Experts Warn against Iran Becoming a Nuclear State

Then-Iranian President Hassan Rouhani attends a military parade marking National Army Day in Tehran, Iran, April 17, 2016. REUTERS/President.ir/Handout via Reuters
Then-Iranian President Hassan Rouhani attends a military parade marking National Army Day in Tehran, Iran, April 17, 2016. REUTERS/President.ir/Handout via Reuters
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Experts Warn against Iran Becoming a Nuclear State

Then-Iranian President Hassan Rouhani attends a military parade marking National Army Day in Tehran, Iran, April 17, 2016. REUTERS/President.ir/Handout via Reuters
Then-Iranian President Hassan Rouhani attends a military parade marking National Army Day in Tehran, Iran, April 17, 2016. REUTERS/President.ir/Handout via Reuters

A group of 40 former government officials and top non-proliferation experts urged US President Joe Biden to successfully complete negotiations to return to the nuclear deal, warning that Tehran was a week or two away from producing enough uranium for the production of nuclear weapons.

In a statement, due to be issued on Thursday, experts said that failure to reverse the policies of the former US President Donald Trump’s administration, which withdrew from the agreement in 2018, would be “irresponsible” and “would increase the danger that Iran would become a threshold nuclear-weapon state.”

A report published by The Washington Post said that all parties to the ongoing negotiations in Vienna have expressed pessimism about the possibility of reaching a new agreement to revive the 2015 deal, under which Iran sharply limited its nuclear program and placed it under strict international verification in exchange for the lifting of US and international sanctions.

Following the US withdrawal from the agreement in 2018, Trump reinstated the sanctions on Iran and imposed even more. In response, Tehran increased its uranium enrichment far beyond the agreed limits.

When Biden took office, he promised to return to the old deal.

Indirect negotiations, which began in April 2021 through European mediators, have so far failed to reach a final agreement, as Iran insisted on an earlier demand that the United States lift its foreign terrorist designation against the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), “a concession that Biden’s advisers say would be politically untenable.”

The Washington Post report noted that although the negotiations have not formally broken off, they have been suspended since last month. EU officials, who were coordinating the talks, tried unsuccessfully to reach a compromise, by trying to persuade Washington to offer a partial lifting of the IRGC designation and urging Tehran to respond with concessions on areas of US concern outside the framework of the nuclear deal, including Iran’s support for foreign proxy militias and its ballistic missile program.

All Republican lawmakers, along with a number of Democrats, have expressed, according to The Washington Post, their opposition to any agreement with Iran.

The newspaper added that widespread agreement prevailed within the US administration on the dangers of not renewing the agreement, in parallel with significant differences over whether the nuclear risk outweighs the political minefield.

The report noted that Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign to punish Iran, which he said was aimed at reaching a “better” or “more comprehensive deal”, “not only failed to produce the promised results; it also opened the way for Iran to take steps to breach the JCPOA’s nuclear limits and accelerate its capacity to produce bomb-grade nuclear material.”

“It is now estimated that the time it would take Iran to produce a significant quantity (25kg) of bomb-grade uranium … is down from more than a year under the JCPOA to approximately one or two weeks today,” the report warned.



New Zealand Navy Ship Sinks Off Samoa

A view of a New Zealand Navy vessel on fire, as seen from Tafitoala, Samoa, October 6, 2024, in this picture obtained from social media. Dave Poole/via REUTERS
A view of a New Zealand Navy vessel on fire, as seen from Tafitoala, Samoa, October 6, 2024, in this picture obtained from social media. Dave Poole/via REUTERS
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New Zealand Navy Ship Sinks Off Samoa

A view of a New Zealand Navy vessel on fire, as seen from Tafitoala, Samoa, October 6, 2024, in this picture obtained from social media. Dave Poole/via REUTERS
A view of a New Zealand Navy vessel on fire, as seen from Tafitoala, Samoa, October 6, 2024, in this picture obtained from social media. Dave Poole/via REUTERS

A Royal New Zealand Navy vessel ran aground and sank off Samoa but all 75 crew and passengers on board were safe, the New Zealand Defense Force said in a statement on Sunday.

Manawanui, the navy's specialist dive and hydrographic vessel, ran aground near the southern coast of Upolu on Saturday night as it was conducting a reef survey, Commodore Shane Arndell, the maritime component commander of the New Zealand Defense Force, said in a statement.
Several vessels responded and assisted in rescuing the crew and passengers who had left the ship in lifeboats, Reuters quoted Arndell as saying.
A Royal New Zealand Air Force P-8A Poseidon was also deployed to assist in the rescue.
The cause of the grounding was unknown and would need further investigation, New Zealand Defense Force said.
Video and photos published on local media showed the Manawanui, which cost the New Zealand government NZ$103 million in 2018, listing heavily and with plumes of thick grey smoke rising after it ran aground.
The vessel later capsized and was below the surface by 9 a.m. local time, New Zealand Defence Force said.
The agency said it was "working with authorities to understand the implications and minimise the environmental impacts.”
Chief of Navy Rear Admiral Garin Golding told a press conference in Auckland that a plane would leave for Samoa on Sunday to bring the rescued crew and passengers back to New Zealand.
He said some of those rescued had suffered minor injuries, including from walking across a reef.
Defense Minister Judith Collins described the grounding as a "really challenging for everybody on board."
"I know that what has happened is going to take quite a bit of time to process," Collins told the press conference.
"I look forward to pinpointing the cause so that we can learn from it and avoid a repeat," she said, adding that an immediate focus was to salvage "what is left" of the vessel.
Rescue operations were coordinated by Samoan emergency services and Australian Defense personnel with the assistance of the New Zealand rescue center, according to a statement from Samoa Police, Prison and Corrections Service posted on Facebook.
Manawanui is used to conduct a range of specialist diving, salvage and survey tasks around New Zealand and across the South West Pacific.
New Zealand's Navy is already working at reduced capacity with three of its nine ships idle due to personnel shortages.