Egypt to Confront Global Economic Crisis with Ambitious Financial Goals

Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, speaks during a news conference to announce the Egyptian state's vision to deal with the global economic crisis at the headquarters of the Investment Authority in Cairo, Egypt May 15, 2022. (Reuters)
Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, speaks during a news conference to announce the Egyptian state's vision to deal with the global economic crisis at the headquarters of the Investment Authority in Cairo, Egypt May 15, 2022. (Reuters)
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Egypt to Confront Global Economic Crisis with Ambitious Financial Goals

Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, speaks during a news conference to announce the Egyptian state's vision to deal with the global economic crisis at the headquarters of the Investment Authority in Cairo, Egypt May 15, 2022. (Reuters)
Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, speaks during a news conference to announce the Egyptian state's vision to deal with the global economic crisis at the headquarters of the Investment Authority in Cairo, Egypt May 15, 2022. (Reuters)

Cairo announced on Sunday a number of ambitious financial goals, in wake of successive global economic crises, the latest of which are the repercussions of the war on Ukraine that impacted most of Egypt’s economic sectors.

Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said he wanted private investment to rise to 65% of the country’s total within three years, up from around 30% at present.

He outlined a wide array of state assets that the government will offer to private investors, part of a plan to fully withdraw from certain sectors of the economy as it seeks to attract $40 billion in investment over the next four years.

“We will offer projects to the private sector in electric vehicles, data centers, networks for oil and gas and expansion of gas liquefaction plants, communication towers, and wind power,” Madbouly said at a televised news conference to outline the state’s vision to address the financial crises.

It will also eventually open up renewable energy projects, desalination plants, education and banking assets to private investment.

Madbouly told reporters the government aimed to decrease total debt to 75% of gross domestic product by June 2026 from 86% currently, and its budget deficit to 5% from 6.2%.

He added that Egypt seeks to achieve a primary surplus of about 2% of the GDP annually from its current 1.5% target.

It also aims to reduce the cost of borrowing and government debt service to 2% of the GDP in the 2025-26 fiscal year.

Moreover, Madbouly revealed Cairo is expected to reach a new program with the International Monetary Fund “within months.”

In March, Egypt said it was in talks with the IMF about potential funds, in addition to technical support to hedge against the economic effects of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, should it be prolonged.

The PM said the Egyptian economy had suffered EGP130 billion ($7 billion) in direct losses on a year-to-year basis due to this war, as well as EGFP335 billion ($18.3 billion) in indirect losses.

Egypt, the world's top wheat importer, is working to buy wheat from other regions rather than its major suppliers Russia and Ukraine, whose exports are being disrupted by the war.

Egypt has strategic reserves of wheat sufficient to cover its needs for four months, Madbouly asserted.

Egypt also has strategic reserves of vegetable oils to cover six months, he added.

The Supply Ministry confirmed that it is considering this month adding wheat from India to 16 other national import origins accepted by its state grains buyer.

It approved the import of Indian wheat, only for India to ban wheat exports on Saturday as a scorching heat wave curtailed output and domestic prices hit a record high.

However, India said it would still allow exports backed by letters of credit that were already issued, and sales to countries that request supplies “to meet their food security needs.”

Any agreements by Egypt's government to purchase Indian wheat will not be affected by an export ban announced by New Delhi, Egypt's supply minister said on Sunday.

“For India, we are talking with them on the basis of a government agreement. The ban exempts governments including the government of Egypt,” Minister Ali Moselhy said at the news conference.



Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
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Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The US dollar charged ahead on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields, putting the yen, sterling and euro under pressure near multi-month lows amid the shifting threat of tariffs.

The focus for markets in 2025 has been on US President-elect Donald Trump's agenda as he steps back into the White House on Jan. 20, with analysts expecting his policies to both bolster growth and add to price pressures, according to Reuters.

CNN on Wednesday reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries. On Monday, the Washington Post said Trump was looking at more nuanced tariffs, which he later denied.

Concerns that policies introduced by the Trump administration could reignite inflation has led bond yields higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hitting 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest since April 25. It was at 4.6709% on Thursday.

"Trump's shifting narrative on tariffs has undoubtedly had an effect on USD. It seems this capriciousness is something markets will have to adapt to over the coming four years," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

The bond market selloff has left the dollar standing tall and casting a shadow on the currency market.

Among the most affected was the pound, which was headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.

Sterling slid to $1.2239 on Thursday, its weakest since November 2023, even as British government bond yields hit multi-year highs.

Ordinarily, higher gilt yields would support the pound, but not in this case.

The sell-off in UK government bond markets resumed on Thursday, with 10-year and 30-year gilt yields jumping again in early trading, as confidence in Britain's fiscal outlook deteriorates.

"Such a simultaneous sell-off in currency and bonds is rather unusual for a G10 country," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank.

"It seems to be the culmination of a development that began several months ago. The new Labour government's approval ratings are at record lows just a few months after the election, and business and consumer sentiment is severely depressed."

Sterling was last down about 0.69% at $1.2282.

The euro also eased, albeit less than the pound, to $1.0302, lurking close to the two-year low it hit last week as investors remain worried the single currency may fall to the key $1 mark this year due to tariff uncertainties.

The yen hovered near the key 160 per dollar mark that led to Tokyo intervening in the market last July, after it touched a near six-month low of 158.55 on Wednesday.

Though it strengthened a bit on the day and was last at 158.15 per dollar. That all left the dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other units, up 0.15% and at 109.18, just shy of the two-year high it touched last week.

Also in the mix were the Federal Reserve minutes of its December meeting, released on Wednesday, which showed the central bank flagged new inflation concerns and officials saw a rising risk the incoming administration's plans may slow economic growth and raise unemployment.

With US markets closed on Thursday, the spotlight will be on Friday's payrolls report as investors parse through data to gauge when the Fed will next cut rates.