Lebanon: Ruling Authority, Opposition Struggle to Attract Voters In Upcoming Elections

Demonstrators wave Lebanese flags during protests near the site of a blast at Beirut’s port area, Lebanon August 11, 2020. (Reuters)
Demonstrators wave Lebanese flags during protests near the site of a blast at Beirut’s port area, Lebanon August 11, 2020. (Reuters)
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Lebanon: Ruling Authority, Opposition Struggle to Attract Voters In Upcoming Elections

Demonstrators wave Lebanese flags during protests near the site of a blast at Beirut’s port area, Lebanon August 11, 2020. (Reuters)
Demonstrators wave Lebanese flags during protests near the site of a blast at Beirut’s port area, Lebanon August 11, 2020. (Reuters)

Ghada Mrad, 35, does not find what motivates her to participate in the parliamentary elections scheduled for mid-May. When she got married, she was registered in the western Bekaa electoral district – her husband’s birthplace and a region that she has not visited for more than three years.

She told Asharq Al-Awsat: “It’s true that I support the forces of revolution and change, but I will not bother to go to the western Bekaa on the election day to spend hours on the road… as we all know the rampant increase in the price of diesel, and I have not heard of any candidates who might push me to change my decision.”

Ghada shares the opinion of many voters in Lebanon who, despite holding the forces of power collectively responsible for the country’s collapse, still do not believe that they are able to change the current equation through the ballot boxes.

They are also not convinced of the new figures who have lately announced their candidacies, which makes electoral experts believe that the percentage of boycotts would likely increase compared to the previous elections.

About half of the registered voters participated in the last parliamentary elections in 2018. Today, electoral experts believe that this percentage would not exceed 30 percent.

MP Bilal Abdallah, member of the Democratic Gathering bloc, admitted that a feeling of frustration prevailed over voters in all regions, which would make them reluctant to participate in the elections.

“We all know that the people’s livelihood and economic concerns precede their political interests… There’s an atmosphere of frustration, hesitation and even rejection, and we are trying to alleviate it by convincing people that they should head to the polls even if they will not vote for our lists,” Abdallah told Asharq Al-Awsat.

The ruling authority and the opposition are struggling to face people’s reluctance to vote.

Retired Brigadier General George Nader, a member of the Forces of Revolution and Change coalition in the northern Akkar region, pointed to “a real fear among the people, which is caused by their disappointment with the authority and the forces of the revolution, given that we did not provide them with a clear program, candidates or unified lists.”

On the other hand, the Lebanese Forces party seemed reassured that people would resort to what they describe as “revenge voting.” The LF sources consider that Lebanese public opinion “sees the upcoming elections as an opportunity to get rid of a political system that has dragged Lebanon into a catastrophe and wiped out people’s savings.”

Electoral expert Antoine Moukheiber said that ongoing opinion polls were showing a great percentage of respondents who choose “nobody” when asked about the candidates to whom they would vote. He explained that this category of respondents would likely boycott the elections.

“A weak turnout would not serve the forces of the revolution, even if it leads to a low electoral quotient… A high percentage of voting for unified lists is the only way to change the reality,” he stated.



Israeli Army Reaches Outskirts of Litani River in Southern Lebanon

An Israeli tank loaded onto a truck being transported to the border with southern Lebanon in the Upper Galilee (EPA)
An Israeli tank loaded onto a truck being transported to the border with southern Lebanon in the Upper Galilee (EPA)
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Israeli Army Reaches Outskirts of Litani River in Southern Lebanon

An Israeli tank loaded onto a truck being transported to the border with southern Lebanon in the Upper Galilee (EPA)
An Israeli tank loaded onto a truck being transported to the border with southern Lebanon in the Upper Galilee (EPA)

Israeli forces have launched their largest ground incursion into southern Lebanon since the conflict began, reaching the outskirts of the Litani River near Deirmimas.

They entered the town’s edges in an effort to separate Nabatieh from Marjayoun and prepare for an attack on the town of Taybeh from the west and north.

This move also aimed to neutralize Taybeh hill, which overlooks the Khiam plain, where Israel plans to extend its operations and capture the city of Khiam.

Lebanese media reported that Israel set up a checkpoint at the Deirmimas junction, cutting off Marjayoun from Nabatieh.

They also blocked the western entrance to Deirmimas near a fuel station using earth mounds, with Israeli military vehicles stationed there. Reports also said Israeli forces prevented UNIFIL and the Lebanese army from passing toward Marjayoun.

Lebanese sources following the battle in the south reported that Israeli forces advanced five kilometers west from the town of Kfar Kila, moving through olive groves. This advance took advantage of the absence of Hezbollah fighters in Christian areas like Qlayaa, Bir al-Muluk, and Deirmimas.

The sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that this allowed Israeli forces to reach the outskirts of the Litani River for the first time since 2006, cutting off Nabatieh from Marjayoun. Israeli artillery had previously targeted this route several times, and drones had carried out strikes there.

Israel supported its ground advance with heavy artillery fire. Lebanese security sources said Israeli artillery targeted hills overlooking Deirmimas throughout Thursday night into Friday, hitting locations like Beaufort Castle, Arnoun, Yihmour, Wadi Zawtar, and Deir Siryan.

This fire typically provides cover for infantry advances. The sources also confirmed that Israeli ground movements were backed by airstrikes and drones for added security.

They speculated the advance followed a route from Kfar Kila through Tall al-Nahas and Bir al-Muluk toward Deirmimas, which is almost empty of residents and has no Hezbollah presence.

Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli forces in the area, with three statements confirming the targeting of Israeli positions and vehicles near Deirmimas.

Media reports mentioned multiple rocket strikes on Israeli targets in Khiam and near Tall al-Nahas, as well as a guided missile attack on Israeli movements near oil groves close to the Marqos station at Deirmimas’ edge.

A photo shared by Lebanese media showed an Israeli tank behind an exposed hill east of Qlayaa, protected from the west and north. To the south, Israeli forces entered the town of Deirmimas, which overlooks the position.

Military expert Mustafa Asaad said the image, showing a bulldozer behind a tank at the Qlayaa-Marjayoun-Deirmimas junction, suggests that infantry units secured the area—either on foot or in fast vehicles—before entering Deirmimas.

The town’s mayor confirmed to local media that Israeli forces made a “small incursion” into Deirmimas, advancing through olive groves from Kfar Kila.

Hezbollah has stated it does not have military positions in Christian or Druze areas in southern Lebanon, as these communities oppose its presence. Sources close to Hezbollah say this is due to political reasons and security concerns.