Saudi Banks Safe from Troubled US Banks

The Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning participates at the Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning participates at the Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Banks Safe from Troubled US Banks

The Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning participates at the Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning participates at the Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Ayman Al-Sayari, Governor of Saudi Central Bank (SAMA), ruled out any transactions between Saudi banks and troubled US banks, affirming that the Kingdom’s banking sector enjoys capital adequacy and reassuring liquidity.

Al-Sayari spoke with Al-Arabiya TV on the sidelines of the Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh when he added that the Kingdom fully believes in the partnership between SAMA and the Financial Sector Development Program.

He noted that the partnership will achieve Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals by supporting the growth and sustainability of the local economy while preserving the stability and durability of the Kingdom’s financial sector.

Al-Sayari asserted that Saudi Arabia will “continue to move forward.”

He affirmed that the Kingdom would hold the Financial Sector Conference’s third edition as it can catalyze the economy and attract investments, achieving government aspirations.

In his closing speech at the Conference, Al-Sayari asserted that the gathering, directly and indirectly, impacted developing capabilities by exchanging expertise, discussing challenges, and finding ways to overcome them.

Al-Sayari highlighted the broad participation at the conference, adding that it included several local and international financial industry leaders and experts.

Participants, according to Al-Sayari, held several sessions during which they exchanged expertise and reviewed the best international practices.

Moreover, discussions tackled regulation, legislation, and challenges.

Al-Sayari said SAMA and its partners in the Financial Sector Development Program would continue to empower institutions, support the growth of the private sector and the national economy, diversify sources of income, and stimulate savings, financing, and investment.

Saudi Arabia is also working to ensure the retirement system is sustainable, inexpensive, and fair through improving procedures and regulations, said Faisal Alibrahim, Minister of Economy and Planning.

In a panel discussion at the Financial Sector Conference, the minister added that the Kingdom is keen to be proactive to ensure the development of policies aimed at addressing the rise in life expectancy and its consequences in terms of retirement.

Alibrahim indicated that Saudi Arabia is one of the young countries. Still, it is working to address these challenges, noting that the country was also keen to be more flexible with the General Organization for Social Insurance (GOSI) and made several changes to the retirement system.

In the past five years, the Saudi government has taken significant steps to expand and constantly update pension systems, added Alibrahim, noting that pension systems worldwide seek to achieve many goals.

The demographics have changed, he acknowledged, stressing that this requires a review of the pension mechanism and the retirement age.



Dollar Mauled by Trump Trade War

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
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Dollar Mauled by Trump Trade War

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar hit three-month lows on Wednesday as the US' trade war with its partners escalated, while a major overhaul to German government borrowing triggered the biggest sell-off in the country's debt since the late 1990s.

In addition to the cocktail of tariffs and a seismic shift in German fiscal policy, investors also scrutinized the start of China's annual sessions of its parliament, the National People's Congress, at which Beijing retained a goal of roughly 5% economic growth for 2025.

The euro hit its highest in four months, while European stocks surged. The biggest casualties were longer-dated German government bonds, caught up in their worst one-day selloff in more than 25 years as yields ripped higher, Reuters reported.

Overnight, German political parties agreed to a 500 billion-euro ($534.75 billion) infrastructure fund and, crucially, an overhaul in borrowing limits that economists billed as "a really big bazooka".

"Last night Germany announced plans for one of the largest fiscal regime shifts in post-war history, perhaps with reunification 35 years ago being the only rival," Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid said.

"Everything you thought you knew about Germany's economic prospects three months ago, or even three weeks ago, should be ripped up and you should start your analysis from fresh," he said.

German 30-year yields - the rate the government pays to borrow over the very long term - rose by almost a quarter of a percentage point in early trading, on track for their largest rise since October 1998.

The 30-year bond yield was last up 20 basis points at 3.03%.

"It’s a recognition that something has changed. Germany is the benchmark against which all these other markets are measured. And so this big transition in German fiscal policy is significant," Dario Perkins, managing director, global macro at TS Lombard, said.

"We’re a long way away from worrying about German fiscal problems. People have been pleading that Germany spends for the last 20 years."

Longer-dated yields elsewhere rose too, with French 30-year rates up 15 basis points at 4.0% and Italian 30-year bonds yielding 4.517%, up 17 bps.

Europe's STOXX 600 jumped by more than 1.2% to record highs. The prospect of a meaningful increase in European spending on security has sent the region's defence stocks soaring this month.

 

TRADE WAR INCOMING

 

US tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China went into effect on Tuesday, when President Donald Trump also delivered his State of the Union address, in which he touted his successes since taking office six weeks ago.

Canada and China retaliated immediately, while Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum vowed to respond likewise, without giving details.

With a full-on trade war underway, crude oil hit six-month lows, while bitcoin found its feet around $87,800 following a volatile week.

"Fears about weaker US and global economic activity are manifesting in the markets, with cyclicals driving the sell-off," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.

In China, the offshore yuan was a touch weaker at 7.2629, having staged its biggest one-day rally the previous session since Trump's inauguration as investors ditched the dollar.

Along with its unchanged economic growth target, Beijing committed more fiscal resources than last year to mitigate the impact of rising US tariffs.

China aims for a budget deficit of about 4% of gross domestic product in 2025, up from 3% in 2024.

Overnight, the US S&P 500 slid 1.2%, but futures rose 0.7% on Wednesday.

The US dollar index tumbled 0.5% to 105.03, bringing its losses over the last three days to 2.3%, the most in this timeframe since late 2022.

In the ascendant was the euro, which rose 0.6% to $1.0693, the most since mid-November, prompting a flurry of bullish forecasts from major investment banks.

Oil fell for a third day on Wednesday, under pressure from concern over energy demand as tit-for-tat tariffs ramp up and from OPEC+ plans to raise output in April.

Brent futures fell 1.3% to $70.09 a barrel, having hit $69.75 the previous day, the lowest since September.