Saudi Industrial Sector Plays Wider Role in Economic Growth

A shot of a rubber factory in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat
A shot of a rubber factory in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat
TT

Saudi Industrial Sector Plays Wider Role in Economic Growth

A shot of a rubber factory in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat
A shot of a rubber factory in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat

Positive growth witnessed in Saudi Arabia’s industrial sector for 2018’s first quarter is considered a milestone marking large contribution to the Kingdom’s non-oil sector.

Official data released by the Saudi General Authority for Statistics reveal the great contribution made by economic activities in the growth of the non-oil sector, where most of the growth was brought about by improved non-oil industry and mining.

Both non-oil industry and mining sectors grew by 4.6 percent and 6.3 percent respectively, and both are expected to lead further growth in the future. Such progress is in line with the Kingdom Vision 2030 which is anchored in diversifying the national economy.

The Saudi Industrial Fund launched over 40 initiatives in its new strategy for being the lead contributor to industrial transformation in the Kingdom by providing integrated financial and advisory products and services that meet investor needs.

Saudi Industrial Development Fund Director-General Ibrahim bin Saad Al-Mujal, in an open meeting for industrialists in the Jeddah Chamber of Commerce on Tuesday, reviewed the project on developing the Fund's strategy for achieving core objectives of the Kingdom's Vision 2030.

He stressed the Fund's role in advancing industrial development by financing projects, providing studies and consulting services, supporting and managing various programs aimed at developing the industrial system for a sustainable development in the Kingdom.

Mujal pointed out that improving the efficiency of loan procedures is one of the Fund's priorities, and is expected to empower and support small and medium size enterprises.

In this regard, the Energy Ministry is looking at broader prospects for developing the national industrial sector, which will make the contribution of this sector to the national economy deeper and stronger in the coming stage.

The Saudi economy, the largest in the Middle East, has succeeded in achieving positive growth in the first quarter of 2018, set at 1.2 percent, in testimony to the feasibility of economic reforms to diversify the economy and reduce oil dependence.

The Saudi GDP rose by 1.2 percent at the end of the first quarter of 2018, reaching 647.8 billion riyals ($172.7 billion), compared to a 640.4 billion riyals ($170.7 billion) in 2017.

Non-oil GDP rose by 1.6 percent by the end of the first quarter of 2018, standing at 371.02 billion riyals ($98.9 billion).

The GDP of the oil sector rose 0.6 percent to 273.3 billion riyals ($72.8 billion) in the first quarter of 2018 compared to 271.6 billion riyals ($72.4 billion) in the first quarter of 2017.



Saudi Aramco: Oil Refining Has Been Underinvested

FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
TT

Saudi Aramco: Oil Refining Has Been Underinvested

FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The current oil supply crisis shows there is underinvestment in oil refining as demand holds resilient, Saudi state-owned Aramco's vice president of market analysis and sustainability, Musaab Al Mulla, said on Tuesday.

Around 3 ⁠million barrels per ⁠day of refining capacity closed between 2020 and 2023, Al Mulla said at the S&P Global Energy Middle East ⁠Petroleum and Gas Conference in London.

"Now we realize if you have those refineries you may have definitely mitigated the impacts of the crisis today," he said.

The war in Iran, attacks on energy infrastructure and ⁠Iran's effective ⁠closure of the Strait of Hormuz followed by a US naval blockade, have removed around 14 million bpd of oil supply from Middle East producers to the global market.


OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecasts Over Mideast War Fallout

A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
TT

OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecasts Over Mideast War Fallout

A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)

The war in the Middle East has dented economic growth prospects worldwide, with a more severe shock likely if no effective ceasefire is agreed before 2027, the OECD warned Wednesday.

Global economic growth is now forecast to slip to 2.8 percent for 2026 if Gulf exports of oil and gas return to pre-conflict levels in the third quarter, the group of 38 industrialized countries said in its quarterly update.

Previously the OECD had forecast full-year global growth of 2.9 percent.

But if the Middle East war continues into next year, however, global growth could slow to 2.1 percent, the OECD said -- well below the average annual growth of 3.4 percent seen from 2013 to 2019, before the Covid pandemic.

"The longer the disruptions last, the larger the economic and social costs become," the group's chief economist Stefano Scarpetta said in the report.

Many countries would risk falling into recession, he noted, and a drop in investment spending -- "including in energy-intensive AI" -- would likely push up unemployment.

Sustained high prices for energy as well as fertilizer and other key products from hydrocarbon production in the Gulf would weigh especially hard on developing countries that have "higher shares of energy and food in household consumption".

Even if the war sparked by US and Israeli strikes on Iran in late February ends in the coming weeks, the OECD forecast global inflation rising to 4.0 percent this year from 3.4 percent in 2025.

In this "time-limited disruption scenario", the group expects US growth to slow to 2.0 percent this year and 1.8 percent in 2027, after growing 2.1 percent last year.

In the eurozone, where many countries are highly dependent on energy imports, GDP growth will slump to 0.8 percent this year after 1.4 percent last year, assuming a Mideast ceasefire is secured in the coming weeks.


Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Activity Hits 3-month High in May

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
TT

Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Activity Hits 3-month High in May

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector expanded at the fastest pace in three months in May as domestic demand improved and supply chains stabilized, while business optimism remained subdued amid conflict in the region, a survey showed on Wednesday.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, rose to 52.8 in May from 51.5 in April. The 50 mark separates growth from contraction, Reuters reported.

Output accelerated at the ⁠fastest pace in ⁠three months after March's downturn following the start of the Iran war, as firms cited normalizing working conditions, revived contracts and stronger local demand.

Export sales fell for a third straight month, hit by shipping disruption, higher freight and fuel costs, geopolitical tensions and stronger competition. The pace of decline eased only modestly from April's survey-record contraction.

However, supply chains improved, with suppliers' delivery times shortening for the first time in three months as ⁠firms relied ⁠more on local vendors. Backlogs of work rose for an 11th consecutive month, albeit moderately.

“Overall, the latest PMI reading supports the expectation that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy will continue its upward trend during the remainder of 2026," said Naif Al-Ghaith, Riyad Bank's chief economist.