Saudi Economy Ministry Launches Indicator to Monitor Private Sector’s Performance

A general view of Riyadh city, Saudi Arabia, February 20, 2022. REUTERS/Mohammed Benmansour
A general view of Riyadh city, Saudi Arabia, February 20, 2022. REUTERS/Mohammed Benmansour
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Saudi Economy Ministry Launches Indicator to Monitor Private Sector’s Performance

A general view of Riyadh city, Saudi Arabia, February 20, 2022. REUTERS/Mohammed Benmansour
A general view of Riyadh city, Saudi Arabia, February 20, 2022. REUTERS/Mohammed Benmansour

The Ministry of Economy and Planning launched on Sunday a novel economic analysis index, known as MEPX, to monitor the performance of the Kingdom’s private sector, the Saudi Press Agency reported.

MEPX is a leading indicator that has been designed and developed by the Ministry’s economic analysts to track ten economic factors classified into four categories, consumers, firms, and the financial and trade sectors. It provides regular, in-depth analysis of the Kingdom’s private sector business cycles through advanced econometrics techniques, SPA said.

The insights and analysis gathered by MEPX will enable the Ministry to further support the Kingdom’s economic policymaking and strategies based on emerging data, market trends and fluctuations.

Commenting on the launch of the innovative economic tool, Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal F. Alibrahim said: “The first MEPX business cycle composite index marks an important milestone in our mission to provide accurate, trusted, and transparent economic data and statistics in the Kingdom.

“As the Kingdom records its fastest economic growth in a decade, increasing access to emerging data is crucial to informing pro-growth policymaking as we look to enhance the private sector’s contribution to 65 percent of Saudi Arabia’s GDP by 2030.”

He added: “MEPX will allow economists, policymakers and business leaders to not only analyze and predict emerging trends but proactively Identify short and medium-term growth opportunities to ensure we continue to progress sustainably on our journey of social and economic transformation.”

According to the latest World Economic Outlook Report issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in October, Saudi Arabia is set to become the world’s fastest growing major economy in 2022, with a growth rate of 7.6%.



Oil Prices Set for Second Annual Loss in a Row, Stable Day on Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Prices Set for Second Annual Loss in a Row, Stable Day on Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were on track to end 2024 with a second consecutive year of losses on Tuesday, but were steady on the day as data showing an expansion in Chinese manufacturing was balanced by Nigeria targeting higher output next year.

Brent crude futures fell by 7 cents, or 0.09%, to $73.92 a barrel as of 1306 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude lost 4 cents, or 0.06%, to $70.95 a barrel.

At those levels, Brent was down around 4% from its final 2023 close price of $77.04, while WTI was down around 1% from where it settled on Dec. 29 last year at $71.65.

In September, Brent futures closed below $70 a barrel for the first time since December 2021, while their highest closing price of 2024 at $91.17 was also the lowest since 2021, as the impacts of a post-pandemic rebound in demand and price shocks from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine began to fade.

According to Reuters, oil prices are likely to be constrained near $70 a barrel in 2025 as weak demand from China and rising global supplies are expected to cast a shadow on OPEC+-led efforts to shore up the market, a Reuters monthly poll showed on Tuesday.

A weaker demand outlook in China in particular forced both the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) to cut their oil demand growth expectations for 2024 and 2025.

With non-OPEC supply also set to rise, the IEA sees the oil market going into 2025 in a state of surplus, even after OPEC and its allies delayed their plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Investors will also be watching the Federal Reserve's rate cut outlook for 2025 after central bank policymakers earlier this month projected a slower path due to stubbornly high inflation.

Lower interest rates generally incentivise borrowing and fuel growth, which in turn is expected to boost oil demand.

Markets are also gearing up for US President-elect Donald Trump's policies around looser regulation, tax cuts, tariff hikes and tighter immigration, as well as potential geopolitical shifts from Trump's calls for an immediate ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war, as well as the possible re-imposition of the so-called "maximum pressure" policy towards Iran.

Prices were supported on Tuesday by data showing China's manufacturing activity expanded for a third straight month in December but at a slower pace, suggesting a blitz of fresh stimulus is helping to support the world's second-largest economy.

However, that was balanced out by potential for higher supply next year, as Nigeria said it is targeting national production of 3 million barrels per day (bpd) next year, up from its current level of around 1.8 million bpd.