demand - File Photo/Reuters
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Iraq: OPEC+ to Meet Demand with Daily Increase of 400,000 Barrels in Oil Output

Iraq says OPEC + daily increase of 400,000 barrels in oil output would be enough to meet demand - File Photo/Reuters
Iraq says OPEC + daily increase of 400,000 barrels in oil output would be enough to meet demand - File Photo/Reuters

Iraq’s state oil marketing company, SOMO, said on Saturday Iraq sees no need to take any decision to increase its production capabilities beyond what has already been planned for OPEC countries.

In the light of increased demand for energy, Iraq sees the OPEC+ agreement raising its output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) a month, sufficient to meet demand and stabilize the market, SOMO added in a statement.

“Meanwhile Iraq seeks to increase gas production through increasing investment in gas fields,” SOMO added.

An OPEC+ committee largely stuck to forecasts of a strong demand rebound this year and next ahead of a meeting next week, at which the group is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December.

The Joint Technical Committee (JTC), which met on Thursday, now expects oil demand to grow by 5.7 million bpd in 2021, 120,000 bpd below OPEC's forecast in its latest monthly report, two OPEC+ sources said, Reuters reported.

The JTC left its demand forecast for next year steady at 4.2 million bpd, one of the sources said.

OPEC+ forecasts are still higher than those of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which expects oil demand to grow by 5.5 million bpd in 2021 and 3.3 million bpd in 2022.

Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and their allies - collectively known as OPEC+ - meet on Nov. 4 to decide output policy.

This week Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told Reuters he expected OPEC+ to go ahead with its planned increase for December, as previously agreed.

"Demand (for oil) can decline as there is still uncertainty. We also see there is yet another pandemic wave spreading across the world," Novak said.

"The situation of the oil market indicates that the increase in December ... should not exceed 400,000 bpd," state news agency APS quoted Algerian Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab as saying on Thursday.

Oil prices were trading above $84 a barrel on Friday, within sight of a three-year high of $86.70 hit this week.

Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman twice dismissed calls this week by major consumer nations to speed the rate of OPEC+ production increases, saying the group does not expect crude oil shortages in the market.

"With OECD commercial oil inventories 5.4% below the five-year average and demand rapidly normalizing, OPEC+’s preference to keep production policy unchanged reflects an alliance that is significantly more tolerant of higher prices," JP Morgan said in a note.



British Assets Gain, Mid-cap Stocks Lead after Labour Election Win

A view of the Palace of Westminster which houses Britain's parliament, during the general election, in London, Britain, July 5, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay Purchase Licensing Rights
A view of the Palace of Westminster which houses Britain's parliament, during the general election, in London, Britain, July 5, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay Purchase Licensing Rights
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British Assets Gain, Mid-cap Stocks Lead after Labour Election Win

A view of the Palace of Westminster which houses Britain's parliament, during the general election, in London, Britain, July 5, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay Purchase Licensing Rights
A view of the Palace of Westminster which houses Britain's parliament, during the general election, in London, Britain, July 5, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay Purchase Licensing Rights

British domestic-focussed mid-cap stocks were the biggest gainers on Friday after the centre-left Labour Party surged to a comprehensive win in a parliamentary election with blue chip stocks, government bond prices and the pound higher.

Hopes that the incoming government will provide a period of economic stability after an often tumultuous 14 years of Conservative Party rule sent the FTSE 250 midcap index (.FTMC), up as much as 1.8% in early trading to its highest since April 2022.

The blue chip FTSE 100 index (.FTSE), was last up 0.2% and the yield on 10-year British government bonds or gilts, dropped 3 basis points to 4.17%, marginally better than other European markets, Reuters reported.

Labour won a massive majority in the 650-seat parliament while Rishi Sunak's Conservatives suffered the worst defeat in the party's long history as voters punished them for a cost of living crisis, failing public services, and a series of scandals.

"A landslide victory provides the sort of clarity and stability that equity markets need in an increasingly volatile world," said Ben Ritchie, head of developed market equities at abrdn.

"If the new government gets this right, businesses with significant exposure to the UK economy should be the likely winners - a shot in the arm in particular for companies in the FTSE 250 and FTSE Small Cap".

British home builders stood out, with an index tracking their shares up 2.3%.

"We think the formation of a Labour-majority government will have a positive impact on housebuilders and construction materials," said Aruna Karunathilake, portfolio manager at Fidelity.

"We expect Labour to reinstate housebuilding targets and perhaps also fund investment in local planning departments... That should alleviate builders’ concerns about planning bottlenecks impeding growth in the medium term."

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said that while Labour's manifesto policies imply relatively limited changes to fiscal policy they would modestly boost demand in the near term.

As a result, they raised their forecasts for British GDP growth by 0.1 percentage points in each of 2025 and 2026.