Rami al-Rayes

Rami al-Rayes

On Lebanon’s Daily Test of Sovereignty

Recent political developments have affirmed that the country is at a dangerous and unprecedented turning point, perhaps even more delicate and critical than the civil war period (1975–1990), when barricades were raised and the Lebanese were split as a result of local schisms and foreign influence…

Lebanon on the Cusp of a New Era

It is now indisputable that Lebanon is no longer part of Iran’s sphere of influence. This exit is among the most prominent outcomes of the wars unfolding across the region that began on October 7, 2023, with the Gaza War and included a 12-day conflict between Iran and Israel. Most importantly, of…

Lebanon… to Avoid a Shift Toward Civil Conflict 

Lebanon’s conundrum has entered a new phase after Hezbollah rebuffed the major political strides of the government, most notably its reaffirmation of the principle that arms must remain monopolized by state and its subsequent endorsement of the proposal that US Presidential Envoy Tom Barrack had…

How Can We Really Protect Lebanon?

The extraordinary accelerating shifts that have unfolded in the Middle East in recent months suggest that the region can expect even more in the coming weeks, months, and possibly years. The scale and depth of these changes witnessed in several "Sykes-Picot" countries, so to speak, mean that their…

Lebanon: Between Defeat and Victory

It is clear that Lebanon has entered an obscure, dark phase. There is no clear way out, nor an understanding of the costs and losses the country will incur. Indeed, Israel has been attacking Lebanon for two months now, and it is set to continue for the weeks between now and the transfer of power in…

On the Absence of Accountability in Lebanon and its Dire Consequences

One of the key flaws in the Lebanese political system, alongside its deeply rooted sectarian and religious divisions that have obstructed any real progress toward equality among its citizens, is the absence of constitutional, political, and judicial accountability in all its forms. This critical…

Lebanon: A Return to the Pre-October 7 Status Quo

The Lebanese are in between two dramatically different states: a restrained war is raging on the southern front, while things are normal in other areas of the country. We see the villages on the border paying dearly on behalf of the entire country. The residents are being killed and their homes and…

Where Will Beijing Land Its Next Blow

It has become clear that China is reconfiguring its foreign policy. Building on its unprecedented economic growth, China can gradually expand its political influence in many regions across the globe. The Chinese seem to be taking the opposite approach of the US, which expanded its influence…

Is this a Turning Point for the US-Israeli Relationship? No!

The questions in the US about the country’s “historical” relationship with Israel have not gone as far as forcing Washington to radically and comprehensively rethink its deep ties with Tel Aviv, which is unlike any of the United States’ relationships with another country. Talk on how the costs…

On the ‘New Lebanon:’ Long for the Old One

Many political and non-political analyses have been written about Lebanon’s sick and precarious state of affairs. Some of those went as far as saying that the old Lebanon that the world had recognized as a country of pluralism, diversity, public freedoms and a free market economic system has hit…