Egypt Inflation Climbs to 7.3% in Jan from 5.9% in Dec

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters
Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters
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Egypt Inflation Climbs to 7.3% in Jan from 5.9% in Dec

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters
Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January, its highest since August 2019, from 5.9% in December, data from the country's statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Thursday.

Prices climbed 0.9% month-on-month compared to a 0.08% drop in December, the agency said.

The annual rate puts inflation near the higher end of the 5-9% target range set by the central bank, which kept its key interest rates unchanged during a regular monetary policy committee meeting on Feb. 3, according to Reuters.

The headline inflation number reflected "unfavorable base effects and rising food prices," EFG Hermes's Mohamed Abu Basha said in a note.

"Monthly inflation trends showed food inflation jumped 2.1%, reflecting a broad increase in most food items."

Inflation dynamics nonetheless remain weak in the absence of demand pressures, he wrote.

"We therefore expect the acceleration in the headline number not to push the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) to hike rates in the near term, though we are clearly seeing rising risks," Abu Basha said. Egypt's economy has bounced back since the worst of the coronavirus pandemic. Gross domestic product shot up by 9.8% year-on-year in the July-September quarter, up from 0.7% a year earlier, planning ministry data showed.



Gold Steady as Focus Shifts to US Data for Economic Cues

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Steady as Focus Shifts to US Data for Economic Cues

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices were little changed on Monday, while investors awaited a slew of US economic data including the December nonfarm payrolls report for further guidance on the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates.
Spot gold held its ground at $2,635.39 per ounce by 0510 GMT. US gold futures dropped 0.2% to $2,646.80.
How the US jobs data fares this week could hold the key to whether gold breaks out of its recent range, said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
"There is a plethora of US data due for release this week (including ISM Services PMI data), and any downside misses could hurt the USD and help gold."
The US jobs report, due on Friday, is expected to provide more clues to the Fed's rate outlook after the US central bank rattled markets last month by reducing its projected cuts for 2025.
Investors are also awaiting ADP hiring and job openings data, as well as minutes of the Fed's last policy meeting for further direction.
Gold flourishes in a low-interest-rate environment and serves as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainties and inflation.
US President-elect Donald Trump is set to return to office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are expected to fuel inflation.
This could prompt the Fed to go slow on rate cuts, limiting gold's upside. After three rate cuts in 2024, the Fed has projected only two reductions for 2025 due to persistent inflation.
The US central bank's benchmark policy rate should stay restrictive until it is more certain that inflation is returning to its 2% target, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said on Friday.
Spot silver was down 0.2% at $29.57 per ounce, platinum dipped 0.7% to $931.30 and palladium fell 0.4% to $918.22.