S&P Improves Bahrain’s Outlook

General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed/File Photo
General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed/File Photo
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S&P Improves Bahrain’s Outlook

General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed/File Photo
General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed/File Photo

S&P Global Ratings has revised Bahrain's outlook to 'stable' from 'negative' on the back of new fiscal reforms aimed at improving non-oil revenues and cutting state spending, the ratings agency said in a statement.

Rated below investment grade, Bahrain was bailed out to avoid a credit crunch in 2018 with a $10 billion package from wealthy neighbors, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the UAE.

That money was linked to a set of fiscal reforms, but after the coronavirus crisis strained its finances, Bahrain in September postponed plans to balance its budget by two years and announced plans to increase a value-added tax.

"The Bahraini government recently announced additional fiscal reforms to strengthen non-oil revenue and rationalize expenditure. These measures, along with the more supportive oil price environment, should improve the sovereign's fiscal position", S&P said in a statement this weekend.

The agency said it expects the government to benefit from additional financial support from its Gulf neighbors, if needed.

Bahrain will double value-added tax to 10 percent next year, a move which S&P estimated could contribute receipts of about 3 percent of gross domestic product in the next few years, up from about 1.7 percent this year.

The Gulf state is also planning to rationalize operational government expenditure and social subsidies in 2023 and 2024, a move which shifts the focus of its reforms more on the spending side than on raising non-oil revenues.

"We believe there is higher implementation risk in expenditure rationalization as the delicate political and social environment on the island, which has constrained the government's efforts, persists", S&P said.



Saudi Arabia Jumps to 23rd in Global Mining Investment Ranking

A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
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Saudi Arabia Jumps to 23rd in Global Mining Investment Ranking

A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)

Saudi Arabia’s mining sector has vaulted from 104th to 23rd place worldwide in the Fraser Institute’s 2024 Investment Attractiveness Index, marking its biggest leap in the past decade and overtaking leading mining destinations in Asia and Latin America.

The milestone cements the kingdom’s position as one of the world’s fastest-rising mining powers.

The Canada-based institute’s annual survey of mining companies showed Saudi Arabia also climbed sharply in its Policy Perception Index — a measure of the stability and transparency of a country’s regulatory environment — moving from 82nd in 2013 to 20th in 2024.

The rise reflects growing global confidence in the kingdom’s stable legislative and regulatory framework.

Saudi Arabia’s geological potential index recorded a similar leap, jumping from 58th in 2013 to 24th in 2024, underlining the scale of its largely untapped mineral wealth.

The surge has been driven by ongoing geological surveys, recent discoveries and competitive licensing rounds that have drawn interest from major international firms.

Deputy Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources for Mining Affairs Khalid Al-Mudaifer said the performance reflected “a structural transformation” of the sector under the Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

“In recent years, we have built a globally competitive investment environment for mining, backed by clear regulations, accessible geological data — including one of the most comprehensive geological mapping programs of the Arabian Shield — as well as competitive incentives and world-class infrastructure,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Al-Mudaifer said the government’s focus remained on maximizing the economic value of mineral resources, creating high-quality jobs and localizing industrial supply chains. “Mining has become a key driver of industrial and economic growth, and we will build on this momentum to ensure the sector’s sustainable success,” he added.

He said the Fraser Institute’s 2024 findings underscored the impact of sweeping reforms, from security of tenure to tax rules, environmental legislation, infrastructure and community engagement, which helped place Saudi Arabia in the top quartile of the index for the first time.

Investors surveyed by the institute expressed no concerns about political stability — a factor it cited as one of the kingdom’s strengths — and praised its Mining Exploration Enablement Program as an effective tool for reducing investment risks and boosting early-stage confidence.

Between 2013 and 2024, Saudi Arabia saw dramatic improvements in several key measures, including a 305.8% rise in the clarity and effectiveness of its mining regime — from 17% to 69% — placing it 11th globally.

The clarity of land access for mining improved by 82.2% ranking seventh worldwide, while the rating of labor regulations jumped 102.2% to 91%. The quality of its geological database rose 81.8% to 60%.

The report credited Saudi Arabia’s stable regulations and ambitious reforms with reinforcing its position as a world-class mining investment destination, saying these policies reduced risk, boosted transparency, improved efficiency and expanded access to data — in line with Vision 2030 goals to diversify the economy and develop strategic sectors.

The Fraser Institute’s survey is considered one of the most authoritative global assessments of mining investment climates, used by investors, governments and financial institutions worldwide.